Aspall Premier Cru Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

15:15

Aspall Premier Cru Handicap

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £8,100

Winning Time 1m 26.27s (slow by 3.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Havana Blue (GB) John Fahy · Clive Cox	10/1	Won
2nd	Striking Star (GB) Adam Kirby · Charlie Appleby	6/4F	1.75
3rd	Signcastle City (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Richard Hannon	15/2	0.1
4th	Chartwell House (IRE) David Egan · William Knight	12/1	0.1
5th	Jumbeau (GB) Hayley Turner · Tom Clover	22/1	2.25
6th	Golden Passport (GB) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	18/1	.75
7th	Changing Colours (GB) Harry Davies · Charlie Appleby	13/2	0.2
8th	Havana By The Sea (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Craig Lidster	12/1	2.25
9th	Mile End (GB) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Michael Bell	66/1	.5
10th	Berkshire Phantom (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	25/1	3.5
11th	Wall Game (GB) Rob Hornby · Henry Candy	40/1	0.3
12th	Powerdress (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	15/2	4.75
13th	Burstow (FR) Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	40/1	4

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Striking Star Chestnut J:Adam Kirby T:Charlie Appleby	J:Adam Kirby T:Charlie Appleby	134	—	19-22	88	101	71	14d	—	—	-13	19.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Second over C&D last time in first handicap and open to further progress for top trainer
4 (12)	Powerdress Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	134	—	1-30	88	96	45	13d	—	—	+7	20.1	1.25/1	6 17%
Tailed off in 1,000 Guineas but of interest judged on the promise of her first two runs
7 (1)	Signcastle City Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hannon	J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hannon	132	—	5135-5	86	97	74	21d	—	—	+3	11.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Returned with encouraging fifth at Haydock and could build on that run here; considered
5 (8)	Changing Colours Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Appleby	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	212-7	87	96	79	30d	—	—	+3	11.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Merely midfield on reappearance but no surprise to see a big run for his leading trainer
11 (4)	Havana Blue Grey J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	129	—	623-28	83	100	63	14d	—	—	+3	10.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Disappointing at Goodwood but entitled to respect in view of previously 2nd of 17 over C&D
10 (14)	Havana By The Sea Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Craig Lidster	J:Cieren Fallon T:Craig Lidster	130	—	5153-6	84	98	78	43d	—	—	+5	9.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Has shaped as though this step up to 7f could prompt improvement; she's a possible
13 (9)	Golden Passport Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	126	—	41-35	80	96	53	52d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Gelded since underwhelming handicap debut; has potential off this mark if back on song
12 (6)	Chartwell House Bay J:David Egan T:William Knight	J:David Egan T:William Knight	128	—	144-36	82	100	63	14d	—	—	+4	9.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Reappeared with good third over C&D and soft ground may not have suited last time
6 (11)	Jumbeau Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Tom Clover	J:Hayley Turner T:Tom Clover	133	—	13582-	87	95	80	193d	—	—	+13	18.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Talented early 2yo last season but below par on final two runs; needs to get back to best
8 (7)	Berkshire Phantom Grey J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	131	v	4-1144	85	95	81	52d	—	—	+6	10	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Respectable fourth on AW last time but needs something extra in this hotter race
NR (10)	Think Climate Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	p	611-99	88	-	-	32d	—	—	-32	29.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Drops back in grade having been gelded but has something to prove after the last twice
1 (5)	Burstow Bay J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	135	—	87-18	89	91	-	70d	—	—	+8	10.5	9.75/1	40 3%
1-4 in France and market check advised on stable debut, but not obviously well treated
9 (3)	Mile End Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Michael Bell	130	b	05114-	84	94	89	195d	—	—	+19	21.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Improved form in these blinkers last autumn; capable of a good run on stable debut
14 (13)	Wall Game Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Henry Candy	J:Rob Hornby T:Henry Candy	123	—	03-2	77	94	31	25d	—	—	+10	12.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Has improved across first three runs and can be optimism he will continue to progress

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Striking Star	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8	6/4
Powerdress	6	6	6	6	6
Signcastle City	8	8	17/2	8	17/2
Changing Colours	8	8	15/2	8	17/2
Havana Blue	11	10	12	10	10
Havana By The Sea	18	18	16	18	18
Golden Passport	14	14	16	16/1	16
Chartwell House	14	12	14	12	12
Jumbeau	20	18	18	18	18
Berkshire Phantom	16	16	18	18/1	16
Think Climate	SP	33	SP	SP	SP
Burstow	40	40	33	40	33
Mile End	50	50	50	50	40
Wall Game	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Think Climate

29.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Mile End

21.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

3rd

Powerdress

20.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

Striking Star

19.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

Jumbeau

18.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.4

Wall Game

12.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Changing Colours

11.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Signcastle City

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Burstow

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Havana Blue

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Berkshire Phantom

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Havana By The Sea

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Chartwell House

9.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Golden Passport

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Burstow	89	91	—
Striking Star	88	101	71
Powerdress	88	96	45
Think Climate	88	—	—
Changing Colours	87	96	79
Jumbeau	87	95	80
Signcastle City	86	97	74
Berkshire Phantom	85	95	81
Havana By The Sea	84	98	78
Mile End	84	94	89
Havana Blue	83	100	63
Chartwell House	82	100	63
Golden Passport	80	96	53
Wall Game	77	94	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Powerdress	13d ago	Quick return
Striking Star	14d ago	Fit
Havana Blue	14d ago	Fit
Chartwell House	14d ago	Fit
Signcastle City	21d ago	Fit
Wall Game	25d ago	Fit
Changing Colours	30d ago	Fit
Think Climate	32d ago	Fit
Havana By The Sea	43d ago	Fit
Golden Passport	52d ago	Fresh
Berkshire Phantom	52d ago	Fresh
Burstow	70d ago	Fresh
Jumbeau	193d ago	Long break
Mile End	195d ago	Long break