Navan Racing Festival Real Deal Package On Sale Now Handicap (Div I)

Navan

4:50

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m6f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners 20

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (15)	Forlio ch W J Lee · Paul W Flynn	W J Lee · Paul W Flynn	139	tp	006354	62	71	55	14d	—	—	-2	7	9/1 10%
Left with too much to do here over 1m2f last time; upped in trip now and headgear back on
1 (8)	Elusive Guy b Ronan Whelan · Jarlath P Fahey	Ronan Whelan · Jarlath P Fahey	142	—	7-9375	65	65	58	26d	—	—	-3	6.4	8/1 11%
Couple of decent runs but more needed
2 (4)	Tudor Manor ch Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) · Patrick J Flynn	Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) · Patrick J Flynn	141	—	510752	64	65	41	30d	—	—	+2	13.8	8/1 11%
Listowel second over this trip puts him in the mix
12 (17)	Futurum Regem b Nicola Burns(10) · Hugh Paul Finegan	Nicola Burns(10) · Hugh Paul Finegan	131	b	2-5134	54	72	60	—	—	—	-1	6.6	10/1 9%
Dual hurdles winner here; Bellewstown winner over this trip but bit to find on recent form
16 (6)	Kool One b James Ryan(3) · Conor David Maxwell	James Ryan(3) · Conor David Maxwell	128	—	769923	58	66	49	20d	—	—	+1	11.6	9/1 10%
Needs to settle better but prospects upped in trip here if he does
15 (20)	Steps In The Sand b Colin Keane · Cian Collins	Colin Keane · Cian Collins	129	—	514038	52	65	45	13d	—	—	-2	7.1	17/2 11%
AW winner; creditable turf runs of late, interesting now Keane takes over
3 (5)	Betty Dutton b Seamie Heffernan · E J O'Grady	Seamie Heffernan · E J O'Grady	139	—	764	62	66	55	—	—	—	-2	4.9	14/1 7%
Hurdler whose three Flat runs not without promise; potential improver on handicap debut
NR (3)	Jet Times ch Danny Power(10) · Oliver J Power	Danny Power(10) · Oliver J Power	129	—	8895	52	68	41	9d	—	—	-5	2.7	11/1 8%
Something to take from recent Roscommon handicap debut though more needed
8 (13)	Cafe Con Leche b/br Adam Caffrey(3) · C Byrnes	Adam Caffrey(3) · C Byrnes	136	—	-60084	59	67	45	13d	—	—	-3	4.2	14/1 7%
Didn't quite get home over 2m at Thurles; trip to suit and one to consider
6 (16)	Beautiful Chaos b Shane Markey(10) · Ross O'Sullivan	Shane Markey(10) · Ross O'Sullivan	138	—	808726	61	66	53	9d	—	—	+2	8	12/1 8%
Didn't land a blow at Roscommon latest but respected on previous Bellewstown second
10 (14)	Movie King ch Ben Coen · Mrs C O'Leary	Ben Coen · Mrs C O'Leary	133	t	1293/0	56	64	-	—	—	—	-4	3.4	12/1 8%
Eyecatcher on recent hurdles comeback run; worth a look
5 (7)	Penny Jar b/br Robert Whearty(3) · Patrick Downey	Robert Whearty(3) · Patrick Downey	139	tp	4030-0	62	55	41	—	—	—	-2	4.7	14/1 7%
Good recent hurdles form but poor C&D effort when last seen on the Flat
18 (11)	Breagagh b Andrew Slattery · S Michael Millar	Andrew Slattery · S Michael Millar	124	p	324-00	47	56	54	—	—	—	-3	1.2	20/1 5%
50-race maiden in good form hurdling of late; 2lb wrong for Flat return
9 (2)	Dark Voyager b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Aidan Melia	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Aidan Melia	136	v	/060-0	59	68	-	—	—	—	-2	4	16/1 6%
Recent hurdle runs should have put an edge on him and visor tried (has been blinkered)
13 (1)	Velvet And Vine b J M Sheridan · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J M Sheridan · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	130	—	906550	53	69	59	21d	—	—	-3	2.1	20/1 5%
C&D run over the summer gives her claims but wants decent ground
17 (9)	Onlyinyourdreams ch Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	128	—	4009	58	67	43	30d	—	—	-1	3.1	33/1 3%
Reportedly didn't handle track at Listowel; further step up in trip here
20 (10)	Luxurious Princess b Jack Cleary(7) · Adrian Murray	Jack Cleary(7) · Adrian Murray	122	t	7808	52	66	33	32d	—	—	-3	1.7	20/1 5%
Lightly raced 3yo filly with nothing to recommend so far; steps up in trip and tongue-tied
11 (18)	Mephisto gr Gary Carroll · Gerard Keane	Gary Carroll · Gerard Keane	132	v	054366	55	71	39	—	—	—	+1	3.4	40/1 2%
Below best this year but reduced mark so can't be ruled out
7 (19)	Your Honor b Gavin Brouder(5) · J A Nash	Gavin Brouder(5) · J A Nash	137	—	012/9-	60	71	-	—	—	—	+1	3	80/1 1%
Absent since April and market likely best guide but this stiff 1m6f could test his stamina
19 (12)	Final Endeavour b Chris Hayes · H Rogers	Chris Hayes · H Rogers	124	p	000-70	47	65	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.5	100/1 1%
Regressive 8yo 4lb wrong here and hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Forlio	9/1	17/2	15/2	8/1	8/1
Elusive Guy	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Tudor Manor	8/1	11/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Futurum Regem	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Kool One	8/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	9/1
Steps In The Sand	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2
Betty Dutton	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Jet Times	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Cafe Con Leche	14/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Beautiful Chaos	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Movie King	10/1	11/1	10/1	12/1	11/1
Penny Jar	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Breagagh	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dark Voyager	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Velvet And Vine	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Onlyinyourdreams	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Luxurious Princess	16/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Mephisto	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Your Honor	66/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Final Endeavour	66/1	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tudor Manor

