Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-01-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 1m 40.39s (slow by 2.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Imperial Ace (IRE) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	11/4	Won
2nd	Roaring Legend (FR) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	EvensF	2.25
3rd	Regal Empire (IRE) Tom Marquand · James Tate	4/1	4.5
4th	Grand Central (GB) Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	80/1	1
5th	Irish Flame (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	7/1	.75
6th	Bravura (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	11/1	3.25
7th	Okeanos (FR) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado	40/1	.5
8th	The Follower (IRE) Sam James · David & Nicola Barron	150/1	1
9th	Congress (GB) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell	200/1	4.25
10th	Ella's Angel (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Jake Thomas Coulson	250/1	.5
11th	Ruby Arabella (GB) Joey Haynes · Ivan Furtado	300/1	5
12th	The White Elephant (GB) Graham Lee · Ronald Thompson	300/1	14

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Irish Flame Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	149	—	51-	-	73	57	34d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Impressive on stable debut at Newcastle last month; unexposed but more will be needed here
2 (2)	Okeanos Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	142	—	4-	-	63	-	33d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Couldn't reward market support here on debut but did show some ability; more is required
3 (8)	Ruby Arabella Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	J:Joey Haynes T:Ivan Furtado	137	—	07-	-	21	-	33d	—	—	—	0	—	—
She finished last in two Tapeta novice events (7f) last month and is hard to recommend
4 (1)	Imperial Ace Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	129	—	3-1	-	74	40	19d	—	—	—	12.1	—	—
Promise on debut and then ran on well to win at Newcastle 19 days ago; capable of better
5 (3)	Regal Empire Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:James Tate	J:Tom Marquand T:James Tate	129	—	91	-	78	58	11d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Strongest at the finish when winning a C&D novice 11 days ago; open to further progress
6 (11)	Bravura Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	122	—	6-2	-	79	50	29d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Second to a useful opponent at Lingfield last time (1m); capable of better; solid chance
7 (5)	Congress Bay J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	122	—	6-89	-	57	22	11d	—	—	—	0	—	—
14l behind Roman Empire here 11 days ago; one for handicaps in time
8 (10)	Flying Frontier Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Tate	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Tate	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Half-brother to 2 winners out of a well-related mare; stable also run Regal Empire
9 (13)	Grand Central Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	122	eb	876-54	64	69	53	12d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Not beaten far in a Class 6 Kempton handicap latest; more on his plate here
10 (4)	Roaring Legend Grey Roan J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	122	—	2-	-	82	48	49d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Ran well at Wolverhampton on debut and he's open to plenty of improvement; solid claims
11 (6)	The Follower Grey J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	122	—	0-	-	-	-	141d	—	—	—	0	—	—
66-1 when tailed off on soft ground in September; needs a transformation
12 (12)	Ellas Angel Black J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jake Thomas Coulson	117	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Limited appeal on paper and would be a surprise winner on debut
13 (9)	The White Elephant Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ronald Thompson	J:Graham Lee T:Ronald Thompson	117	—	89-	-	27	-	102d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Huge prices and tailed off in two soft-ground runs in the autumn

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Imperial Ace

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Irish Flame

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Regal Empire

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Bravura

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Roaring Legend

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Grand Central

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Okeanos

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ruby Arabella

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Congress

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Flying Frontier

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

The Follower

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ellas Angel

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

The White Elephant

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grand Central	64	69	53
Irish Flame	—	73	57
Okeanos	—	63	—
Ruby Arabella	—	21	—
Imperial Ace	—	74	40
Regal Empire	—	78	58
Bravura	—	79	50
Congress	—	57	22
Flying Frontier	—	—	—
Roaring Legend	—	82	48
The Follower	—	—	—
Ellas Angel	—	—	—
The White Elephant	—	27	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Regal Empire	11d ago	Quick return
Congress	11d ago	Quick return
Grand Central	12d ago	Quick return
Imperial Ace	19d ago	Fit
Bravura	29d ago	Fit
Okeanos	33d ago	Fit
Ruby Arabella	33d ago	Fit
Irish Flame	34d ago	Fit
Roaring Legend	49d ago	Fresh
The White Elephant	102d ago	Long break
The Follower	141d ago	Long break
Flying Frontier	—	—
Ellas Angel	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Okeanos	Prominent
Irish Flame	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.