Two Plus Two Handicap Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)

Musselburgh

1:45

Date 2024-11-29

Distance 2m7f138y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Defence Witness br Ryan Mania · Sandy Thomson	Ryan Mania · Sandy Thomson	160	p	-97366	92	103	38	56d	—	—	-14	24.5	6/5 45%
Won point and bumper on first 2 starts; out of luck since, including on chase debut
1	Return Fire b Alan Doyle(5) · Lucinda Russell	Alan Doyle(5) · Lucinda Russell	168	t	U6-641	100	107	94	21d	—	—	-2	18.7	10/3 23%
Back to form of late and still on a winning mark despite recent 3m Hexham win
4	Hapy La Vie b Theo Gillard · James Ewart	Theo Gillard · James Ewart	155	p	/211-1	87	104	-	32d	—	—	+8	23.7	5/1 17%
Progressive 3m chaser in 2023; made all back hurdling after layoff latest; bold bid again
3	Dr Shirocco ch Conor O'Farrell · Sandy Forster	Conor O'Farrell · Sandy Forster	155	—	-12348	87	106	92	24d	—	—	+5	17.9	15/2 12%
On same mark as 3m win in May; has won fresh but below best latest when back from break
5	Uncle Mac b Edward Austin(5) · Paul Robson	Edward Austin(5) · Paul Robson	150	ht	4-65P0	82	-	-	32d	—	—	+4	9.6	16/1 6%
Modest handicap form over fences and hurdles; goes up in trip with plenty to find
6	Ex S'Elance b Charlie Maggs(7) · Victor Thompson	Charlie Maggs(7) · Victor Thompson	145	p	4P87-F	77	98	91	209d	—	—	+4	7.7	28/1 3%
Two 2m4f chase wins in early 2023; not in much form this year; off since falling in May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Defence Witness	6/5	6/5	11/10	11/10	6/5
Return Fire	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Hapy La Vie	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dr Shirocco	13/2	13/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Uncle Mac	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Ex S'Elance	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Defence Witness

24.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 12.5

6/5

2nd

Hapy La Vie

23.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Return Fire

18.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Dr Shirocco

17.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Uncle Mac

9.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ex S'Elance

7.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Return Fire Top Rated	100	107	94
Defence Witness	92	103	38
Hapy La Vie	87	104	—
Dr Shirocco	87	106	92
Uncle Mac	82	—	—
Ex S'Elance	77	98	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Defence Witness	56d ago	Fresh
Return Fire	21d ago	Fit
Hapy La Vie	32d ago	Fit
Dr Shirocco	24d ago	Fit
Uncle Mac	32d ago	Fit
Ex S'Elance	209d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Soft

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