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Chepstow

1:30

Date 2023-05-16

Distance 1m14y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (8)	Big Bear Hug b J:NON-RUNNER T:Adam West	J:NON-RUNNER T:Adam West	137	—	50-241	67	-	-	3d	—	—	-50	24.3	4 25%
Inconsistent and could have done without the drying weather under a penalty
6 (6)	Eye Of The Water b J:David Probert T:Ronald Harris	J:David Probert T:Ronald Harris	133	p	-18531	63	79	51	15d	—	—	+3	23.5	7/2 22%
Has run well here a few times without winning; can't be any complaints about a 3lb rise
8 (11)	Marsh Benham ch J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	132	—	9593-6	62	78	58	25d	—	—	-9	7.7	9/2 18%
Shaped pretty well on his comeback and is one of the more interesting runners
5 (12)	Alyara b J:William Cox T:John Flint	J:William Cox T:John Flint	136	—	28853-	66	77	64	211d	—	—	0	11.1	13/2 13%
This mark should be within range if ready to go back from seven months off; considered
12 (9)	San Francisco Bay b J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Henry Candy	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Henry Candy	124	—	86972-	54	66	54	232d	—	—	-1	8.7	17/2 11%
Best efforts come after a recent outing but should be up to winning off this sort of mark
2 (7)	Caribou b J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	137	—	4/090-	67	72	-	219d	—	—	-4	7.6	13/2 13%
Barely seen for this yard last year but is worth a look in the market at this lower level
10 (1)	Bantry b J:Luke Morris T:John Oshea	J:Luke Morris T:John Oshea	128	—	00556-	58	79	60	228d	—	—	-5	4.7	17/2 11%
Failed to win in Ireland; market support preferable before he's considered
1 (5)	Sir Plato b J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	137	b	5320-9	67	78	62	78d	—	—	-2	6.8	17/2 11%
New yard has hit some form in recent times and a good showing wouldn't surprise
7 (10)	Into The Spotlight b J:Callum Shepherd T:Mark Gillard	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mark Gillard	133	h	33-536	63	74	-	75d	—	—	-1	5	16 6%
Needs to improve for the switch to turf (useful half-sister went well on slow ground)
9 (2)	Always Fearless ch J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	129	b	-37209	59	78	20	15d	—	—	+1	7.1	20 5%
Three Polytrack wins to his name but is 0-18 on turf; twice behind Eye Of The Water lately
3 (3)	Sisters In The Sky ch J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	137	b	625000	67	74	44	12d	—	—	+2	6.3	22 5%
Perhaps blinkers will help but he's lost his way, including in two runs for this yard
11 (4)	Emerald Lady ch J:George Rooke T:Nikki Evans	J:George Rooke T:Nikki Evans	128	—	9562-0	58	76	69	25d	—	—	0	2.6	80 1%
Drying weather would help but she'd be hard to recommend even then

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Big Bear Hug	4	SP	SP	SP	SP
Eye Of The Water	7/2	7/2	10/3	3	3
Marsh Benham	9/2	4	4	4	4
Alyara	7	7	6	13/2	13/2
San Francisco Bay	7	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Caribou	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Bantry	8	17/2	8	8	15/2
Sir Plato	9	8	8	8	17/2
Into The Spotlight	12	16	11	14	16
Always Fearless	20	18	11	16	18
Sisters In The Sky	22	22	18	22	22
Emerald Lady	66	80	50	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Bear Hug

24.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Eye Of The Water

23.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 14.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Alyara

11.1

OR: 4 Form: 4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

San Francisco Bay

8.7

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Marsh Benham

7.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Caribou

7.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Always Fearless

7.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.7

Sir Plato

6.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Sisters In The Sky

6.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Into The Spotlight

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Bantry

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Emerald Lady

2.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Bear Hug Top Rated	67	—	—
Caribou	67	72	—
Sir Plato	67	78	62
Sisters In The Sky	67	74	44
Alyara	66	77	64
Eye Of The Water	63	79	51
Into The Spotlight	63	74	—
Marsh Benham	62	78	58
Always Fearless	59	78	20
Bantry	58	79	60
Emerald Lady	58	76	69
San Francisco Bay	54	66	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Big Bear Hug	3d ago	Quick return
Sisters In The Sky	12d ago	Quick return
Eye Of The Water	15d ago	Fit
Always Fearless	15d ago	Fit
Marsh Benham	25d ago	Fit
Emerald Lady	25d ago	Fit
Into The Spotlight	75d ago	Fresh
Sir Plato	78d ago	Fresh
Alyara	211d ago	Long break
Caribou	219d ago	Long break
Bantry	228d ago	Long break
San Francisco Bay	232d ago	Long break