Market Cross Jewellers Handicap – Redcar

Redcar

16:36

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 5f217y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,100

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (12)	Blind Beggar Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	124	v	21-712	84	110	96	8d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Back on the up for new yard, following 2 AW wins with a fine second at Doncaster last week
5 (3)	Marshal Dan Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Heather Main	J:Joshua Bryan T:Heather Main	129	—	20814-	89	106	88	156d	—	—	+5	23	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Reinvented as a sprinter last autumn and did well; goes well fresh; shortlist material
3 (11)	Just Frank Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	t	92096-	92	108	76	171d	—	—	+5	14.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Had a quiet year in 2022 but starts out for new yard off tempting mark; tongue-tie added
12 (2)	Twelfth Knight Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	118	—	34674-	78	108	104	196d	—	—	-1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't progress after early promise last year; new yard; usual headgear left off
2 (4)	Bielsa Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	134	—	73500-	94	110	80	184d	—	—	+5	14.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
4lb lower than for Ayr Gold Cup win in 2021; disappointing in the main last year; talented
8 (10)	Fortamour Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Hanagan T:Ben Haslam	122	—	6905-0	82	109	100	27d	—	—	+2	10.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Conditions no problem, on a good mark and sharper for recent return; could go well
10 (6)	Abolish Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	121	p	-35769	81	107	95	27d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
On a handy mark and headgear returns; soft ground wouldn't be ideal
4 (7)	Ghathanfar Brown J:Dale Swift T:Tracy Waggott	J:Dale Swift T:Tracy Waggott	130	—	37438-	90	107	97	211d	—	—	+8	14.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Progressive last year, winning three times; handles soft but it's not optimal
1 (5)	Magical Spirit Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	135	p	0704-0	95	106	75	8d	—	—	+7	12.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Dangerous on 2021 best; low-key return at Doncaster last week; risks involved
13 (1)	Prodigious Blue Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	116	—	21668-	76	102	87	226d	—	—	+8	11.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Course winner (5f); out of the weights for his reappearance & soft ground a question mark
6 (9)	Rathbone Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	127	—	05905-	87	104	99	174d	—	—	+7	10	9.75/1	40 3%
Of interest on last season's best; sold for 20,000gns in October; betting useful on return
9 (8)	Object Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	122	—	/0379-	82	106	65	173d	—	—	+8	10	12.25/1	50 2%
Two wins as a 2yo; too enthusiastic last year; new yard quick to geld him; ground a worry
NR (13)	Baba Reza Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	118	—	2/738-	78	105	97	198d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Starts this year off a reduced mark but suspicion he wants better ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Blind Beggar	10/3	3	3	10/3	10/3
Marshal Dan	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
Just Frank	8	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Twelfth Knight	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2	7
Bielsa	8	15/2	8	8	15/2
Fortamour	9	17/2	9	9	10
Abolish	17/2	8	17/2	17/2	9
Ghathanfar	12	12	12	12	12
Magical Spirit	18	20	12	18	18
Prodigious Blue	28	28	28	28	25
Rathbone	33	40	33	33	28
Object	50	40	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marshal Dan

OR: 9.8 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Just Frank

14.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Bielsa

14.4

OR: 11 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ghathanfar

14.4

OR: 10 Form: 2.7 Odds: 1.7

Blind Beggar

14.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Magical Spirit

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Prodigious Blue

11.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 4 Odds: 0.9

Twelfth Knight

10.9

OR: 7 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Abolish

10.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Baba Reza

10.5

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Fortamour

10.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Rathbone

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Object

OR: 8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magical Spirit	95	106	75
Bielsa	94	110	80
Just Frank	92	108	76
Ghathanfar	90	107	97
Marshal Dan	89	106	88
Rathbone	87	104	99
Blind Beggar	84	110	96
Fortamour	82	109	100
Object	82	106	65
Abolish	81	107	95
Twelfth Knight	78	108	104
Baba Reza	78	105	97
Prodigious Blue	76	102	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blind Beggar	8d ago	Quick return
Magical Spirit	8d ago	Quick return
Fortamour	27d ago	Fit
Abolish	27d ago	Fit
Marshal Dan	156d ago	Long break
Just Frank	171d ago	Long break
Object	173d ago	Long break
Rathbone	174d ago	Long break
Bielsa	184d ago	Long break
Twelfth Knight	196d ago	Long break
Baba Reza	198d ago	Long break
Ghathanfar	211d ago	Long break
Prodigious Blue	226d ago	Long break