Betting Better With Sky Bet Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

14:32

Betting Better With Sky Bet Handicap

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 58.90s (slow by 2.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Navello (GB) Ben Curtis · George Boughey	7/1	Won
2nd	Prospect (GB) Joanna Mason · Paul Midgley	7/1	.75
3rd	Sampers Seven (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Appleby	11/4F	.75
4th	Count d'Orsay (IRE) Paul Hanagan · Tim Easterby	12/1	0.3
5th	Papa Don't Preach (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Kevin Frost	6/1	0.3
6th	Leodis Dream (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Paul Midgley	20/1	.75
7th	Kitaab (GB) Andrew Mullen · Ian Williams	50/1	.5
8th	J R Cavagin (IRE) Cam Hardie · Paul Midgley	18/1	0.2
9th	Lullaby Bay (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	8/1	0.2
10th	Mid Winster (GB) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	13/2	0.05
11th	A Pint Of Bear (IRE) Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	9/1	3.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Sampers Seven Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	135	—	5332-7	85	98	78	29d	—	—	-6	14.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Speedy front-runner; good reappearance in Listed race last month; contender down in grade
3 (6)	Navello Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	134	t	758-57	84	99	82	40d	—	—	-1	12.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Not at his best in two AW runs this year; down in class now and a tongue-tie is added
6 (9)	Lullaby Bay Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	524-00	79	100	24	20d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner last spring; yet to fire for new yard but she's down to a handy mark
1 (1)	Mid Winster Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	135	—	197-44	85	99	69	14d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Travelled well but got tired over C&D (soft) two weeks ago; down in grade; major player
9 (5)	Prospect Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Paul Midgley	J:Joanna Mason T:Paul Midgley	118	—	525-57	68	98	99	48d	—	—	-3	7.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Course winner; dangerous mark and shaped well in March; less good last time
4 (4)	Papa Dont Preach Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Frost	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Frost	133	—	-31062	83	96	81	20d	—	—	+10	19.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Solid second at Wetherby three weeks ago; more needed to come out on top here
8 (2)	Count Dorsay Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Tim Easterby	J:Paul Hanagan T:Tim Easterby	123	p	87-757	73	97	69	8d	—	—	-1	8.4	1.75/1	8 13%
22lb lower than last May but with good reason; headgear now added; best on slow ground
10 (8)	J R Cavagin Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	118	—	6451-8	68	98	90	47d	—	—	+1	5.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Doncaster winner off 1lb lower in September; better for last month's return; yard run four
7 (11)	A Pint Of Bear Grey J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	129	—	71220/	79	95	-	637d	—	—	+13	17.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Progressive sprinter as a 3yo; good mark for return but 637-day absence an obvious worry
5 (10)	Leodis Dream Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	130	—	2561-0	80	95	88	42d	—	—	+3	9.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Ended 2022 with a win; had an excuse (draw) on return; better can be expected today
11 (7)	Kitaab Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ian Williams	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ian Williams	116	—	/5338-	66	93	74	294d	—	—	+5	8.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has hinted at ability but returns from an absence over a new trip; had wind op; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sampers Seven	3	7/2	11/4	10/3	10/3
Navello	5	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lullaby Bay	7	13/2	13/2	7	7
Mid Winster	15/2	7	6	13/2	13/2
Prospect	15/2	13/2	6	6	6
Papa Dont Preach	7	8	7	15/2	15/2
Count Dorsay	8	8	7	8	8
J R Cavagin	18	16	14	16	16
A Pint Of Bear	20	20	18	20	20
Leodis Dream	12	14	11	14	14
Kitaab	25	28	25	25	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Papa Dont Preach

19.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

A Pint Of Bear

17.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Sampers Seven

14.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Navello

12.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Mid Winster

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Lullaby Bay

10.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Leodis Dream

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Count Dorsay

8.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Kitaab

8.4

OR: 4 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Prospect

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

J R Cavagin

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sampers Seven	85	98	78
Mid Winster	85	99	69
Navello	84	99	82
Papa Dont Preach	83	96	81
Leodis Dream	80	95	88
Lullaby Bay	79	100	24
A Pint Of Bear	79	95	—
Count Dorsay	73	97	69
Prospect	68	98	99
J R Cavagin	68	98	90
Kitaab	66	93	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Count Dorsay	8d ago	Quick return
Mid Winster	14d ago	Fit
Lullaby Bay	20d ago	Fit
Papa Dont Preach	20d ago	Fit
Sampers Seven	29d ago	Fit
Navello	40d ago	Fit
Leodis Dream	42d ago	Fit
J R Cavagin	47d ago	Fresh
Prospect	48d ago	Fresh
Kitaab	294d ago	Long break
A Pint Of Bear	637d ago	Long break