IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

6:40

Date 2025-07-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (4)	Dictal b Colin Keane · Andrew Balding	Colin Keane · Andrew Balding	128	—	4	-	78	71	24d	—	—	-31	15.4	6/5 45%
2-1, in touch long way when 4th of nine at Windsor (6f, good); should improve and needs to
2 (9)	Berlinetta b Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	5/1 17%
260,000gns yearling by Pinatubo; her leading stable running Concert as well
5 (3)	Hopeful Dream b Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	6/1 14%
By No Nay Never; dam unplaced half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Midnight Mile
6 (2)	Lope El Fuego b Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex	Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex	128	—	5	-	82	22	19d	—	—	-6	2.5	10/1 9%
10-1 at Bath (5f, good to firm), always in touch and rallying for 5th; best form in this
1 (7)	Affran b Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	128	—	4	-	67	14	17d	—	—	-6	2.1	12/1 8%
Pedigree points to longer trips but she did show ability in a Chepstow maiden (6f, good)
9 (1)	Princess Petrol ch George Downing · Ed Walker	George Downing · Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	14/1 7%
280,000gns yearling by St Mark's Basilica; dam 7f 2yo winner (including Group 3; 104)
3 (8)	Concert gr Mirai Iwata · William Haggas	Mirai Iwata · William Haggas	128	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	20/1 5%
125,000gns by Showcasing; tongue tied for debut; stablemate of Berlinetta
8 (6)	Moo Deng gr/b Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	128	—	64	-	76	22	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
20-1 fourth of eight at Chelmsford (6f, AW) was better but she needs to build on that
7 (5)	Molly Mac b Lewis Edmunds · Michael Keady	Lewis Edmunds · Michael Keady	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
£30,000 breeze-up 2yo by Ardad; trainer has had few 2yo runners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dictal	evn	6/5	11/10	evn	11/10
Berlinetta	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	5/1
Hopeful Dream	11/2	5/1	6/1	6/1	9/2
Lope El Fuego	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Affran	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Princess Petrol	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Concert	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Moo Deng	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Molly Mac	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dictal

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

6/5

2nd

Berlinetta

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

3rd

Hopeful Dream

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Lope El Fuego

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Affran

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Princess Petrol

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Concert

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Moo Deng

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Molly Mac

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dictal	—	78	71
Berlinetta	—	—	—
Hopeful Dream	—	—	—
Lope El Fuego	—	82	22
Affran	—	67	14
Princess Petrol	—	—	—
Concert	—	—	—
Moo Deng	—	76	22
Molly Mac	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dictal	24d ago	Fit
Berlinetta	—	—
Hopeful Dream	—	—
Lope El Fuego	19d ago	Fit
Affran	17d ago	Fit
Princess Petrol	—	—
Concert	—	—
Moo Deng	14d ago	Fit
Molly Mac	—	—

Going: Good To Firm

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