Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:35

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-04-09

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (12)	Lord Cherry Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	131	t	6-1281	51	70	56	31d	—	—	-15	6.9	11/4 27%
Yet to win a handicap but this dual classified winner has threatened and should go well.
1 (3)	Written Broadcast Grey J:David Probert T:Ollie Pears	J:David Probert T:Ollie Pears	138	b	125213	58	71	57	9d	—	—	+3	20.7	7/2 22%
Yet to win beyond 7f and he just ran out of puff when it mattered over 1m here last week.
2 (7)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	138	—	843541	58	67	53	9d	—	—	+4	16.5	11/2 15%
Came home ahead in a 1m handicap last week despite not getting the run of things.
8 (5)	Royal Debut Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	131	v	6-9302	51	67	53	13d	—	—	-6	2.8	17/2 11%
Raced freely in the visor at Lingfield but still emerged from the pace to finish second.
3 (13)	Back From Dubai Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	137	—	1-0535	57	68	60	26d	—	—	+1	11.8	7/1 13%
Multiple course winner, most recently in December when only 2lb lower; respectable since.
4 (11)	Elladora Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	135	p	1823-2	55	69	51	9d	—	—	+1	8.4	11/1 8%
Won't be far away if repeating last week's Newcastle form over this far.
10 (10)	Fact Or Fable Grey J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:J S Moore	J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:J S Moore	127	p	323434	47	68	60	23d	—	—	-1	5.9	11/1 8%
Infrequent winner but has been running well this winter and again should be on the scene.
6 (2)	Stallone Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	132	b	5-4363	52	69	63	40d	—	—	-4	2.1	14/1 7%
On a long losing run and 3-48 overall; he was keeping on over 6f here last time.
12 (1)	Otto Oyl Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	126	b	80-790	46	67	56	13d	—	—	-2	0.7	33 3%
All wins at 1m, one here; 0-8 for his current yard and fortunes are not improving.
13 (8)	Bobby Dalton Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	126	—	/0477-	46	59	-	297d	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Blinkers left off now but he's 0-8 and exposed as modest.
5 (4)	Far From A Ruby Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Katie Scott	J:Billy Garritty T:Katie Scott	135	—	647-90	55	68	50	45d	—	—	0	1.8	50/1 2%
Modest strike-rate of 3-37 and has not shown a lot since returning from a break.
9 (6)	Sun Rising Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Craig Lidster	J:Ben Robinson T:Craig Lidster	127	—	/008-8	47	47	20	10d	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
7f turf winner in 2021 but unconvincing for the most part since.
NR (9)	Gonzaga Bay J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:James Bennett	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:James Bennett	126	p	6-4647	46	67	52	12d	—	—	—	0	—
Extended his losing run to 40 when just worse than midfield in a 7f classified event.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lord Cherry	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Written Broadcast	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Kodebreaker	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Royal Debut	8/1	8/1	8	8	17/2
Back From Dubai	7/1	7	7/1	7/1	7/1
Elladora	10	11	10	11	11/1
Fact Or Fable	10	10/1	10	10	11/1
Stallone	14/1	12	12	12	12
Otto Oyl	33	33	33	33	33
Bobby Dalton	25	28	25/1	28/1	28/1
Far From A Ruby	40	40	40	40	50/1
Sun Rising	100	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Written Broadcast

20.7

OR: 2 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Kodebreaker

16.5

OR: 2 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Back From Dubai

11.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Elladora

8.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Lord Cherry

6.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Fact Or Fable

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Royal Debut

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Stallone

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Far From A Ruby

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Bobby Dalton

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Otto Oyl

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Sun Rising

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Gonzaga

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Written Broadcast	58	71	57
Kodebreaker	58	67	53
Back From Dubai	57	68	60
Elladora	55	69	51
Far From A Ruby	55	68	50
Stallone	52	69	63
Lord Cherry	51	70	56
Royal Debut	51	67	53
Fact Or Fable	47	68	60
Sun Rising	47	47	20
Otto Oyl	46	67	56
Bobby Dalton	46	59	—
Gonzaga	46	67	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Written Broadcast	9d ago	Quick return
Kodebreaker	9d ago	Quick return
Elladora	9d ago	Quick return
Sun Rising	10d ago	Quick return
Gonzaga	12d ago	Quick return
Royal Debut	13d ago	Quick return
Otto Oyl	13d ago	Quick return
Fact Or Fable	23d ago	Fit
Back From Dubai	26d ago	Fit
Lord Cherry	31d ago	Fit
Stallone	40d ago	Fit
Far From A Ruby	45d ago	Fit
Bobby Dalton	297d ago	Long break