Aldrich Bay Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Happy Valley

15:50

Date 2023-05-17

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £104,712

Winning Time 1m 9.39s (fast by 0.31s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Superb Capitalist (AUS) Angus Chung · A S Cruz	49/10	Won
2nd	Allgreektome (AUS) Zac Purton · David A Hayes	57/10	2.5
3rd	Excellent Peers (NZ) Matthew Chadwick · F C Lor	62/1	0.3
4th	Armour Eagle (AUS) Harry Bentley · Jamie Richards	40/1	.5
5th	Son Pak Fu (AUS) Jerry Chau · T P Yung	53/10	0.1
6th	Golden Link (NZ) Alexis Badel · P F Yiu	40/1	0.3
7th	Ace One (AUS) L J Ferraris · Douglas Whyte	15/1	0.1
8th	Juneau Flash (AUS) Karis Teetan · J Size	41/5	1.5
9th	Nicconi County (AUS) Hugh Bowman · C Fownes	71/10	1
10th	Telecom Speed (AUS) M L Yeung · Y S Tsui	61/1	.5
11th	Family Folks (AUS) Antoine Hamelin · C W Chang	32/1	.5
12th	Brave Star (AUS) C Y Ho · K W Lui	2/1F	1.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Toronado Phantom Grey J:TBC T:J Size	J: T:J Size	134	t	464788	78	98	-	24d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Won off 2lb higher in January but has gone off the boil lately
R14 (14)	Leslie Chestnut J:TBC T:P F Yiu	J: T:P F Yiu	119	b	3-6690	63	97	-	24d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	5.4	—	—
Has held his own in this grade since C&D win in November but didn't fire last time
1 (2)	Family Folks Bay J:Antoine Hamelin T:C W Chang	J:Antoine Hamelin T:C W Chang	135	b	865000	79	99	-	21d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Out of form in recent months; dropped in grade and well drawn but needs a revival
2 (11)	Son Pak Fu Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	135	b	-31111	79	92	-	21d	—	—	—	32.3	—	—
Has awkward draw today but looked in superb form when completing C&D four-timer last month
3 (10)	Excellent Peers Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:F C Lor	J:Matthew Chadwick T:F C Lor	134	h	2-6555	78	97	-	28d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
In good form this season but looks vulnerable off current mark from stall 10
4 (9)	Armour Eagle Bay J:Harry Bentley T:Jamie Richards	J:Harry Bentley T:Jamie Richards	131	tb	2-1596	75	95	-	56d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Did well to win from stall 12 here in January but hasn't been in same form again since
5 (6)	Ace One b/br J:L J Ferraris T:Douglas Whyte	J:L J Ferraris T:Douglas Whyte	130	tb	116-72	74	94	-	28d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Kept on well for second over C&D last month and is not yet fully exposed; shortlisted
6 (3)	Brave Star Bay J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	127	—	1-8712	71	91	-	28d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
Dual C&D winner this season and went close here last month; might still be improving
7 (4)	Nicconi County Brown J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	127	t	-62856	71	99	-	14d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
On a good mark and has benefited from a change of luck on the draw front today
8 (8)	Allgreektome Brown J:Zac Purton T:David A Hayes	J:Zac Purton T:David A Hayes	122	t	0-2128	66	93	-	28d	—	—	—	4	—	—
Flopped here last time but looked progressive beforehand; Zac Purton keeps the ride
9 (1)	Superb Capitalist Bay J:Angus Chung(7) T:A S Cruz	J:Angus Chung(7) T:A S Cruz	119	ht	15-904	63	95	-	24d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Hasn't progressed from his impressive winning debut in November; others preferred
10 (12)	Golden Link Bay J:Alexis Badel T:P F Yiu	J:Alexis Badel T:P F Yiu	118	—	-37582	62	100	-	32d	—	—	—	8.6	—	—
Sound effort when second at Sha Tin last month but has tough draw here
11 (5)	Juneau Flash Bay J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	J:Karis Teetan T:J Size	117	e/s	-51293	61	92	-	21d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Kept on well for third over C&D last month and competes off same mark today
12 (7)	Telecom Speed Chestnut J:M L Yeung T:Y S Tsui	J:M L Yeung T:Y S Tsui	117	—	633441	61	92	-	21d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Deserved his Class 4 win three weeks ago but today's rise in grade demands more from him

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Son Pak Fu

32.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 25 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Telecom Speed

14.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Brave Star

12.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Juneau Flash

11.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Excellent Peers

10.5

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Armour Eagle

9.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Golden Link

8.6

OR: 3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0

—

Family Folks

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Toronado Phantom

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nicconi County

6.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Ace One

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Leslie

5.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Allgreektome

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Superb Capitalist

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Family Folks	79	99	—
Son Pak Fu	79	92	—
Toronado Phantom	78	98	—
Excellent Peers	78	97	—
Armour Eagle	75	95	—
Ace One	74	94	—
Brave Star	71	91	—
Nicconi County	71	99	—
Allgreektome	66	93	—
Leslie	63	97	—
Superb Capitalist	63	95	—
Golden Link	62	100	—
Juneau Flash	61	92	—
Telecom Speed	61	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nicconi County	14d ago	Fit
Family Folks	21d ago	Fit
Son Pak Fu	21d ago	Fit
Juneau Flash	21d ago	Fit
Telecom Speed	21d ago	Fit
Toronado Phantom	24d ago	Fit
Leslie	24d ago	Fit
Superb Capitalist	24d ago	Fit
Excellent Peers	28d ago	Fit
Ace One	28d ago	Fit
Brave Star	28d ago	Fit
Allgreektome	28d ago	Fit
Golden Link	32d ago	Fit
Armour Eagle	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.