JP & M Doyle (C & G) INH Flat Race – Punchestown

Punchestown

6:35

JP & M Doyle (C & G) INH Flat Race

Date 2025-05-01

Distance 2m94y

Class

Going Yielding

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-7yo

Prize €10,325

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10	Ksar Fatal br Mr P W Mullins · W P Mullins	Mr P W Mullins · W P Mullins	168	—	11	-	130	70	54d	—	—	-8	28.8	6/4 40%
Beat the very useful Cardcounter by 5l in a point, hacked up at Gowran, strong prospects
5	El Cairos ch Mr David Maxwell · Gary & Josh Moore	Mr David Maxwell · Gary & Josh Moore	168	—	1-15	-	126	98	50d	—	—	-8	13.2	4/1 20%
E200,000 purchase after Irish point win, ran a cracking race when fifth at Cheltenham
3	Dani Donadoni b Miss J Townend · W P Mullins	Miss J Townend · W P Mullins	168	—	1	-	121	22	30d	—	—	+1	13.6	13/2 13%
Odds-on winner on debut at Limerick, raced keenly and has potential for improvement
6	Goldinthemountains ch Mr Derek O'Connor · Martin Brassil	Mr Derek O'Connor · Martin Brassil	168	t	4/15-F	-	122	-	126d	—	—	-7	2.7	8/1 11%
Leopardstown winner, remote fifth in this race last year, fell three out on hurdling debut
8	Kilwaughter b Mr S Connor(7) · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	Mr S Connor(7) · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	168	—	16	-	119	109	26d	—	—	+1	9.2	11/1 8%
Acquired for £120,000 after Down Royal win, did well at Aintree after meeting trouble
1	Baron Noir b Mr R James(7) · Alan King	Mr R James(7) · Alan King	168	—	38-13	-	117	91	82d	—	—	-4	1.4	16/1 6%
Newbury third suggests Plumpton winner has improved since running twice in Irish bumpers
4	Edward Sexton gr Mr David Dunsdon · Gary & Josh Moore	Mr David Dunsdon · Gary & Josh Moore	168	—	231	-	114	103	45d	—	—	+11	16	18/1 5%
Fontwell winner for this rider on third outing, missed an Aintree Grade 2 engagement
9	Koktail Brut b Mr H C Swan · Gordon Elliott	Mr H C Swan · Gordon Elliott	168	—	1-1443	-	123	110	26d	—	—	+4	8.2	18/1 5%
Fairyhouse winner, confirmed a good standard of form with Aintree third, Kilwaughter sixth
13	Ned Hill b Mr Finian Maguire · Fergal O'Brien	Mr Finian Maguire · Fergal O'Brien	161	t	4	-	97	55	89d	—	—	-3	1.2	28/1 3%
Major improvement needed from an initial bumper outing at Wetherby in February
11	L' Evangeliste b Mr E P O'Brien(5) · E McNamara	Mr E P O'Brien(5) · E McNamara	168	—	F1-31	-	107	64	49d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Point winner, promoted winner on the second of two Limerick bumper runs, tough task here
14	Powerful Paddy gr Mr D Doyle(7) · Alan McIntyre	Mr D Doyle(7) · Alan McIntyre	161	—	342	-	115	44	30d	—	—	+5	7	80/1 1%
Has shown ability but is safely held by the Mullins pair Ksar Fatal and Dani Donadoni
2	Brave Crogha gr Miss A B O'Connor · I Madden	Miss A B O'Connor · I Madden	168	—	0-0135	-	107	102	200d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
200-1 winner at Galway last August, useful sort but unlikely to repeat that success
NR	He Can't Dance gr Mr J H Williamson(7) · Gordon Elliott	Mr J H Williamson(7) · Gordon Elliott	168	—	1-138	-	123	95	50d	—	—	—	7	—
Navan winner before Grade 2 third at Leopardstown, not far behind El Cairos at Cheltenham
NR	Dark Eagle b NON-RUNNER · Robin McNeilly	NON-RUNNER · Robin McNeilly	161	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Lack of experience a big drawback in a race like this, hood and tongue-tie on for debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ksar Fatal	6/5	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
El Cairos	4/1	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3
Dani Donadoni	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Goldinthemountains	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Kilwaughter	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Baron Noir	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Edward Sexton	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Koktail Brut	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Ned Hill	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
L' Evangeliste	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Powerful Paddy	80/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Brave Crogha	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1
He Can't Dance	-	-	-	-	-
Dark Eagle	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ksar Fatal

28.8

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Edward Sexton

OR: 0 Form: 14.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Dani Donadoni

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

El Cairos

13.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Kilwaughter

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Koktail Brut

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Powerful Paddy

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5

80/1

He Can't Dance

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Goldinthemountains

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Baron Noir

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ned Hill

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

L' Evangeliste

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Brave Crogha

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Dark Eagle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ksar Fatal	—	130	70
El Cairos	—	126	98
Dani Donadoni	—	121	22
Goldinthemountains	—	122	—
Kilwaughter	—	119	109
Baron Noir	—	117	91
Edward Sexton	—	114	103
Koktail Brut	—	123	110
Ned Hill	—	97	55
L' Evangeliste	—	107	64
Powerful Paddy	—	115	44
Brave Crogha	—	107	102
He Can't Dance	—	123	95
Dark Eagle	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ksar Fatal	54d ago	Fresh
El Cairos	50d ago	Fresh
Dani Donadoni	30d ago	Fit
Goldinthemountains	126d ago	Long break
Kilwaughter	26d ago	Fit
Baron Noir	82d ago	Fresh
Edward Sexton	45d ago	Fit
Koktail Brut	26d ago	Fit
Ned Hill	89d ago	Fresh
L' Evangeliste	49d ago	Fresh
Powerful Paddy	30d ago	Fit
Brave Crogha	200d ago	Long break
He Can't Dance	50d ago	Fresh
Dark Eagle	—	—

Going: Yielding

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