Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:30

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-04-20

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (2)	Araifjan ch J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	134	—	265458	64	78	64	27d	—	—	-10	9.2	10/3 23%
Numerous good runs this winter, often here; perhaps better at 6f but not discounted
6 (5)	Mustaffiz b J:Hollie Doyle T:Charlie Wallis	J:Hollie Doyle T:Charlie Wallis	129	p	535228	59	79	72	12d	—	—	-3	13.9	18/5 22%
Good run of form came to end at Wolverhampton latest; effective over C&D; career-low mark
5 (1)	Red Walls b J:J F Egan T:Lisa Williamson	J:J F Egan T:Lisa Williamson	129	—	67-282	59	77	64	9d	—	—	-10	7.3	7/2 22%
C&D winner in Nov off this mark; runner-up in 2 of last 3 starts; well drawn; contender
2 (4)	Saaheq b J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	135	p	176-52	65	80	64	14d	—	—	-6	7.8	9/2 18%
Two promising runs for this yard; same mark as for latest 2nd and shouldn't be far away
7 (6)	Jumira Bridge b J:David Probert T:Derek Shaw	J:David Probert T:Derek Shaw	122	—	-24641	52	78	65	40d	—	—	+5	13.9	17/2 11%
Good record here and won over 6f on latest start; he'll need them to go hard back at 5f
1 (7)	Street Life ch J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Patrick Morris	J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Patrick Morris	137	p	46443-	67	77	58	159d	—	—	+2	9.4	10 10%
Ended 2022 in good order and he's down in grade for his return; Billy Loughnane booked
4 (3)	Show Me A Sunset b J:Joshua Bryan T:Charlie Wallis	J:Joshua Bryan T:Charlie Wallis	131	tv	260703	61	72	79	10d	—	—	+1	7.7	12 8%
Didn't run badly in a first-time visor ten days ago; more required back in a handicap
8 (8)	The Grey Lass ro J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	121	tv	46216-	51	78	65	210d	—	—	+7	10.8	22 5%
5f turf winner last August; she'll need a career best returning from a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Araifjan	10/3	3	3	16/5	3
Mustaffiz	4	7/2	7/2	18/5	7/2
Red Walls	4	4	7/2	4	4
Saaheq	5	9/2	5	5	5
Jumira Bridge	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	9
Street Life	9	9	10	10	9
Show Me A Sunset	10	12	12	12	12
The Grey Lass	20	20	22	20	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mustaffiz

13.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 5

18/5

2nd

Jumira Bridge

13.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 11 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

The Grey Lass

10.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.1

Street Life

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Araifjan

9.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Saaheq

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Show Me A Sunset

7.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Red Walls

7.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Street Life Top Rated	67	77	58
Saaheq	65	80	64
Araifjan	64	78	64
Show Me A Sunset	61	72	79
Mustaffiz	59	79	72
Red Walls	59	77	64
Jumira Bridge	52	78	65
The Grey Lass	51	78	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Walls	9d ago	Quick return
Show Me A Sunset	10d ago	Quick return
Mustaffiz	12d ago	Quick return
Saaheq	14d ago	Fit
Araifjan	27d ago	Fit
Jumira Bridge	40d ago	Fit
Street Life	159d ago	Long break
The Grey Lass	210d ago	Long break