DragonBet Good Luck In The National Handicap Hurdle

Chepstow

16:52

Date 2023-04-15

Distance 2m11y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,330

Winning Time 3m 57.06s (slow by 11.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Spirit d'Aunou (FR) Niall Houlihan · Gary Moore	EvensF	Won
2nd	Mothill (IRE) Joe Anderson · Neil Mulholland	100/30	6.5
3rd	Bertie's Wish (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Jennie Candlish	11/2	4.25
4th	Fiston De Becon (FR) Lewis Stones · Olly Murphy	6/1	10
5th	Good Impression (GB) Ellis Collier · Bernard Llewellyn	40/1	1.75
6th	Tiger Voice (FR) Robert Williams · Bernard Llewellyn	50/1	0.3
7th	Houston Bere (FR) Harry Bannister · Alex Hales	80/1	3.75
8th	Mr Grey Sky (IRE) David Bass · Kim Bailey	12/1	11

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Spirit Daunou Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	160	—	2111	120	128	120	35d	—	—	+10	56.4	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Landed hat-trick with 4yo handicap win last month and that form has been franked; player
4	Mothill Bay J:Joe Anderson(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Joe Anderson(7) T:Neil Mulholland	164	—	-11454	116	127	102	22d	—	—	+6	28.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Fair 4th of eight at Newbury last month & could improve for that first run since December
6	Fiston De Becon Bay J:Lewis Stones(5) T:Olly Murphy	J:Lewis Stones(5) T:Olly Murphy	161	—	70-P11	113	128	112	25d	—	—	+7	19.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Has won his last two and this lightly raced 8yo could continue to improve
2	Berties Wish Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Jennie Candlish	J:Tom Bellamy T:Jennie Candlish	167	h	518312	119	123	107	23d	—	—	+25	35.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won in first-time hood at Sedgefield then bumped into progressive winner at Ludlow
NR	No No Tonic Bay J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Mark Gillard	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Mark Gillard	166	tb	9122P4	118	125	110	10d	—	—	+17	23.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Progressive earlier in the season but hasn't been at her best the last twice
NR	Cogital Bay J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	158	h	/551-3	110	125	101	—	—	—	+14	19.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Midfield on Flat 2 weeks ago but followed similar comeback run last spring with hurdle win
1	Mr Grey Sky Grey J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	168	—	110-64	120	123	63	26d	—	—	+13	19.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Now just 1lb higher than when completing soft-ground double early last year; not ruled out
10	Good Impression Bay J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Bernard Llewellyn	143	—	-21135	95	128	90	24d	—	—	+20	23.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Won twice last October and could improve for last month's run; soft going may not be ideal
5	Houston Bere Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	163	—	1284/8	115	118	63	28d	—	—	+14	17	12.25/1	50 2%
May have needed last month's stable debut but was tailed off and has plenty to prove
9	Tiger Voice Bay J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Robert Williams(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	155	tp	-9945P	107	-	-	33d	—	—	+12	15	16.25/1	66 2%
Tailed off/pulled up on his four starts for this yard and has plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Spirit Daunou	1	10/11	5/6	10/11	4/5
Mothill	3	3	5/2	16/5	10/3
Fiston De Becon	6	6	5	6	6
Berties Wish	7	15/2	7	15/2	8
No No Tonic	16	14	12	14	SP
Cogital	16	16	14	16	16
Mr Grey Sky	14	14	10	14	12
Good Impression	33	28	22	28	28
Houston Bere	50	50	33	50	50
Tiger Voice	66	66	28	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Daunou

56.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 23.5 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Berties Wish

35.6

OR: 17.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Mothill

28.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

No No Tonic

23.8

OR: 17 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Good Impression

23.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 11.1 Odds: 0.9

Cogital

19.6

OR: 15 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Fiston De Becon

19.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Mr Grey Sky

19.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Houston Bere

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Tiger Voice

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Daunou	120	128	120
Mr Grey Sky	120	123	63
Berties Wish	119	123	107
No No Tonic	118	125	110
Mothill	116	127	102
Houston Bere	115	118	63
Fiston De Becon	113	128	112
Cogital	110	125	101
Tiger Voice	107	—	—
Good Impression	95	128	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No No Tonic	10d ago	Quick return
Mothill	22d ago	Fit
Berties Wish	23d ago	Fit
Good Impression	24d ago	Fit
Fiston De Becon	25d ago	Fit
Mr Grey Sky	26d ago	Fit
Houston Bere	28d ago	Fit
Tiger Voice	33d ago	Fit
Spirit Daunou	35d ago	Fit
Cogital	—	—