Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:10

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-04-13

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 2m 43.09s (slow by 5.29s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ideal Dream (GB) Amie Waugh · John Davies	50/1	Won
2nd	Amourie (GB) Mark Winn · Ray Craggs	9/2	1.25
3rd	Milltown Lily (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	28/1	1
4th	International Law (GB) Harry Russell · Antony Brittain	9/1	0.2
5th	Fire Eyes (FR) Brandon Wilkie · Lawrence Mullaney	12/1	.75
6th	Visitant (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	4/1	0.3
7th	Selfish Brian (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	11/1	4
8th	Buford (GB) Ryan Sexton · Ewan Whillans	16/1	3.25
9th	John The Pirate (GB) Harry Burns · Philip Kirby	16/1	.5
10th	Lituus (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	9/1	0.2
11th	We Still Believe (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Daragh Bourke	11/4F	55

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (8)	Vissani Grey J:TBC T:Ian Williams	J: T:Ian Williams	137	—	676-86	57	61	52	19d	—	—	-15	9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
More promise last time (8.5f) and return to middle distances a plus; down in grade too
6 (7)	We Still Believe b/br J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Daragh Bourke	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Daragh Bourke	131	—	6-9021	51	70	47	20d	—	—	-15	6.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Revived by new yard, winning over 1m2f here last month; contender despite a 3lb rise
9 (5)	Visitant Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	127	p	293442	47	69	62	9d	—	—	-5	10.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three-time course winner; good 2nd at Thirsk 9 days ago; leading claims off same mark
4 (6)	Amourie Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:Ray Craggs	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Ray Craggs	134	—	17-742	54	68	48	13d	—	—	-10	5.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Pick of form in last 5 months gives her solid claims, including latest Southwell second
5 (4)	Selfish Brian Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	3-8035	52	68	63	28d	—	—	-4	5.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Infrequent winner but some good runs this winter and conditions no bother; place chance
3 (11)	International Law Grey J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	135	v	735635	55	66	51	35d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.50/1	11 9%
In good order for much of the winter and returning to this trip in his favour
7 (3)	Lituus Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	131	b	4-7746	51	63	37	13d	—	—	-6	2.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Not progressing and his stamina looked stretched by this trip at Southwell last time
2 (2)	Fire Eyes Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Lawrence Mullaney	137	—	40646-	57	66	53	171d	—	—	-5	4.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Struggled for this yard last year; has won over 1m4f and on a lowly mark; risky
11 (1)	Buford Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	126	t	9-4524	46	68	50	13d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Chance on his penultimate 2nd at Wolverhampton; 2m perhaps stretched him latest
10 (9)	John The Pirate Brown J:Harry Burns T:Philip Kirby	J:Harry Burns T:Philip Kirby	126	—	5-9080	46	66	57	44d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not progressing and he needs the additional furlong to spark something extra
12 (12)	Milltown Lily Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	126	t	44407-	46	65	34	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Modest maiden who looks vulnerable, even at this low level
8 (10)	Ideal Dream Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:John Davies	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:John Davies	130	—	75-57	50	61	22	20d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Yet to show a huge amount and hopes are pinned on the new trip giving her a lift

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vissani	11/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
We Still Believe	11/4	10/3	11/4	11/4	5/2
Visitant	4	9/2	4	4	9/2
Amourie	5	9/2	4	4	9/2
Selfish Brian	15/2	8	7	15/2	9/1
International Law	11	11	9	10	9
Lituus	10	8	17/2	15/2	15/2
Fire Eyes	9	8	8	8	10/1
Buford	14	14	14	12	16/1
John The Pirate	22	25	20	20	25/1
Milltown Lily	25	25	25	25	33/1
Ideal Dream	80	80	80	80	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Visitant

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Vissani

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

We Still Believe

6.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

International Law

6.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.1

Amourie

5.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Selfish Brian

5.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Fire Eyes

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Lituus

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Buford

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

John The Pirate

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Milltown Lily

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ideal Dream

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vissani	57	61	52
Fire Eyes	57	66	53
International Law	55	66	51
Amourie	54	68	48
Selfish Brian	52	68	63
We Still Believe	51	70	47
Lituus	51	63	37
Ideal Dream	50	61	22
Visitant	47	69	62
Buford	46	68	50
John The Pirate	46	66	57
Milltown Lily	46	65	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Visitant	9d ago	Quick return
Amourie	13d ago	Quick return
Lituus	13d ago	Quick return
Buford	13d ago	Quick return
Vissani	19d ago	Fit
We Still Believe	20d ago	Fit
Ideal Dream	20d ago	Fit
Selfish Brian	28d ago	Fit
International Law	35d ago	Fit
John The Pirate	44d ago	Fit
Fire Eyes	171d ago	Long break
Milltown Lily	—	—