Happy Valley

11:45

Waterfall Bay Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Date 2023-05-17
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £49,169

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Happy Gathering
Bay
J:TBC
T:K L Man
J:
T:K L Man
135 58-258
38
59
-
28d
0
Ran a good race when second off a 2lb higher mark in February; capable of having a say
R14 (14)
Fingers Crossed
b/br
J:TBC
T:J Size
J:
T:J Size
134 ht 549788
37
58
-
7d
0
Not devoid of ability but has been disappointing in his last few outings
1 (11)
Birdsville
Chestnut
J:Hugh Bowman
T:David A Hayes
J:Hugh Bowman
T:David A Hayes
135 tb 520-07
38
64
-
28d
0
Has failed to build on a C&D second in October; better can be expected at some point
2 (7)
Jack Win
b/br
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:A S Cruz
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:A S Cruz
135 htb -02461
38
51
-
14d
11.5
Off the mark over C&D two weeks ago; 5lb rise to overcome but arrives in good heart
3 (12)
Nordic Combined
Chestnut
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Richard Gibson
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Richard Gibson
135 tb 57-940
38
58
-
45d
0
Took a backward step at Sha Tin last month; can get back on track with ease in grade
4 (2)
Theta Hedge
Bay
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
134 tb -74640
37
62
-
21d
0
Winner in November but appears to have been in the handicapper's grip ever since
5 (6)
Valhalla
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:C Fownes
J:L J Ferraris
T:C Fownes
133 tv -49666
36
61
-
32d
0
Chased leader - ridden and dropped to 3rd inside 2f out - driven over 1f out - no extra final 125yds
6 (4)
Double Show
b/br
J:L Hewitson
T:Douglas Whyte
J:L Hewitson
T:Douglas Whyte
131 tb -88660
34
60
-
52d
0
Yet to build on a narrow defeat here in December; well beaten over 1m latest
7 (8)
Noir Rider
Bay
J:Angus Chung(7)
T:L Ho
J:Angus Chung(7)
T:L Ho
130 tv 0-7000
33
48
-
28d
0
Appears to have completely lost his way this term; remains best watched
8 (5)
Fortune Master
Bay
J:K C Leung
T:Jamie Richards
J:K C Leung
T:Jamie Richards
127 tb 47-410
30
54
-
52d
0
Snapped a losing run on his penultimate start; capable off his revised mark
9 (10)
Compulsory
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:A T Millard
J:Alexis Badel
T:A T Millard
126 tb -94058
29
62
-
38d
0
Stayed on nicely on the Sha Tin dirt in March; place contender if replicating that effort
10 (1)
Alloy King
Bay
J:Harry Bentley
T:Jimmy Ting
J:Harry Bentley
T:Jimmy Ting
125 v -14505
28
59
-
14d
2
Dual C&D winner; fifth behind Jack Win two weeks ago; may play a role
11 (3)
Circuit Splendor
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:T P Yung
119 7-0730
22
60
-
63d
0
Career best when making the frame over C&D in February but well beaten last month
12 (9)
Encore
Bay
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:C S Shum
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:C S Shum
120 tb 480500
21
63
-
14d
0
0-16 and has struggled to make any impact in his last handful of starts; best watched

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Jack Win
11.5
OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
2nd Alloy King
2
OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0
3rd Happy Gathering
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 Fingers Crossed
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Birdsville
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 Nordic Combined
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Theta Hedge
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Valhalla
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Double Show
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Noir Rider
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Fortune Master
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Compulsory
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Circuit Splendor
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Encore
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Happy Gathering
38
59
Birdsville
38
64
Jack Win
38
51
Nordic Combined
38
58
Fingers Crossed
37
58
Theta Hedge
37
62
Valhalla
36
61
Double Show
34
60
Noir Rider
33
48
Fortune Master
30
54
Compulsory
29
62
Alloy King
28
59
Circuit Splendor
22
60
Encore
21
63

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Fingers Crossed 7d ago Quick return
Jack Win 14d ago Fit
Alloy King 14d ago Fit
Encore 14d ago Fit
Theta Hedge 21d ago Fit
Happy Gathering 28d ago Fit
Birdsville 28d ago Fit
Noir Rider 28d ago Fit
Valhalla 32d ago Fit
Compulsory 38d ago Fit
Nordic Combined 45d ago Fit
Double Show 52d ago Fresh
Fortune Master 52d ago Fresh
Circuit Splendor 63d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.