Two Mile Oak Abbotskerswell Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Exeter

20:05

Date 2023-04-21

Distance 2m161y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £2,178

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Vision De Maine Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Pipe	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Pipe	148	—	1	-	-	-	—	—	—	-26	29.4	—	—
Non-runner
1	Supremely West Bay J:Luke Scott(7) T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Luke Scott(7) T:Dr Richard Newland	166	—	U-5411	-	123	51	37d	—	—	-20	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Run of things when defying penalty on British debut latest; gives weight all round here.
4	Im Ravenous Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	156	—	P-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	16.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2m4f point winner; out of French AQPS Flat winner/half-sister to Cilaos Emery; player.
10	Tinklers Hill Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	9	-	106	66	116d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Looked in need of more time when a beaten favourite on debut, and has been given it.
12	The Midwife Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Grace Harris	149	—	1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+3	12.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Punchestown point winner in February; new yard 1-4 in bumpers this term; shortlisted.
2	Emailandy Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryan Carver T:Paul Nicholls	156	t	7	-	106	63	55d	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
26l seventh on Kempton debut (good); have to trust he'll work out all that's required now.
9	Sweet Threat Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Tom George	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Tom George	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Nephew of Prix La Haye Jousselin winner Turgot; yard 0-5 in bumpers so far this term.
14	Spice Boy Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	148	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Brother to a three-time bumper winner for the same yard, albeit she didn't score on debut.
3	Hobie Bay J:James Davies T:David Dennis	J:James Davies T:David Dennis	156	—	41	-	-	-	—	—	—	+7	11.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Irish point winner in February (3m, yielding); likelier one for later on and jumps.
7	Pride Of Paris Bay J:Alan Johns T:Victor Dartnall	J:Alan Johns T:Victor Dartnall	156	—	7	-	89	-	40d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Dam and her half-sister both won bumpers; too green on debut, though may yet do better.
8	Rangatira Jack Chestnut J:David Noonan T:Linda Blackford	J:David Noonan T:Linda Blackford	156	—	8	-	101	66	33d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Wouldn't settle on recent debut; better days likely await granted a trip and obstacles.
NR	Madame Pompadour Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Polly Gundry	J:Nick Scholfield T:Polly Gundry	149	—	53	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	3.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-sister to Santini and Dusky Legend; efforts in point bumpers need bettering.
6	Myfanwys Magic Bay J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	156	—	5	-	97	25	28d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Out of a hugely prolific pointer/hunter chaser; looked in need of a sterner test on debut.
13	Elpologreg Bay J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	148	—	50	-	103	61	34d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Promise of debut Kempton fifth wasn't built upon back there last time out; more needed.
5	Johnthepostman Chestnut J:Mr Geoff Barfoot-Saunt T:Tracey Barfoot-Saunt	J:Mr Geoff Barfoot-Saunt T:Tracey Barfoot-Saunt	156	—	67	-	52	-	35d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No great encouragement in a pair of bumpers (one between the flags) ten months apart.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vision De Maine	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Supremely West	9/4	2	2	7/4	15/8
Im Ravenous	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Tinklers Hill	6	11/2	11/2	5	6
The Midwife	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Emailandy	12	12	12	12	11
Sweet Threat	12	12	12	11	16
Spice Boy	22	22	22	22	25
Hobie	22	22	22	20	22
Pride Of Paris	33	33	33	28	28
Rangatira Jack	50	28	28	28	33
Madame Pompadour	40	40	40	40	40
Myfanwys Magic	50	40	40	40	50
Elpologreg	33	33	40	33	50
Johnthepostman	500	125	125	125	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vision De Maine

29.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 19.4

—

2nd

Im Ravenous

16.2

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

The Midwife

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hobie

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Supremely West

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Tinklers Hill

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Madame Pompadour

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

Emailandy

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Sweet Threat

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Spice Boy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Rangatira Jack

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Pride Of Paris

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Myfanwys Magic

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Elpologreg

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Johnthepostman

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vision De Maine	—	—	—
Supremely West	—	123	51
Im Ravenous	—	—	—
Tinklers Hill	—	106	66
The Midwife	—	—	—
Emailandy	—	106	63
Sweet Threat	—	—	—
Spice Boy	—	—	—
Hobie	—	—	—
Pride Of Paris	—	89	—
Rangatira Jack	—	101	66
Madame Pompadour	—	—	—
Myfanwys Magic	—	97	25
Elpologreg	—	103	61
Johnthepostman	—	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Myfanwys Magic	28d ago	Fit
Rangatira Jack	33d ago	Fit
Elpologreg	34d ago	Fit
Johnthepostman	35d ago	Fit
Supremely West	37d ago	Fit
Pride Of Paris	40d ago	Fit
Emailandy	55d ago	Fresh
Tinklers Hill	116d ago	Long break
Vision De Maine	—	—
Im Ravenous	—	—
The Midwife	—	—
Sweet Threat	—	—
Spice Boy	—	—
Hobie	—	—
Madame Pompadour	—	—