Southwell Golf Club Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:15

Southwell Golf Club Handicap

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (7)	Back Tomorrow b Jason Hart · Ewan Whillans	Jason Hart · Ewan Whillans	130	—	967984	47	69	39	13d	—	—	-11	4.4	5/1 17%
Faces optimum conditions and ran well for fourth over C&D last time; one to take seriously
8 (9)	Evoluir b Rowan Scott · Roger Fell	Rowan Scott · Roger Fell	128	—	227742	46	64	55	35d	—	—	-7	11.2	7/2 22%
0-10 but he's finished second three times, including on latest start; each-way shout
6 (5)	Captain Dandy b Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	130	tv	270795	47	68	46	11d	—	—	-11	4.4	6/1 14%
On a dangerous mark if new headgear/return to optimum trip has the desired effect
10 (1)	Fylingdale b Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	128	t	097368	45	65	-	12d	—	—	-8	5.1	7/1 13%
C&D winner; quiet the last twice but this season's best efforts give her sound claims
9 (3)	Irish Dancer ch Josephine Gordon · Declan Carroll	Josephine Gordon · Declan Carroll	128	—	060503	45	63	55	13d	—	—	-6	6.6	7/1 13%
Two runs here have both been promising; repeat of latest C&D third will see him involved
1 (6)	Calafrio gr Brandon Wilkie(3) · Philip Kirby	Brandon Wilkie(3) · Philip Kirby	135	p	224185	53	68	-	35d	—	—	-1	9.8	8/1 11%
Impressed in modest event at Thirsk in August; less good since; new headgear; AW a query
7 (10)	Alibi Warning b Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	129	p	224255	47	67	55	13d	—	—	-2	5.6	12/1 8%
Exposed maiden and not at very best here last time; dangerous if producing a peak effort
12 (2)	Alextrician b Andrew Elliott · Stella Barclay	Andrew Elliott · Stella Barclay	127	v	424886	45	61	49	80d	—	—	-2	2	25/1 4%
11-race maiden but has shown some promise; wind op since last seen; unexposed at 6f
3 (8)	Savalas gr Millie Wonnacott(5) · Adrian Wintle	Millie Wonnacott(5) · Adrian Wintle	131	p	069615	48	64	46	16d	—	—	+4	8.1	22/1 4%
Came from well back to win at Bath last month; less good at Wolverhampton latest
2 (12)	May Remain b Elle-May Croot(5) · Ivan Furtado	Elle-May Croot(5) · Ivan Furtado	135	—	153870	52	68	55	30d	—	—	-1	2.4	25/1 4%
Front-runner; conditions fine and on a dangerous mark; needs to step up on recent return
4 (11)	Piper's Fort b P J McDonald · Katie Scott	P J McDonald · Katie Scott	131	t	557307	49	67	-	19d	—	—	-1	2.4	33/1 3%
Turf win for A Watson in June; yet to fire for current stable; tongue-tie now added
NR (4)	Lil Wade b Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	128	—	728064	45	63	51	16d	—	—	—	1	—
Exposed maiden; conditions no issue but others appeal more for the win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Back Tomorrow	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Evoluir	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Captain Dandy	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	6/1
Fylingdale	7/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
Irish Dancer	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	7/1
Calafrio	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Alibi Warning	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Alextrician	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Savalas	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
May Remain	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Piper's Fort	28/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Evoluir

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Calafrio

9.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

8/1

3rd

Savalas

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Irish Dancer

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Alibi Warning

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Fylingdale

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Back Tomorrow

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Captain Dandy

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

May Remain

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

25/1

Piper's Fort

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Alextrician

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 1

25/1

Lil Wade

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Calafrio Top Rated	53	68	—
May Remain	52	68	55
Piper's Fort	49	67	—
Savalas	48	64	46
Back Tomorrow	47	69	39
Captain Dandy	47	68	46
Alibi Warning	47	67	55
Evoluir	46	64	55
Fylingdale	45	65	—
Irish Dancer	45	63	55
Alextrician	45	61	49
Lil Wade	45	63	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Back Tomorrow	13d ago	Quick return
Evoluir	35d ago	Fit
Captain Dandy	11d ago	Quick return
Fylingdale	12d ago	Quick return
Irish Dancer	13d ago	Quick return
Calafrio	35d ago	Fit
Alibi Warning	13d ago	Quick return
Alextrician	80d ago	Fresh
Savalas	16d ago	Fit
May Remain	30d ago	Fit
Piper's Fort	19d ago	Fit
Lil Wade	16d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
May Remain	Front Runner
Savalas	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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