betting.betfair.com Nursery Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

6:00

betting.betfair.com Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,664

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (4)	Freak Encounter b Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	121	—	895334	45	64	49	23d	—	—	-12	10.3	11/4 27%
Looked in need of stiffer test at Southwell two runs ago (1m); heavy didn't suit latest.
4 (3)	Capricorn King b Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	124	b	760452	48	67	26	23d	—	—	-10	11.2	3/1 25%
Beat two of these at Leicester; son of a middle-distance winner oughtn't fail for stamina.
1 (7)	Pine Cliffs b Hector Crouch · Jonathan Portman	Hector Crouch · Jonathan Portman	135	p	03664	59	64	55	17d	—	—	-11	8.9	7/2 22%
No better in nurseries yet, but new trip could rectify that; cheekpieces are added.
7 (6)	Spaceage Love Song b Luke Morris · Michael Bell	Luke Morris · Michael Bell	121	v	0056	45	57	42	39d	—	—	-12	5	6/1 14%
Finally beat rivals but couldn't vindicate the strong support on nursery debut (1m).
6 (8)	Good Call ch Kieran O'Neill · J S Moore	Kieran O'Neill · J S Moore	121	—	473433	45	63	52	22d	—	—	+1	7.9	12/1 8%
Beat two of these at Kempton latest; consistent if exposed, but might see out 1m2f.
2 (1)	No Release b Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	128	b	89896	52	66	48	22d	—	—	-5	2.4	12/1 8%
Yet to improve for nurseries, albeit refusing to settle in blinkers last time (retained).
3 (5)	Downcliffe Flyer ch Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	127	—	607	51	55	-	47d	—	—	-2	1.1	33/1 3%
Shown little on fast and slow turf up to 7.5f, but still some grounds for hope.
8 (2)	Astroqualis br Connor Planas(3) · Matt Crawley	Connor Planas(3) · Matt Crawley	121	p	00065	45	56	45	22d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Ahead of No Release on both nursery starts without threatening in either; more needed.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Freak Encounter	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Capricorn King	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Pine Cliffs	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	3/1
Spaceage Love Song	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1	6/1
Good Call	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
No Release	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Downcliffe Flyer	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Astroqualis	100/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Capricorn King

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Freak Encounter

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Pine Cliffs

8.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Good Call

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Spaceage Love Song

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

6/1

No Release

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Downcliffe Flyer

1.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Astroqualis

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pine Cliffs Top Rated	59	64	55
No Release	52	66	48
Downcliffe Flyer	51	55	—
Capricorn King	48	67	26
Freak Encounter	45	64	49
Spaceage Love Song	45	57	42
Good Call	45	63	52
Astroqualis	45	56	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Freak Encounter	23d ago	Fit
Capricorn King	23d ago	Fit
Pine Cliffs	17d ago	Fit
Spaceage Love Song	39d ago	Fit
Good Call	22d ago	Fit
No Release	22d ago	Fit
Downcliffe Flyer	47d ago	Fresh
Astroqualis	22d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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