talkSPORT All-Weather Fillies' And Mares' Championships Conditions Stakes

Newcastle (AW)

16:10

Date 2023-04-07

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £77,310

Winning Time 1m 26.91s (slow by 3.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Queen Aminatu (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	6/4	Won
2nd	Aramis Grey (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	14/1	1.25
3rd	Hodd's Girl (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Adrian McGuinness	11/1	.5
3rd	Manaafith (USA) Jim Crowley · Roger Varian	11/10F	0
5th	Fiduciary (GB) Hollie Doyle · Jane Chapple-Hyam	40/1	1.5
6th	River Pride (GB) Kevin Stott · George Boughey	18/1	2.25
7th	Smiling Sunflower (IRE) James Doyle · Michael Appleby	100/1	1

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Manaafith Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	128	—	101-11	103	120	104	62d	—	—	-16	27.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Improver who made it 6-6 on AW when landing a Listed race at Lingfield latest; big player
5 (3)	Queen Aminatu Brown J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	—	29211-	107	123	109	128d	—	—	+12	45.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Won Listed events in final two runs last year and she sets the standard on her return
3 (5)	Hodds Girl Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Oisin Murphy T:Adrian Mcguinness	128	—	4-2145	101	111	94	27d	—	—	+7	15.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Irish raider who has some work to do on form but she shouldn't be far away
1 (1)	Aramis Grey Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	128	—	12-221	93	111	97	48d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Admirable 6yo who won a conditions event last time but this race is tougher
6 (7)	River Pride Bay J:Kevin Stott T:George Boughey	J:Kevin Stott T:George Boughey	128	—	-35341	87	107	77	11d	—	—	+18	22.6	5.25/1	22 5%
Won Class 2 handicap at Wolverhampton latest but she has a lot more to do in this company
2 (6)	Fiduciary Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	b	039-57	88	105	80	11d	—	—	+8	10.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Down the field in last three starts and this looks a daunting task back up in class
7 (4)	Smiling Sunflower Bay J:James Doyle T:Michael Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Michael Appleby	128	tv	8-1334	77	94	76	29d	—	—	+6	7.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Dual AW winner but she's bottom of the pack on the figures in this tough event

Horse	bet365	Coral
Manaafith	11/10	1
Queen Aminatu	6/4	6/4
Hodds Girl	14	10
Aramis Grey	16	16
River Pride	22	20
Fiduciary	66	50
Smiling Sunflower	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Queen Aminatu

45.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 20.5 Odds: 10.7

6/4

2nd

Manaafith

27.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/10

3rd

River Pride

22.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.2

Hodds Girl

15.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Aramis Grey

12.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Fiduciary

10.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Smiling Sunflower

7.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Queen Aminatu	107	123	109
Manaafith	103	120	104
Hodds Girl	101	111	94
Aramis Grey	93	111	97
Fiduciary	88	105	80
River Pride	87	107	77
Smiling Sunflower	77	94	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
River Pride	11d ago	Quick return
Fiduciary	11d ago	Quick return
Hodds Girl	27d ago	Fit
Smiling Sunflower	29d ago	Fit
Aramis Grey	48d ago	Fresh
Manaafith	62d ago	Fresh
Queen Aminatu	128d ago	Long break