BetUK All-Weather Vase Middle Distance Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:50

BetUK All-Weather Vase Middle Distance Handicap

Date 2023-04-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £33,501

Winning Time 2m 1.48s (slow by 0.18s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Diderot (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	8/1	Won
2nd	Qaasid (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Julie Camacho	13/2	1
3rd	Outbreak (GB) Andrea Atzeni · Charlie Johnston	100/30F	0.1
4th	Storm Catcher (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon Pearce	10/1	0.1
5th	Civil Law (IRE) Ryan Moore · Roger Teal	16/1	.75
6th	Farasi Lane (IRE) Rob Hornby · Tom Ward	16/1	0.3
7th	Obsidian Knight (IRE) David Probert · T J Kent	13/2	0.2
8th	War In Heaven (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	8/1	4
9th	Precision Storm (GB) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	28/1	1.25
10th	Phantasy Mac (IRE) Connor Planas · George Boughey	50/1	0.3
11th	Dembe (GB) Jamie Spencer · Brett Johnson	20/1	.5
12th	Million Thanks (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	8/1	.75
13th	Queen Of Ipanema (IRE) William Buick · George Boughey	12/1	.5
14th	Tequilamockingbird (GB) Hayley Turner · Charlie Fellowes	28/1	.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Outbreak Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	/6-514	91	111	97	27d	—	—	-4	16	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Lightly raced 4yo; ran even better than it looked last time; one to be interested in
13 (1)	Obsidian Knight Brown J:David Probert T:T J Kent	J:David Probert T:T J Kent	120	—	2-2122	80	108	81	20d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.25/1	6 17%
Consistent on the AW since last autumn and 2-2 over C&D; a contender
1 (4)	Diderot Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	135	h	05-232	95	109	95	22d	—	—	+4	14.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Running well this year, but may be best over shorter and more needed to defy this mark
11 (11)	Million Thanks Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	123	t	5-5922	83	108	98	6d	—	—	+1	10.9	1.75/1	8 13%
0-8 in handicaps, but second at Kempton the last twice; longer trip should be within range
5 (8)	Queen Of Ipanema Chestnut J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	126	t	115-61	86	105	91	29d	—	—	+3	11.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Has won six of her eight handicaps since the tongue-tie went on; may need a stiffer test
8 (5)	Qaasid Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Julie Camacho	J:Rossa Ryan T:Julie Camacho	124	v	1-7123	84	110	93	21d	—	—	+9	18.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Proving consistent, but 7lb above his last winning mark; may find a few better handicapped
4 (12)	Civil Law Grey J:Ryan Moore T:Roger Teal	J:Ryan Moore T:Roger Teal	129	t	9911-7	89	105	86	53d	—	—	+5	11.5	3.25/1	14 7%
All five AW wins have come on Tapeta and was only seventh in this race last year
9 (14)	Storm Catcher Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	124	—	/51-11	84	106	77	64d	—	—	+4	10.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Has won his last three starts at Chelmsford; 4lb higher and has the outside stall
3 (6)	War In Heaven Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	—	-11116	91	104	95	27d	—	—	+24	28.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Won first four starts of the year at Wolverhampton, but behind Outbreak there last time
6 (2)	Dembe Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Brett Johnson	J:Jamie Spencer T:Brett Johnson	126	p	3-2226	86	107	96	28d	—	—	+8	12.2	4.75/1	20 5%
5lb higher than when winning this race last year so will need to be better than ever
7 (9)	Precision Storm Grey J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	125	—	32-272	85	106	98	28d	—	—	+6	9.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Wolverhampton regular; well held in this race last year and is now 4lb higher
14 (13)	Tequilamockingbird Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Hayley Turner T:Charlie Fellowes	118	—	13-536	78	108	86	29d	—	—	+4	8	6.00/1	25 4%
Dual C&D winner and back off same mark as when last successful, but drawn wide
10 (10)	Farasi Lane Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Ward	J:Rob Hornby T:Tom Ward	123	p	63-631	83	109	88	31d	—	—	+5	9.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Won last time; never attempted this far before, but plenty of stamina on the dam's side
12 (3)	Phantasy Mac Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	122	p	531-09	82	107	94	20d	—	—	+6	8.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Held in two starts over 7f since returning last month, but may fare better over this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Outbreak	3	7/2	3	10/3	10/3
Obsidian Knight	6	6	6	6	6
Diderot	15/2	13/2	13/2	7	7
Million Thanks	8	7	7	7	7
Queen Of Ipanema	10	10	11	11	11
Qaasid	8	15/2	15/2	8	8
Civil Law	14	12	12	12	12
Storm Catcher	12	12	12	12	12
War In Heaven	16	14	14	16	16
Dembe	18	18	18	18	20
Precision Storm	22	20	22	22	22
Tequilamockingbird	25	22	22	22	25
Farasi Lane	16	18	18	18	20
Phantasy Mac	40	33	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

War In Heaven

28.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 17 Odds: 1.4

2nd

Qaasid

18.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Outbreak

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Obsidian Knight

14.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

Diderot

14.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Dembe

12.2

OR: 9 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

Civil Law

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Queen Of Ipanema

11.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Million Thanks

10.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Storm Catcher

10.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Precision Storm

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Farasi Lane

9.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Phantasy Mac

8.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Tequilamockingbird

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Diderot	95	109	95
Outbreak	91	111	97
War In Heaven	91	104	95
Civil Law	89	105	86
Queen Of Ipanema	86	105	91
Dembe	86	107	96
Precision Storm	85	106	98
Qaasid	84	110	93
Storm Catcher	84	106	77
Million Thanks	83	108	98
Farasi Lane	83	109	88
Phantasy Mac	82	107	94
Obsidian Knight	80	108	81
Tequilamockingbird	78	108	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Million Thanks	6d ago	Quick return
Obsidian Knight	20d ago	Fit
Phantasy Mac	20d ago	Fit
Qaasid	21d ago	Fit
Diderot	22d ago	Fit
Outbreak	27d ago	Fit
War In Heaven	27d ago	Fit
Dembe	28d ago	Fit
Precision Storm	28d ago	Fit
Queen Of Ipanema	29d ago	Fit
Tequilamockingbird	29d ago	Fit
Farasi Lane	31d ago	Fit
Civil Law	53d ago	Fresh
Storm Catcher	64d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.