At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

19:20

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-04-26

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 10.68s (slow by 1.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gold Medal (GB) Harry Burns · Dylan Cunha	9/4F	Won
2nd	Bezzas Lad (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Tony Carroll	8/1	.75
3rd	Mamillius (GB) Pat Cosgrave · George Baker	28/1	0.3
4th	Knockout Blow (GB) George Rooke · John E Long	66/1	.75
5th	El Hombre (GB) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	12/1	0.3
6th	Lilkian (GB) David Probert · Darryll Holland	9/2	.5
7th	Alafdhal (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Phil McEntee	12/1	.5
8th	Swiss Pride (IRE) Connor Planas · Roger Teal	12/1	0.1
9th	Libertus (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · James Fanshawe	14/1	0.1
10th	Cool Lightning (IRE) Neil Callan · James Tate	100/30	1.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Gold Medal Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Dylan Cunha	134	—	4233-1	74	88	79	28d	—	—	-2	24	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2-2 over C&D, the latest success on stable/seasonal debut; respected kept to this track
8 (6)	Cool Lightning Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	131	—	22-161	71	91	77	30d	—	—	-9	11	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made all for comfortable win at Wolverhampton last month; form has substance; unexposed
6 (3)	Lilkian Chestnut J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	132	—	142332	72	87	81	7d	—	—	+6	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent this year; close second at Kempton last week; solid chance off same mark
5 (7)	Libertus Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:James Fanshawe	J:Benoit De La Sayette(3) T:James Fanshawe	132	—	28210-	72	84	56	199d	—	—	+11	18.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Hindered by wide draw last time out; remains open to further progress in AW handicaps
3 (10)	Bezzas Lad Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tony Carroll	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tony Carroll	135	—	212631	75	85	78	26d	—	—	+16	24.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Broke the 5f course record here last month; now 2-4 at Lingfield; effective over 6f
2 (9)	Alafdhal Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Phil Mcentee	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Phil Mcentee	135	—	453874	75	87	77	4d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Bagged five AW wins from November to January; beaten in last seven races
7 (1)	El Hombre Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(5) T:Mark Loughnane	131	—	264515	71	85	69	16d	—	—	+7	14.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Has form figures of 3121 under Billy Loughnane; not dismissed
10 (11)	Swiss Pride Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Roger Teal	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Roger Teal	128	p	2-4663	68	92	81	7d	—	—	+3	9.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Ties in closely with Lilkian on Kempton form last week; won this race in 2021
NR (2)	Bobby On The Beat Bay J:Luke Morris T:Phil Mcentee	J:Luke Morris T:Phil Mcentee	128	p	1-5441	68	87	75	23d	—	—	+6	13.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Scored readily over C&D last time, taking Lingfield record to 3-7; back up in grade
1 (4)	Mamillius Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	135	—	096-88	75	80	52	28d	—	—	+4	7	8.00/1	33 3%
Out of sorts since his last success; opposed despite dropping back in grade
11 (5)	Knockout Blow Bay J:George Rooke T:John E Long	J:George Rooke T:John E Long	116	p	/2724-	56	-	-	391d	—	—	+5	7.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Absent for 13 months; 7lb out of weights; debut for new yard; opposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gold Medal	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Cool Lightning	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Lilkian	6	11/2	9/2	11/2	6
Libertus	10	9	9	9	9
Bezzas Lad	9	9	17/2	9	9
Alafdhal	10	10	8/1	10	10
El Hombre	10	10	9	10	10
Swiss Pride	14	12	11	12	12
Bobby On The Beat	10	11	9	10	SP
Mamillius	33	33	28	33	33
Knockout Blow	50	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bezzas Lad

24.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

2nd

Gold Medal

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Lilkian

19.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Libertus

18.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.1

El Hombre

14.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

Bobby On The Beat

13.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

Cool Lightning

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Swiss Pride

9.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

Alafdhal

9.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.4

Knockout Blow

7.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Mamillius

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bezzas Lad	75	85	78
Alafdhal	75	87	77
Mamillius	75	80	52
Gold Medal	74	88	79
Lilkian	72	87	81
Libertus	72	84	56
Cool Lightning	71	91	77
El Hombre	71	85	69
Swiss Pride	68	92	81
Bobby On The Beat	68	87	75
Knockout Blow	56	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alafdhal	4d ago	Quick return
Lilkian	7d ago	Quick return
Swiss Pride	7d ago	Quick return
El Hombre	16d ago	Fit
Bobby On The Beat	23d ago	Fit
Bezzas Lad	26d ago	Fit
Gold Medal	28d ago	Fit
Mamillius	28d ago	Fit
Cool Lightning	30d ago	Fit
Libertus	199d ago	Long break
Knockout Blow	391d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.