Electrical Contractors Association West Region Handicap

Chepstow

3:15

Date 2023-05-16

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (6)	Macs Dilemma b J:Hollie Doyle T:John Oshea	J:Hollie Doyle T:John Oshea	137	p	4770-5	74	87	72	24d	—	—	-7	11.2	7/2 22%
Six wins on good/good to firm for yard, including over C&D; probably best at 7f now
9 (7)	Carlton Banks b J:Ray Dawson T:J F Levins	J:Ray Dawson T:J F Levins	125	p	00009-	62	81	76	218d	—	—	-10	8.2	7/2 22%
Most of 2022 was a washout but eyecatching 6f return last April; this is easier
4 (2)	Pinwheel b J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	135	—	4-9632	72	86	78	13d	—	—	-5	9.5	11/2 15%
7f winner in France; struggled in Britain but down weights and close up on last 2 starts
11 (1)	Flagman b J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Deborah Faulkner	119	—	5369-1	56	84	38	13d	—	—	+2	15.5	13/2 13%
Well-bred 5yo; suited by drop to 6f when overcoming difficulties; open to improvement
5 (9)	Rich Rhythm b J:Laura Pearson(3) T:Ralph Beckett	J:Laura Pearson(3) T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	8145-4	70	82	67	8d	—	—	-5	9	15/2 12%
Winner of 5f novice as 3yo; unexposed in handicaps; should have more to come
6 (11)	Vape gr J:William Cox T:John Flint	J:William Cox T:John Flint	132	p	1216-4	69	80	72	33d	—	—	-2	7.4	8/1 11%
Two front-running wins on turf and AW in the autumn; may be shade high in weights now
1 (4)	Youarenotforgiven b J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	137	—	64010-	74	82	69	188d	—	—	+8	15.1	12 8%
Impressed dropped to 7f in October; another new trip; unraced on ground slower than good
3 (8)	Cashew b J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	136	—	7520-3	73	85	79	12d	—	—	+5	10.4	22 5%
Two 6f wins on soft as 2yo; mixed in 2022; down weights and good debut for yard this month
7 (3)	Gilt Edge b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	128	p	5326-7	65	85	73	12d	—	—	0	5.1	20 5%
C&D winner; all best form on good or quicker; soundly beaten on good to soft on return
8 (5)	Desert b J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	127	—	00/69-	64	72	63	315d	—	—	+2	3.9	100 1%
Won 6f handicap for R Hannon as 2yo; well held 2 runs for new yard in 2022; off since July
10 (10)	John Ogroats b J:Callum Shepherd T:Mark Gillard	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mark Gillard	124	—	79-277	61	84	75	69d	—	—	+1	3.2	100/1 1%
Very mixed for M Bell; plenty to prove back at 6f; needs weight off his back

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Macs Dilemma	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Carlton Banks	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Pinwheel	11/2	5	5/1	5/1	5
Flagman	6	6/1	6	6	13/2
Rich Rhythm	6/1	6/1	9/2	15/2	11/2
Vape	8	15/2	7/1	8/1	8/1
Youarenotforgiven	12	11/1	9/1	11	11
Cashew	22	20/1	18/1	20/1	20
Gilt Edge	20	18	16	18/1	18
Desert	100	80	80/1	100	66
John Ogroats	100	80	80	100/1	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flagman

15.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Youarenotforgiven

15.1

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Macs Dilemma

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Cashew

10.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Pinwheel

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Rich Rhythm

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Carlton Banks

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Vape

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Gilt Edge

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Desert

3.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

John Ogroats

3.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Macs Dilemma Top Rated	74	87	72
Youarenotforgiven	74	82	69
Cashew	73	85	79
Pinwheel	72	86	78
Rich Rhythm	70	82	67
Vape	69	80	72
Gilt Edge	65	85	73
Desert	64	72	63
Carlton Banks	62	81	76
John Ogroats	61	84	75
Flagman	56	84	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rich Rhythm	8d ago	Quick return
Cashew	12d ago	Quick return
Gilt Edge	12d ago	Quick return
Pinwheel	13d ago	Quick return
Flagman	13d ago	Quick return
Macs Dilemma	24d ago	Fit
Vape	33d ago	Fit
John Ogroats	69d ago	Fresh
Youarenotforgiven	188d ago	Long break
Carlton Banks	218d ago	Long break
Desert	315d ago	Long break