bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) – Newmarket

Newmarket

15:35

bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings)

Date 2023-04-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £45,368

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Mysterious Night Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	13311-	110	123	92	215d	—	—	+16	45.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Easily won Canadian Grade 1 last September when last seen & holds leading claims on return
8 (6)	The Foxes Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	4911-	111	120	72	208d	—	—	+17	38.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won Group 2 Royal Lodge over C&D; it was a slowly run race but form has worked out well
NR (1)	Naval Power Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Appleby	128	h	1116-1	110	-	-	83d	—	—	+9	31.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Three-time Listed winner; entitled to respect, even though Buick rides Mysterious Night
4 (5)	Mostabshir Grey J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	1-	-	105	-	155d	—	—	-3	15.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Impressive on debut in AW novice and pedigree also suggests he has star potential
3 (7)	Indestructible Bay J:Kevin Stott T:K R Burke	J:Kevin Stott T:K R Burke	128	—	5122-	107	118	98	221d	—	—	+20	30.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Close 2nd in Group 3 Acomb last August; makes stable debut with new yard in excellent form
1 (2)	Ancestral Land b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	128	—	213-	101	111	83	180d	—	—	+21	26.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Third in Group 3 last Oct; further improvement is possible but necessary in this hot race
2 (4)	Dancing Magic Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Roger Teal	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Roger Teal	128	—	42244-	106	117	106	180d	—	—	+14	19.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Respectable Group-race form last year but others probably have greater potential
5 (3)	Mr Mistoffelees Bay J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	051-	81	93	-	127d	—	—	+16	18.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won AW novice last December on his third start; has bundles to find against today's rivals

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mysterious Night	2	2	2	2/1	7/4
The Foxes	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Naval Power	5/2	11/4	SP	11/4	3
Mostabshir	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	4/1
Indestructible	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	7/1
Ancestral Land	12	12	12	12	12
Dancing Magic	14	14	14	14	14
Mr Mistoffelees	50	50	50	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mysterious Night

45.3

OR: 15 Form: 21.4 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

The Foxes

38.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 17 Odds: 6.4

11/4

3rd

Naval Power

31.7

OR: 15 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Indestructible

30.8

OR: 14.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Ancestral Land

26.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

Dancing Magic

19.4

OR: 14 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

Mr Mistoffelees

18.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Mostabshir

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Foxes	111	120	72
Mysterious Night	110	123	92
Naval Power	110	—	—
Indestructible	107	118	98
Dancing Magic	106	117	106
Ancestral Land	101	111	83
Mr Mistoffelees	81	93	—
Mostabshir	—	105	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Naval Power	83d ago	Fresh
Mr Mistoffelees	127d ago	Long break
Mostabshir	155d ago	Long break
Ancestral Land	180d ago	Long break
Dancing Magic	180d ago	Long break
The Foxes	208d ago	Long break
Mysterious Night	215d ago	Long break
Indestructible	221d ago	Long break