Tony Dyson Memorial Handicap (Div I) – Redcar

Redcar

14:16

Tony Dyson Memorial Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-04-10

Distance 5f217y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,481

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Slainte Mhath Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	136	—	743-59	56	69	63	10d	—	—	-16	9.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Disappointing last time (pulled hard); suited by 6f on soft ground and one with a chance
3 (2)	Bonito Cavalo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	—	44034-	54	68	47	182d	—	—	-7	7.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Effective at 5f/6f; seven-race maiden; may need the run having been off since October
6 (3)	Hurt You Never Bay J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	34-701	50	68	65	24d	—	—	-10	3.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two wins on good to firm turf in 2022; AW winner last time; a possible if she acts on soft
1 (6)	Ustath Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	137	—	148154	57	67	55	4d	—	—	-2	10.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Eight of his nine wins have been on the AW; in fair form but better on firmer ground
4 (9)	Two Summers Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Paul Keatley	132	h	67521-	52	67	39	167d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Made all to win on final start in 2022 (6f, soft); up 3lb; chance if fit after a break
7 (10)	Highland Queen Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:Bryan Smart	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Bryan Smart	128	—	305-09	48	63	64	26d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Second to Hurt You Never last May and now 10lb lower but mainly disappointing since
8 (5)	Stronsay Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	126	p	775379	46	66	64	26d	—	—	-2	2.9	3.75/1	16 6%
On a losing run of 20 since Catterick win in 2021; conditions fine; others appeal more
10 (1)	Arkid Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Mcinnes	J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Mcinnes	126	ht	00-990	46	64	38	41d	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
18-race maiden (most runs over 5f); mainly out of form in 2023; hood tried for new trainer
NR (8)	Kraken Florida Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:John Wainwright	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:John Wainwright	130	p	-23513	50	67	55	24d	—	—	—	11.9	—	—
Won over 6f on the AW in Feb; less effective on turf; first run on soft; headgear change
NR (4)	Danzart Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Stella Barclay	J:Dylan Hogan T:Stella Barclay	126	—	5000-0	46	62	58	46d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Won over 6f for Mick Channon in May 2021 but mainly below form since; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Slainte Mhath	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Bonito Cavalo	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Hurt You Never	11/2	5	5	5	5
Ustath	11/2	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Two Summers	6	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Highland Queen	10	10	17/2	9	9
Stronsay	16	16	14	16	16
Arkid	12	11	11	11	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Two Summers

17.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Kraken Florida

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 11.9 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Ustath

10.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Slainte Mhath

9.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Bonito Cavalo

7.1

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Hurt You Never

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.8

11/2

Stronsay

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Highland Queen

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Arkid

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Danzart

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ustath	57	67	55
Slainte Mhath	56	69	63
Bonito Cavalo	54	68	47
Two Summers	52	67	39
Hurt You Never	50	68	65
Kraken Florida	50	67	55
Highland Queen	48	63	64
Stronsay	46	66	64
Arkid	46	64	38
Danzart	46	62	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ustath	4d ago	Quick return
Slainte Mhath	10d ago	Quick return
Hurt You Never	24d ago	Fit
Kraken Florida	24d ago	Fit
Highland Queen	26d ago	Fit
Stronsay	26d ago	Fit
Arkid	41d ago	Fit
Danzart	46d ago	Fresh
Two Summers	167d ago	Long break
Bonito Cavalo	182d ago	Long break