Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:15

Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-02-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,292

Winning Time 1m 13.40s (slow by 1.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Autumn Angel (IRE) Jonathan Fisher · Tony Carroll	8/1	Won
2nd	Marwari (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	11/4F	1.25
3rd	Giselles Izzy (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	7/1	0.2
4th	Ireland's Eye (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	6/1	1
5th	Big Impact (GB) Ryan Sexton · Robyn Brisland	10/1	1
6th	Magicinthemaking (USA) David Probert · John E Long	18/1	1
7th	Fristel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Mark Loughnane	28/1	.5
8th	Ustath (GB) Sam James · Roger Fell	9/1	0.3
9th	Brazen Arrow (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Christine Dunnett	12/1	0.3
10th	Final Frontier (IRE) Tom Eaves · Ruth Carr	12/1	1.25
11th	Bungle Bay (IRE) Dougie Costello · James Evans	12/1	.5
12th	Jack Ryan (IRE) Darragh Keenan · John Ryan	16/1	7.5
13th	Runner Bean (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Ed de Giles	66/1	6

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (5)	Privilege Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Robert Cowell	J:Jack Mitchell T:Robert Cowell	126	tp	2380-1	51	73	62	43d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Sprung 40-1 surprise in 6f classified event 6 weeks ago; more needed up 5lb in better race
1 (11)	Runner Bean Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed De Giles	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed De Giles	135	—	046/	60	69	-	425d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Promise twice at Kempton last winter; stable/h'cap debut after 425 days off; check betting
2 (3)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Tony Carroll	134	h	3026-5	59	75	52	18d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
0-12 but has gone close over this mark; not disgraced over 7f latest; each-way squeak
3 (6)	Marwari Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	1525-6	59	74	65	15d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Three-time course winner last summer; ran well behind Giselles Izzy here in Dec; contender
4 (14)	Bungle Bay Bay J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	133	—	82-166	58	73	62	18d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Successful at Wolverhampton last month (6f) & fair efforts since; widest stall this time
5 (7)	Big Impact Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Robyn Brisland	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Robyn Brisland	132	—	6-4458	57	74	65	11d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
7f too far for him last time; plenty of form this winter that gives him each-way claims
6 (13)	Fristel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Mark Loughnane	J:Cam Hardie T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	4659-3	57	73	64	30d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
12-race maiden; has the ability to feature but stall 13 tempers enthusiasm
7 (8)	Ustath Chestnut J:Sam James T:Roger Fell	J:Sam James T:Roger Fell	132	—	-72114	57	74	61	14d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Two course wins (6f & 5f) last month; fair run in handicap latest but more required now
8 (12)	Irelands Eye Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	131	tb	/41-74	56	72	58	15d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
C&D winner in December after a break; ran well in this headgear latest; drawn wide today
9 (10)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	130	—	31-535	55	73	64	14d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
C&D winner in December; run creditably in defeat since; may fare better today
10 (2)	Magicinthemaking Brown J:David Probert T:John E Long	J:David Probert T:John E Long	130	—	2875-1	55	72	58	42d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Seven AW wins, all on Polytrack; 3lb rise for last month's 7f Kempton win manageable
11 (4)	Final Frontier Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ruth Carr	J:Tom Eaves T:Ruth Carr	128	h	332-38	53	74	67	24d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Below par in Class 5 latest but he had been knocking at the door at this level beforehand
13 (9)	Jack Ryan Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Ryan	126	b	217-35	51	70	61	15d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Not beaten far over C&D the last twice; just 1-27 on AW though and others appeal more
14 (1)	Brazen Arrow Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	121	v	528-77	46	71	59	9d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Exposed performer who has finished down the field in classified events the last twice

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ustath

15.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Magicinthemaking

11.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Privilege

10.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Fristel

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Runner Bean

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Autumn Angel

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Marwari

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bungle Bay

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Big Impact

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Irelands Eye

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Giselles Izzy

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Final Frontier

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Jack Ryan

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Brazen Arrow

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Runner Bean	60	69	—
Autumn Angel	59	75	52
Marwari	59	74	65
Bungle Bay	58	73	62
Big Impact	57	74	65
Fristel	57	73	64
Ustath	57	74	61
Irelands Eye	56	72	58
Giselles Izzy	55	73	64
Magicinthemaking	55	72	58
Final Frontier	53	74	67
Privilege	51	73	62
Jack Ryan	51	70	61
Brazen Arrow	46	71	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazen Arrow	9d ago	Quick return
Big Impact	11d ago	Quick return
Ustath	14d ago	Fit
Giselles Izzy	14d ago	Fit
Marwari	15d ago	Fit
Irelands Eye	15d ago	Fit
Jack Ryan	15d ago	Fit
Autumn Angel	18d ago	Fit
Bungle Bay	18d ago	Fit
Final Frontier	24d ago	Fit
Fristel	30d ago	Fit
Magicinthemaking	42d ago	Fit
Privilege	43d ago	Fit
Runner Bean	425d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.