JCB Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

8:10

JCB Handicap

Date 2025-07-18

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,381

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (9)	Waistcoat ch Paddy Bradley · Ross Burdon	Paddy Bradley · Ross Burdon	131	t	618144	64	78	71	21d	—	—	-6	17.8	7/2 22%
Two 6f wins this term (good); close fourth over tonight's trip latest, keeping on; chance.
3 (1)	Renesmee b Marco Ghiani · Michael Keady	Marco Ghiani · Michael Keady	132	p	8-2331	65	79	72	22d	—	—	-11	9.9	9/2 18%
Only 1lb higher than for last month's Nottingham win; first drop to 7f since early 2024.
2 (4)	Outrun The Storm b Barry McHugh · Richard Fahey	Barry McHugh · Richard Fahey	134	—	830472	67	79	72	35d	—	—	-5	16	9/2 18%
Took this off 3lb higher in 2023; almost won despite plenty going wrong at Chester latest.
7 (3)	Enpassant ch Richard Kingscote · Michael Herrington	Richard Kingscote · Michael Herrington	125	—	807473	58	80	74	15d	—	—	-9	10.7	11/2 15%
Mark unchanged despite good Yarmouth third; trip and ground are fine again.
1 (7)	Ernie's Valentine gr Sean D Bowen · Ross Burdon	Sean D Bowen · Ross Burdon	135	p	1-8805	68	80	39	17d	—	—	+6	13.6	14/1 7%
Mark has never been lower; recorded early-80s RPRs on turf, albeit at 1m, only a year ago.
9 (2)	Saved Lizzie ch Jack Dace(7) · Robert Eddery	Jack Dace(7) · Robert Eddery	120	—	247-66	53	79	29	36d	—	—	-3	2.4	18/1 5%
Well handicapped, but 0-16 and turn maybe not as near as it appeared to be late last year.
6 (5)	Split Elevens b Neil Callan · John Butler	Neil Callan · John Butler	129	—	341232	62	79	-	91d	—	—	+11	17.2	18/1 5%
Better strike-rate on AW; chance if transferring earlier 2025 form back to turf.
4 (8)	American Treasure b Jason Watson · Stuart Williams	Jason Watson · Stuart Williams	132	t	34078	65	77	-	9d	—	—	0	6	22/1 4%
Yet to find her level in handicaps but maybe the tongue-tie will help; turf debut.
8 (6)	Born A Rebel b Benoit De La Sayette · Patrick Owens	Benoit De La Sayette · Patrick Owens	124	t	9-9574	57	77	58	20d	—	—	-1	2.8	28/1 3%
Never getting there in time over 6f latest; down to a new lowest mark.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Waistcoat	7/2	3/1	16/5	9/4	3/1
Renesmee	3/1	7/2	7/2	9/2	10/3
Outrun The Storm	4/1	7/2	4/1	9/2	10/3
Enpassant	7/2	4/1	7/2	11/2	7/2
Ernie's Valentine	14/1	11/1	12/1	9/1	12/1
Saved Lizzie	12/1	12/1	12/1	18/1	14/1
Split Elevens	18/1	16/1	18/1	12/1	18/1
American Treasure	22/1	22/1	22/1	12/1	22/1
Born A Rebel	25/1	28/1	28/1	18/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Waistcoat

17.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

7/2

2nd

Split Elevens

17.2

OR: 3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.6

18/1

3rd

Outrun The Storm

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6.2

9/2

Ernie's Valentine

13.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Enpassant

10.7

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

11/2

Renesmee

9.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

9/2

American Treasure

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Born A Rebel

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Saved Lizzie

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ernie's Valentine Top Rated	68	80	39
Outrun The Storm	67	79	72
Renesmee	65	79	72
American Treasure	65	77	—
Waistcoat	64	78	71
Split Elevens	62	79	—
Enpassant	58	80	74
Born A Rebel	57	77	58
Saved Lizzie	53	79	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Waistcoat	21d ago	Fit
Renesmee	22d ago	Fit
Outrun The Storm	35d ago	Fit
Enpassant	15d ago	Fit
Ernie's Valentine	17d ago	Fit
Saved Lizzie	36d ago	Fit
Split Elevens	91d ago	Long break
American Treasure	9d ago	Quick return
Born A Rebel	20d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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