Mullingar Handicap Hurdle – Kilbeggan

Kilbeggan

17:40

Mullingar Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-04-21

Distance 3m

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Winnie Woodnutt Bay J:Mr A Harvey(7) T:D Harvey	J:Mr A Harvey(7) T:D Harvey	158	ht	132213	85	103	73	22d	—	—	+2	32.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Encouraging Naas return augurs well and ground coming in her favour; contender if staying
NR	Elle Dorado Rock Bay J:TBC T:A J Martin	J: T:A J Martin	161	t	00098P	88	94	64	—	—	—	-5	15.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not much to recommend hurdling but Flat second at Gowran on Wednesday encouraging
NR	Duffys Getaway Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	154	p	0-0457	81	98	54	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	10.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Not getting any nearer to breakthrough win; cheekpieces now tried but of limited appeal
5	Cafe Del Mar Chestnut J:Dylan Robinson T:David J Phelan	J:Dylan Robinson T:David J Phelan	159	—	-P0896	86	99	67	5d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Out of form for current yard this year but quicker ground now will suit
1	Merry Moves b/br J:Ben Harvey(5) T:Mrs Grainne M Oconnor	J:Ben Harvey(5) T:Mrs Grainne M Oconnor	167	t	24P916	94	104	44	22d	—	—	+7	22	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Soft ground winner may not appreciate this quicker ground; on a high enough mark now
7	Hockworthy Flyer Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Andrew Mcnamara	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Andrew Mcnamara	158	t	57-374	85	100	66	141d	—	—	+2	11.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Bits and pieces of form on this sort of ground; good chance of staying too
2	Female Approach Bay J:Daniel King(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Daniel King(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	163	p	307803	90	106	72	7d	—	—	+8	15.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Ballinrobe run encouraging and quicker ground in her favour
14	He Aint Heavy Bay J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Francis J Flood	J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Francis J Flood	153	—	090-0P	80	87	55	35d	—	—	+4	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Nothing yet in handicaps and hard to see him having an impact
NR	Journey West Bay J:TBC T:C A Mcbratney	J: T:C A Mcbratney	160	tb	12F0P7	87	106	70	42d	—	—	+1	12.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Recent form disappointing but not one to totally rule out; reserve
8	St Deniss Well Chestnut J:Keith Donoghue T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Keith Donoghue T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	158	—	000049	85	98	-	19d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Clonmel run encouraging and 5yo still has scope for improvement
10	Champagne Secret Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Mrs Jayne Hearne	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Mrs Jayne Hearne	157	h	0/7706	84	92	66	29d	—	—	+6	9.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Beaten a long way all four maiden, hard to see her having an immediate impact in handicaps
R17	Man Of The House Brown J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	161	—	2-8808	88	81	-	146d	—	—	+10	14.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Went close in a point-to-point but shown little under Rules so far; reserve
R18	Camillas Choice Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Jody McGarvey T:John Joseph Hanlon	158	p	9353RP	85	92	61	114d	—	—	+6	9.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Pair of placings on decent ground earlier in the season would give cause for hope; reserve
6	Thirsty Thursday Brown J:Ian Power T:Colin Motherway	J:Ian Power T:Colin Motherway	159	—	09P960	86	92	38	22d	—	—	+7	9.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Some promise on penultimate start at 2m; big step up in trip here
13	Flemensreva Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	154	p	090006	81	94	65	29d	—	—	+6	8.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Yet to trouble the judge, cheekpieces having no effect last time; marked jump in trip here
15	One More Lass Bay J:Hugh Morgan(3) T:Ms M Flynn	J:Hugh Morgan(3) T:Ms M Flynn	153	h	8P0030	80	99	49	5d	—	—	+7	10	9.75/1	40 3%
Well beaten at Tramore on Sunday; back up in trip here and hard to fancy
16	Short Story Long Bay J:Conor Brassil(5) T:N Dooly	J:Conor Brassil(5) T:N Dooly	153	b	P8F000	80	89	35	22d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Continues to struggle off this basement mark and no sign of an upturn in fortunes of late
11	Drimsree Lad Bay J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:S Michael Millar	J:Aileen O'Sullivan(7) T:S Michael Millar	154	t	-00003	81	106	38	164d	—	—	+9	11.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Good run when last seen in November but veteran may just need this
3	Karayaz Bay J:Alan King(7) T:John J Cullen	J:Alan King(7) T:John J Cullen	162	p	298F9P	89	102	82	—	—	—	+8	10.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Cheekpieces tried and upped in trip; better ground to suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Winnie Woodnutt	13/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Elle Dorado Rock	7/2	3	11/4	10/3	SP
Duffys Getaway	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Cafe Del Mar	6	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Merry Moves	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Hockworthy Flyer	8	8	8	8	17/2
Female Approach	11	10	10	10	10
He Aint Heavy	16	16	14	16	16
Journey West	20	20	20	20	20
St Deniss Well	11	12	12	12	11
Champagne Secret	25	22	18	22	22
Man Of The House	20	18	18	18	16
Camillas Choice	20	22	22	22	22
Thirsty Thursday	25	25	25	25	25
Flemensreva	33	33	25	33	33
One More Lass	40	40	28	40	33/1
Short Story Long	33	33	25	33	33
Drimsree Lad	40	33	28	33	33
Karayaz	66	40	28	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Winnie Woodnutt

32.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Merry Moves

OR: 11 Form: 6.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Elle Dorado Rock

15.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Female Approach

15.1

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Man Of The House

14.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Journey West

12.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

Cafe Del Mar

12.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Drimsree Lad

11.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Hockworthy Flyer

11.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Duffys Getaway

10.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

St Deniss Well

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Karayaz

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

One More Lass

OR: 7.5 Form: 1.8 Odds: 0.7

Thirsty Thursday

9.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Camillas Choice

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Champagne Secret

9.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

He Aint Heavy

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Flemensreva

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Short Story Long

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Merry Moves	94	104	44
Female Approach	90	106	72
Karayaz	89	102	82
Elle Dorado Rock	88	94	64
Man Of The House	88	81	—
Journey West	87	106	70
Cafe Del Mar	86	99	67
Thirsty Thursday	86	92	38
Winnie Woodnutt	85	103	73
Hockworthy Flyer	85	100	66
St Deniss Well	85	98	—
Camillas Choice	85	92	61
Champagne Secret	84	92	66
Duffys Getaway	81	98	54
Flemensreva	81	94	65
Drimsree Lad	81	106	38
He Aint Heavy	80	87	55
One More Lass	80	99	49
Short Story Long	80	89	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cafe Del Mar	5d ago	Quick return
One More Lass	5d ago	Quick return
Female Approach	7d ago	Quick return
St Deniss Well	19d ago	Fit
Winnie Woodnutt	22d ago	Fit
Duffys Getaway	22d ago	Fit
Merry Moves	22d ago	Fit
Thirsty Thursday	22d ago	Fit
Short Story Long	22d ago	Fit
Champagne Secret	29d ago	Fit
Flemensreva	29d ago	Fit
He Aint Heavy	35d ago	Fit
Journey West	42d ago	Fit
Camillas Choice	114d ago	Long break
Hockworthy Flyer	141d ago	Long break
Man Of The House	146d ago	Long break
Drimsree Lad	164d ago	Long break
Elle Dorado Rock	—	—
Karayaz	—	—