IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 2) (IRE Incentive Race)

Chester

14:40

Date 2023-05-12

Distance 1m2f70y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £67,224

Winning Time 2m 13.98s (slow by 5.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Point Lonsdale (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien	5/6F	Won
2nd	Mujtaba (GB) Jim Crowley · William Haggas	4/1	0.3
3rd	Layfayette (IRE) Colin Keane · Noel Meade	20/1	1.5
4th	Poker Face (IRE) Jamie Spencer · Simon & Ed Crisford	10/1	.75
5th	Royal Champion (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	22/1	2.5
6th	Foxes Tales (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	9/2	22

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Point Lonsdale Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	129	—	12/0-1	113	127	95	26d	—	—	-2	39.1	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Smart as a 2yo; won at the Curragh last month (solid Group 3 form); leading contender
3 (4)	Mujtaba Bay J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	129	t	04181-	114	129	106	202d	—	—	+15	37.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Impressively defied top weight in Newbury handicap on last appearance; looks Group class
1 (1)	Foxes Tales Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	649-31	111	127	102	41d	—	—	+6	18.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Clearcut Listed winner on AW last time; Group 3 scorer on soft in 2021; not dismissed
5 (2)	Poker Face Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jamie Spencer T:Simon & Ed Crisford	129	—	111-2	108	125	99	24d	—	—	+12	22.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3-3 in his first season last year; good second at Newmarket on reappearance; progressive
6 (6)	Royal Champion Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	129	—	14319-	111	126	115	209d	—	—	+22	27.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Form of last year's Listed win isn't entirely compelling; all wins on good ground
2 (5)	Layfayette Brown J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	129	—	777-32	106	125	56	11d	—	—	+11	15.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Looks held by Point Lonsdale on penultimate effort and needs a career best to win this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Point Lonsdale	11/10	1	11/10	11/10	1
Mujtaba	3	3	3	3	10/3
Foxes Tales	6	11/2	11/2	6	11/2
Poker Face	15/2	13/2	7	13/2	15/2
Royal Champion	16	14	14	16	16
Layfayette	22	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Point Lonsdale

39.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Mujtaba

37.7

OR: 16 Form: 15 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Royal Champion

27.1

OR: 15.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.4

Poker Face

22.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Foxes Tales

18.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Layfayette

15.1

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mujtaba	114	129	106
Point Lonsdale	113	127	95
Foxes Tales	111	127	102
Royal Champion	111	126	115
Poker Face	108	125	99
Layfayette	106	125	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Layfayette	11d ago	Quick return
Poker Face	24d ago	Fit
Point Lonsdale	26d ago	Fit
Foxes Tales	41d ago	Fit
Mujtaba	202d ago	Long break
Royal Champion	209d ago	Long break