BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

8:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-02-28

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (3)	Hype Merchant ch Rossa Ryan · David Loughnane	Rossa Ryan · David Loughnane	132	—	6807-2	52	60	52	15d	—	—	-15	14.9	2/1 33%
Runner-up over 7f at Chelmsford when back from a break & this drop back in trip could suit
5 (5)	Love Games b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	132	—	6639-4	52	62	25	14d	—	—	-16	7.8	11/4 27%
Fair fourth over 7f at Newcastle last time and this drop back in trip looks the right move
8 (4)	Martha Costello b Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	129	—	77-7	49	58	19	13d	—	—	-9	3.6	13/2 13%
Only seventh on her three starts but a market check is advised on handicap debut
1 (11)	Sun Keeper b Dougie Costello · Alice Haynes	Dougie Costello · Alice Haynes	141	t	67-831	61	57	45	10d	—	—	-6	6.4	15/2 12%
Won at Wolverhampton last week on second handicap start and holds solid claims
7 (7)	Due Respect b Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	131	—	0670-4	51	63	49	15d	—	—	-8	3.3	8/1 11%
Didn't threaten on stable debut but well backed; interesting to see if supporters return
4 (1)	Bank On Kent b P J McDonald · David Evans	P J McDonald · David Evans	133	—	32-564	53	60	57	22d	—	—	-6	3.3	10/1 9%
Remains a maiden after 13 starts but placed a few times and might not be far away
9 (6)	Sandinyourshoes b Alex Jary(5) · Stella Barclay	Alex Jary(5) · Stella Barclay	129	—	0-55	49	53	26	36d	—	—	-3	1	28/1 3%
Well beaten thus far but has useful pedigree and goes handicapping off a basement mark
3 (2)	Tiana Rose b Warren Fentiman(7) · Philip McBride	Warren Fentiman(7) · Philip McBride	133	—	80038-	53	57	24	153d	—	—	0	3.7	33/1 3%
Fair third on handicap debut in September but off since lesser run later that month
2 (8)	College Witch b Joe Bradnam(7) · Christine Dunnett	Joe Bradnam(7) · Christine Dunnett	135	—	0-79	55	61	-	14d	—	—	0	1.7	80/1 1%
Goes handicapping off a lowly mark but others have more compelling claims
11 (10)	Baby Rover b Darragh Keenan · Katie Scott	Darragh Keenan · Katie Scott	126	p	999-67	46	48	37	22d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Has shown little across her five starts; cheekpieces go on
NR (9)	La Mer Grise gr TBC · Tony Carroll	· Tony Carroll	126	—	76-456	46	56	49	15d	—	—	—	0	—
Improvement needed if she's to get off the mark today at the eighth attempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hype Merchant	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8	15/8
Love Games	5/2	11/4	9/4	5/2	5/2
Martha Costello	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Sun Keeper	7/1	6/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Due Respect	15/2	8/1	13/2	8/1	8/1
Bank On Kent	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Sandinyourshoes	28/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Tiana Rose	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
College Witch	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Baby Rover	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
La Mer Grise	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hype Merchant

14.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Love Games

7.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Sun Keeper

6.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Tiana Rose

3.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Martha Costello

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Due Respect

3.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Bank On Kent

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

College Witch

1.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Sandinyourshoes

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Baby Rover

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

La Mer Grise

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sun Keeper Top Rated	61	57	45
College Witch	55	61	—
Bank On Kent	53	60	57
Tiana Rose	53	57	24
Hype Merchant	52	60	52
Love Games	52	62	25
Due Respect	51	63	49
Martha Costello	49	58	19
Sandinyourshoes	49	53	26
Baby Rover	46	48	37
La Mer Grise	46	56	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hype Merchant	15d ago	Fit
Love Games	14d ago	Fit
Martha Costello	13d ago	Quick return
Sun Keeper	10d ago	Quick return
Due Respect	15d ago	Fit
Bank On Kent	22d ago	Fit
Sandinyourshoes	36d ago	Fit
Tiana Rose	153d ago	Long break
College Witch	14d ago	Fit
Baby Rover	22d ago	Fit
La Mer Grise	15d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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