SBK Betting Podcast Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

8:00

SBK Betting Podcast Handicap

Date 2026-02-20

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £18,319

Runners 12

Weather Overcast

Temp 5°C

Wind 9mph SW

Rain 9%

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (2)	Nogo's Dream b Billy Loughnane · Richard Hughes	Billy Loughnane · Richard Hughes	132	p	7485-2	78	92	68	10d	—	—	-1	17.2	4/1 20%
Three wins last year; mark still in range and recent return was promising; shortlisted
4 (1)	Existent b Jack Dace(5) · Stuart Williams	Jack Dace(5) · Stuart Williams	133	—	6820-1	79	94	81	47d	—	—	+8	20.9	5/1 17%
Ended long losing run over C&D last month; still feasibly weighted and e-w claims at least
12 (12)	Juan Les Pins b Jason Watson · Michael Appleby	Jason Watson · Michael Appleby	130	—	589-33	76	93	64	38d	—	—	-4	10.5	11/2 15%
On long losing run but arrives in form and should go well granted luck in running
3 (7)	Sam's Hope b Oisin Murphy · Martin Dunne	Oisin Murphy · Martin Dunne	133	t	55-115	79	89	72	21d	—	—	-1	10.3	13/2 13%
Shot 30lb up the weights for his yard since last July; in deeper today & may come up short
2 (5)	Almaty Star b Jack Mitchell · Robert Cowell	Jack Mitchell · Robert Cowell	134	p	8234-2	80	96	79	39d	—	—	+5	15.6	7/1 13%
Rarely runs a bad race on AW and should go well despite his mark creeping back up
1 (10)	Master Of My Fate b Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	134	—	78-426	80	95	77	20d	—	—	+1	10.2	8/1 11%
Signs of a full revival in recent starts; not ruled out
6 (11)	Cuban Grey gr David Egan · Patrick J McKenna	David Egan · Patrick J McKenna	132	tp	1340-3	78	95	67	14d	—	—	+5	11.9	12/1 8%
Irish raider; sharper for recent run; last July's Curragh win worked out well; interesting
11 (6)	Golden Long b J F Egan · Lemos De Souza	J F Egan · Lemos De Souza	131	t	44230/	77	-	-	429d	—	—	+6	13.5	18/1 5%
1-9 in Hong Kong; makes British debut after 429 days off; promise on dirt; tough to assess
7 (3)	Sports Coach b Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	132	—	50503-	78	89	-	195d	—	—	+6	11.4	18/1 5%
Lightly raced for a 5yo; retained ability last year; back from a break in competitive race
5 (8)	Blind Beggar b Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	133	v	82405-	79	93	-	112d	—	—	+6	9.9	20/1 5%
On winning mark and conditions won't be an issue; he'll ned to be on top form after break
10 (4)	Zarzyni b William Pyle(3) · David & Nicola Barron	William Pyle(3) · David & Nicola Barron	131	p	28178-	77	89	66	125d	—	—	+10	13.8	22/1 4%
C&D win last year came in Class 5; has the ability to feature but 4-month absence to defy
NR (9)	El Bufalo ch Robert Havlin · Thomas Faulkner	Robert Havlin · Thomas Faulkner	131	tp	21-125	77	92	67	4d	—	—	—	6.8	—
Had excuses on Monday and in good form beforehand; high enough in the weights now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nogo's Dream	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Existent	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Juan Les Pins	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Sam's Hope	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Almaty Star	6/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Master Of My Fate	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Cuban Grey	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Golden Long	18/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sports Coach	14/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Blind Beggar	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Zarzyni	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
El Bufalo	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Existent

20.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

5/1

2nd

Nogo's Dream

17.2

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Almaty Star

15.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Zarzyni

13.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Golden Long

13.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.1

18/1

Cuban Grey

11.9

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Sports Coach

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Juan Les Pins

10.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Sam's Hope

10.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Master Of My Fate

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Blind Beggar

9.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

El Bufalo

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Almaty Star Top Rated	80	96	79
Master Of My Fate	80	95	77
Existent	79	94	81
Sam's Hope	79	89	72
Blind Beggar	79	93	—
Nogo's Dream	78	92	68
Cuban Grey	78	95	67
Sports Coach	78	89	—
Golden Long	77	—	—
Zarzyni	77	89	66
El Bufalo	77	92	67
Juan Les Pins	76	93	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nogo's Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Existent	47d ago	Fresh
Juan Les Pins	38d ago	Fit
Sam's Hope	21d ago	Fit
Almaty Star	39d ago	Fit
Master Of My Fate	20d ago	Fit
Cuban Grey	14d ago	Fit
Golden Long	429d ago	Long break
Sports Coach	195d ago	Long break
Blind Beggar	112d ago	Long break
Zarzyni	125d ago	Long break
El Bufalo	4d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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