SCU Selects Expert Tips By BetUK Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:15

SCU Selects Expert Tips By BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-03-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,004

Winning Time 2m 5.05s (slow by 3.75s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Villalobos (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon Hodgson	8/1	Won
2nd	Miss Elsa (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Lee Carter	16/1	1.5
3rd	Come To Pass (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Tony Carroll	14/1	1
4th	Dashing To You (GB) Collen Storey · William Stone	14/1	.75
5th	Hellavapace (GB) Tyler Saunders · Jonathan Portman	40/1	0.3
6th	Hot Day (GB) David Egan · J S Moore	14/1	0.2
7th	Daphne May (GB) Oisin Murphy · Gary Moore	10/11F	.75
8th	Bold And Loyal (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	11/1	.5
9th	Star Of St Louis (FR) Luke Morris · Denis Quinn	20/1	0.3
10th	Recuerdame (USA) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	16/1	.5
11th	Tara (GB) George Rooke · Lydia Richards	40/1	6.5
12th	Royal Debut (IRE) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	12/1	1.25
13th	Long Time Comin (GB) William Carson · Michael Attwater	150/1	4.25

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Recuerdame Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	137	—	-61533	54	65	53	11d	—	—	—	9.1	—	—
Knows how to win and comes here in good order; more appealing than many
2 (8)	Hot Day Bay J:David Egan T:J S Moore	J:David Egan T:J S Moore	137	p	4-5244	54	65	53	24d	—	—	—	1	—	—
Poor strike-rate; in fair form this winter but others look stronger
3 (9)	Daphne May Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Gary Moore	J:Oisin Murphy T:Gary Moore	137	—	-89132	54	68	54	6d	—	—	—	13.1	—	—
Comes here in good form and should go well, for all her stamina isn't entirely assured
4 (2)	Villalobos Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Hodgson	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Hodgson	136	p	921-28	53	64	39	46d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	0.8	—	—
Ready win on stable debut here yesterday; may find it tougher to dominate this 1m contest
5 (12)	Come To Pass Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	135	—	11-756	52	66	38	10d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Possesses some good recent course form but settling better is the key over 1m4f here
6 (10)	Star Of St Louis Bay J:Luke Morris T:Denis Quinn	J:Luke Morris T:Denis Quinn	135	—	418-17	52	63	40	52d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Beat Villalobos over C&D in Jan but failed to fire one week later; claims if bouncing back
7 (13)	Dashing To You Bay J:Collen Storey T:William Stone	J:Collen Storey T:William Stone	135	b	845-39	52	65	61	46d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Form dipped at Southwell last time and he's opposable from a wide draw
8 (11)	Royal Debut Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	135	—	806-93	52	63	31	6d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Well backed & showed improvement at Kempton on last week's stable debut; new trip may help
9 (14)	Hellavapace br/gr J:Tyler Saunders(5) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Tyler Saunders(5) T:Jonathan Portman	134	b	3258-3	51	65	58	25d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Didn't run badly over this trip last time but she looks opposable from the widest stall
10 (3)	Bold And Loyal Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	129	tp	56-602	46	66	58	19d	—	—	—	0	—	—
0-16 but latest second (pair clear) well franked by the winner; dangerous with a repeat
11 (7)	Tara Bay J:George Rooke T:Lydia Richards	J:George Rooke T:Lydia Richards	129	v	92547-	46	66	35	131d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
The odd promising run over 1m last year but back from a break and has to prove her stamina
12 (5)	Miss Elsa Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(7) T:Lee Carter	J:Kaiya Fraser(7) T:Lee Carter	129	—	938-77	46	63	35	8d	—	—	—	0	—	—
0-16 for this yard; best recent run came over C&D but still looks opposable on balance
13 (6)	Naadyaa Bay J:Jason Watson T:Joseph Parr	J:Jason Watson T:Joseph Parr	129	p	0-9090	46	64	40	6d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Out of sorts this winter and stamina still to be proven; others look safer
14 (4)	Long Time Comin Chestnut J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	129	p	0090-0	46	54	35	62d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Boasts little in the way of solid form and she's very hard to recommend

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Daphne May

13.1

OR: 1 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Recuerdame

9.1

OR: 1 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Hellavapace

3.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Tara

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Hot Day

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Villalobos

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Come To Pass

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Star Of St Louis

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dashing To You

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Royal Debut

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bold And Loyal

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Miss Elsa

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Naadyaa

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Long Time Comin

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Recuerdame	54	65	53
Hot Day	54	65	53
Daphne May	54	68	54
Villalobos	53	64	39
Come To Pass	52	66	38
Star Of St Louis	52	63	40
Dashing To You	52	65	61
Royal Debut	52	63	31
Hellavapace	51	65	58
Bold And Loyal	46	66	58
Tara	46	66	35
Miss Elsa	46	63	35
Naadyaa	46	64	40
Long Time Comin	46	54	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daphne May	6d ago	Quick return
Royal Debut	6d ago	Quick return
Naadyaa	6d ago	Quick return
Miss Elsa	8d ago	Quick return
Come To Pass	10d ago	Quick return
Recuerdame	11d ago	Quick return
Bold And Loyal	19d ago	Fit
Hot Day	24d ago	Fit
Hellavapace	25d ago	Fit
Villalobos	46d ago	Fresh
Dashing To You	46d ago	Fresh
Star Of St Louis	52d ago	Fresh
Long Time Comin	62d ago	Fresh
Tara	131d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.