Unibet Moneyback Races Daily This Week Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:13

Unibet Moneyback Races Daily This Week Handicap

Date 2023-05-11

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 59.58s (slow by 2.68s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Birkenhead (GB) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	15/2	Won
2nd	Yimou (IRE) Robert Havlin · Dean Ivory	9/2	1.25
3rd	Josies Kid (IRE) Mark Crehan · Alice Haynes	15/2	1
4th	Grandfather Tom (GB) George Downing · Robert Cowell	11/5F	0.3
5th	Thegreatestshowman (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Amy Murphy	7/1	0.3
6th	Dapper Man (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell	3/1	0.1
7th	Straitouttacompton (GB) Aiden Brookes · Michael Chapman	100/1	9

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Grandfather Tom Bay J:George Downing T:Robert Cowell	J:George Downing T:Robert Cowell	135	v	269-61	63	82	70	7d	—	—	-14	10.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Big weights chance after easy 5f win at Lingfield; 3lb well-in; Tapeta winner elsewhere
1 (6)	Dapper Man Bay J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	J:Jonny Peate(5) T:Roger Fell	136	b	931221	64	78	54	3d	—	—	+9	28.8	0.50/1	3 33%
5f on new surface here proved a happy hunting ground, won 2-3 over C&D; penalty for latest
5 (7)	Josies Kid Bay J:Mark Crehan(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Mark Crehan(3) T:Alice Haynes	131	p	-60330	59	77	62	29d	—	—	-5	10.3	0.75/1	4 25%
Two prominent shows at Wolverhampton earlier; needs an extra push to break AW duck
4 (4)	Yimou Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	134	p	6-7640	62	72	71	26d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well treated on Polytrack form in midwinter; not out of this but in-form rivals to beat
6 (2)	Thegreatestshowman Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	130	b	859-96	58	76	56	3d	—	—	-5	4.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Mixed in handful of starts on new surface here but creditable 6th over C&D on Monday
2 (5)	Birkenhead Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	p	565-89	63	74	49	35d	—	—	-3	5.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner on Fibresand; well treated; headgear back on (all handicap wins in aids)
7 (1)	Straitouttacompton Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Michael Chapman	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Michael Chapman	118	tp	508409	46	74	47	27d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Tackles all sorts of distances and tailed off over 7f here last month

Horse	bet365	Coral
Grandfather Tom	9/4	5/2
Dapper Man	3	3
Josies Kid	4	4
Yimou	11/2	11/2
Thegreatestshowman	15/2	15/2
Birkenhead	8	17/2
Straitouttacompton	80	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dapper Man

28.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 19.6 Odds: 5.7

2nd

Grandfather Tom

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Josies Kid

10.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4.4

Yimou

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Birkenhead

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Thegreatestshowman

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Straitouttacompton

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dapper Man	64	78	54
Grandfather Tom	63	82	70
Birkenhead	63	74	49
Yimou	62	72	71
Josies Kid	59	77	62
Thegreatestshowman	58	76	56
Straitouttacompton	46	74	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dapper Man	3d ago	Quick return
Thegreatestshowman	3d ago	Quick return
Grandfather Tom	7d ago	Quick return
Yimou	26d ago	Fit
Straitouttacompton	27d ago	Fit
Josies Kid	29d ago	Fit
Birkenhead	35d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.