BetUK All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Distance Championships Conditions Stakes

Newcastle (AW)

15:00

Date 2023-04-07

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £103,080

Winning Time 2m 8.40s (slow by 0.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Notre Belle Bete (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	9/4J	Won
2nd	Base Note (GB) Ross Coakley · Simon & Ed Crisford	6/1	1
3rd	Harrovian (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	4/1	6
4th	Forest Of Dean (GB) James Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	9/4J	1
5th	United Front (USA) Hollie Doyle · Michael Appleby	14/1	2.5
6th	Freescape (GB) Oisin Orr · David Marnane	10/1	1.75

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Forest Of Dean Bay J:James Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:James Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	133	p	/45-16	104	119	92	41d	—	—	-7	22.4	0.25/1	2 50%
Not quite at his best in Winter Derby but leading claims judged on previous C&D win
5 (4)	Notre Belle Bete Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	p	392-23	97	113	99	27d	—	—	-4	18.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Something to find but in good form and this step back up in trip could prompt improvement
4 (2)	Harrovian Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	tb	363-34	103	117	101	41d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ahead of Forest Of Dean when fourth in the Winter Derby and he's a strong candidate
1 (5)	Base Note Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	v	12-155	100	115	81	32d	—	—	+3	16.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Progressive in h'caps this winter; didn't enjoy ideal run last time; might not be far away
3 (1)	Freescape Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:David Marnane	J:Oisin Orr T:David Marnane	133	—	51-578	109	118	62	49d	—	—	+9	17	2.25/1	10 10%
Dundalk handicap win off top weight last December brings him into the equation
6 (6)	United Front Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	133	—	43-843	95	111	87	42d	—	—	+6	13.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Admirable campaigner but would be better off with all of these if this were a handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Forest Of Dean	2	2	2	2	2
Notre Belle Bete	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Harrovian	5	9/2	5	5	5
Base Note	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Freescape	10	9/1	17/2	9	10
United Front	10	10	9	10	10

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forest Of Dean

22.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2nd

Notre Belle Bete

18.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Harrovian

17.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Freescape

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Base Note

16.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

United Front

13.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Freescape	109	118	62
Forest Of Dean	104	119	92
Harrovian	103	117	101
Base Note	100	115	81
Notre Belle Bete	97	113	99
United Front	95	111	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Notre Belle Bete	27d ago	Fit
Base Note	32d ago	Fit
Forest Of Dean	41d ago	Fit
Harrovian	41d ago	Fit
United Front	42d ago	Fit
Freescape	49d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.