13.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

8/1

2nd

Kool One

11.6

OR: 2 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

9/1

3rd

Beautiful Chaos

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Steps In The Sand

7.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Forlio

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Futurum Regem

6.6

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Elusive Guy

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Betty Dutton

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Penny Jar

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cafe Con Leche

4.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Dark Voyager

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Movie King

3.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mephisto

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Onlyinyourdreams

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Your Honor

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Jet Times

2.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Velvet And Vine

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Luxurious Princess

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Breagagh

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Final Endeavour

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elusive Guy Top Rated	65	65	58
Tudor Manor	64	65	41
Forlio	62	71	55
Betty Dutton	62	66	55
Penny Jar	62	55	41
Beautiful Chaos	61	66	53
Your Honor	60	71	—
Cafe Con Leche	59	67	45
Dark Voyager	59	68	—
Kool One	58	66	49
Onlyinyourdreams	58	67	43
Movie King	56	64	—
Mephisto	55	71	39
Futurum Regem	54	72	60
Velvet And Vine	53	69	59
Steps In The Sand	52	65	45
Jet Times	52	68	41
Luxurious Princess	52	66	33
Breagagh	47	56	54
Final Endeavour	47	65	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Forlio	14d ago	Fit
Elusive Guy	26d ago	Fit
Tudor Manor	30d ago	Fit
Futurum Regem	—	—
Kool One	20d ago	Fit
Steps In The Sand	13d ago	Quick return
Betty Dutton	—	—
Jet Times	9d ago	Quick return
Cafe Con Leche	13d ago	Quick return
Beautiful Chaos	9d ago	Quick return
Movie King	—	—
Penny Jar	—	—
Breagagh	—	—
Dark Voyager	—	—
Velvet And Vine	21d ago	Fit
Onlyinyourdreams	30d ago	Fit
Luxurious Princess	32d ago	Fit
Mephisto	—	—
Your Honor	—	—
Final Endeavour	20d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Your Honor	Front Runner
Movie King	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 20 runners classified.

Going: Yielding

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