Beck's Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Bangor-on-Dee

Bangor-on-Dee

13:05

Beck's Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-04-22

Distance 2m7f7y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Winning Time 5m 33.02s (slow by 0.02s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	No But I Will (GB) Toby Wynne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	11/5F	Won
2nd	Sporting Mike (IRE) Beau Morgan · Ben Pauling	3/1	1.75
3rd	Storminhome (IRE) Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	5/2	5.5
4th	Pougne Aminta (FR) Jack Hogan · Fergal O'Brien	13/2	6
5th	Georges Saint (FR) Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams	6/1	8
6th	Loch Garman Aris (IRE) Tabitha Worsley · Gary Hanmer	150/1	1
7th	Yes And Yes (IRE) Lee Edwards · John Groucott	66/1	16

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Lucky Jo Jo (GB) Tom Cannon · John Groucott	40/1

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	No But I Will Bay J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	156	—	1-3432	116	134	120	28d	—	—	+5	31.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Hit and miss so far but commands respect judged on fine second over 2m3f here last time
1	Sporting Mike Bay J:Beau Morgan(7) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(7) T:Ben Pauling	163	t	124743	117	128	115	11d	—	—	+6	26.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Tough sort, third in Exeter handicap last time; in the mix but vulnerable to an improver
2	Storminhome Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	163	—	1-2312	120	125	97	13d	—	—	+10	30.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Second to an odds-on shot at Ffos Las two weeks ago; remains unexposed; high on the list
7	Pougne Aminta Brown J:Jack Hogan(5) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Jack Hogan(5) T:Fergal Obrien	156	—	2-1721	114	127	99	22d	—	—	+10	23.5	1.25/1	6 17%
Built on hurdling debut when easily making all at Wetherby; could be the answer
3	Georges Saint Grey J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	156	—	0-2223	115	127	113	31d	—	—	+9	19.1	1.50/1	7 14%
0-11 over hurdles; needs today's longer trip to bring about some improvement
8	Yes And Yes Grey J:Lee Edwards T:John Groucott	J:Lee Edwards T:John Groucott	156	—	P-32	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Placed in points; not discounted on rules debut but others have more obvious claims
5	Lucky Jo Jo Bay J:Tom Cannon T:John Groucott	J:Tom Cannon T:John Groucott	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Makes a belated debut and difficult to fancy unless the market speaks in his favour
4	Loch Garman Aris Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Gary Hanmer	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Gary Hanmer	156	b	-PBPP5	77	84	81	14d	—	—	+6	7.1	49.75/1	200 1%
Old-timer who faces an uphill task at these weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
No But I Will	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Sporting Mike	3	3	11/4	11/4	3
Storminhome	3	3	11/4	3	3
Pougne Aminta	6	5	5	5	5
Georges Saint	7	7	7	7	7
Yes And Yes	25	25	25	25	25
Lucky Jo Jo	50	50	50	40	50
Loch Garman Aris	200	100	80	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

No But I Will

31.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Storminhome

30.7

OR: 17.5 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Sporting Mike

26.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 4 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Pougne Aminta

23.5

OR: 16 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

Georges Saint

19.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Loch Garman Aris

7.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Yes And Yes

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lucky Jo Jo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Storminhome	120	125	97
Sporting Mike	117	128	115
No But I Will	116	134	120
Georges Saint	115	127	113
Pougne Aminta	114	127	99
Loch Garman Aris	77	84	81
Yes And Yes	—	—	—
Lucky Jo Jo	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sporting Mike	11d ago	Quick return
Storminhome	13d ago	Quick return
Loch Garman Aris	14d ago	Fit
Pougne Aminta	22d ago	Fit
No But I Will	28d ago	Fit
Georges Saint	31d ago	Fit
Yes And Yes	—	—
Lucky Jo Jo	—	—