Debra #fight EB Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

16:05

Debra #fight EB Handicap

Date 2023-05-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 12.38s (slow by 3.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Little Muddy (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	5/2	Won
2nd	Black Friday (GB) Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	7/2	2.25
3rd	Gannon Glory (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	4/1	.75
4th	Be Proud (IRE) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	12/1	.75
5th	Rock Melody (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	9/4F	.5

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Rock Melody Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	137	—	370-43	77	88	70	8d	—	—	-16	17.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
12,000gns purchase; two decent runs over 5f this year; step up to 6f should suit; player
4 (2)	Little Muddy Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	130	—	363-12	70	87	80	9d	—	—	-14	13.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
C&D winner; has run two good races this year (5f, 6f, soft) and should go well again
5 (4)	Gannon Glory Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	-34256	70	85	72	14d	—	—	-3	12.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
5f novice winner last year; mixed efforts over 5f and 6f since (below form last twice)
2 (1)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	137	—	744-26	77	85	72	8d	—	—	-2	10.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Not won since 2021; good second on reappearance (missed the break last time); a possible
3 (5)	Be Proud Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	134	p	70047-	74	85	89	178d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.25/1	18 6%
All wins have been over 5f; lacks a recent run and looks the Goldie second string

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rock Melody

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

13/8

2nd

Little Muddy

13.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Gannon Glory

12.5

OR: 5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Black Friday

10.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Be Proud

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rock Melody	77	88	70
Black Friday	77	85	72
Be Proud	74	85	89
Little Muddy	70	87	80
Gannon Glory	70	85	72

Last Run