Naas

16:15

Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden

Date 2023-05-21
Distance 1m
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo
Prize €8,850

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
15 (13)
Unless
Chestnut
J:Ryan Moore
T:A P Obrien
J:Ryan Moore
T:A P Obrien
129 b 35-222
89
108
84
15d -10
18.6
0.47/1
15/8
35%
Recent C&D second remains the one to beat with blinkers retained
6 (7)
Lan Cinnte
Bay
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
J:Shane Foley
T:Mrs John Harrington
129 842-
85
94
82
228d +5
17.4
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Just denied here last October; trip to suit and definite player if handling quicker ground
12 (1)
Persian Jewel
Bay
J:W J Lee
T:P Twomey
J:W J Lee
T:P Twomey
129 3
-
75
65
49d -18
12.4
0.44/1
7/4
36%
Last month's Leopardstown debut promise makes her of interest; better ground should suit
14 (5)
Sweetest Rose
Bay
J:Colin Keane
T:G M Lyons
J:Colin Keane
T:G M Lyons
129 b 3922-2
78
90
86
29d +5
14.9
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Front-runner has solid form but could be vulnerable over this trip
13 (12)
Rival Queen
Bay
J:Mikey Sheehy
T:Joseph Patrick Obrien
J:Mikey Sheehy
T:Joseph Patrick Obrien
129
-
-
-
-3
1
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Showcasing filly for whom market could prove best guide for in-form yard
4 (8)
Kellys Out
Bay
J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10)
T:Patrick J Flynn
J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10)
T:Patrick J Flynn
129 3
-
82
46
32d 0
4.1
4.75/1
20
5%
Promising Gowran debut run but this looks a stronger maiden
9 (15)
Muhaarars Girl
Bay
J:Ronan Whelan
T:K J Condon
J:Ronan Whelan
T:K J Condon
129 t 8
-
81
-
15d -2
0.8
6.75/1
28
4%
Satisfactory C&D debut but much more needed to play a major role
7 (4)
Lan Mara
Bay
J:Luke McAteer(3)
T:J S Bolger
J:Luke McAteer(3)
T:J S Bolger
129 7200-9
81
93
67
33d +6
8.3
9.75/1
40
3%
Return to better ground may suit but questions to answer at this stage
11 (10)
Pascalia
Bay
J:Ben Coen
T:J P Murtagh
J:Ben Coen
T:J P Murtagh
129
-
61
-
15d -2
0.8
9.75/1
40
3%
Churchill filly well held on C&D debut early this month; can only be watched for now
3 (6)
Hotaugustnight
Bay
J:Mark Enright
T:J A Stack
J:Mark Enright
T:J A Stack
129
-
-
-
-4
1.4
4.25/1
18
6%
Yard going well so Camelot filly worth a market check on debut
16 (14)
Velvet And Vine
Bay
J:Gary Carroll
T:G M Lyons
J:Gary Carroll
T:G M Lyons
129
-
-
-
-4
1.4
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Cheaply bought but quite well-bred; likely the lesser-fancied of the Lyons pair
1 (11)
Anaelle
Bay
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
J:Seamie Heffernan
T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
129
-
-
-
-1
0.5
16.25/1
66
2%
Newcomer best watched
8 (9)
Lolyta
Bay
J:Gavin Ryan
T:A Kinsella
J:Gavin Ryan
T:A Kinsella
129 70
-
76
47
43d -1
0.4
24.75/1
100
1%
Two modest maiden runs this year, eligible for a mark after today
10 (3)
O Merisi
Bay
J:Leigh Roche
T:Eddie & Patrick Harty
J:Leigh Roche
T:Eddie & Patrick Harty
129
-
54
45
29d -1
0.4
49.75/1
200
1%
Never sighted after slow start on last month's Limerick debut; can only be watched for now
5 (16)
Lady Kai
Bay
J:Chris Hayes
T:Ross Osullivan
J:Chris Hayes
T:Ross Osullivan
129
-
64
-
15d -1
0.4
24.75/1
100
1%
Plenty keen when never featuring on recent C&D debut; likely to need more time
2 (2)
Dance The Flame
Bay
J:Dylan Browne McMonagle
T:Ross Osullivan
J:Dylan Browne McMonagle
T:Ross Osullivan
129 907
-
71
52
11d -1
0.3
24.75/1
100
1%
Not much so far in maidens, best waited for in handicaps
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Unless
2 2 2 15/8 15/8
Lan Cinnte
11/2 13/2 13/2 11/2 6
Persian Jewel
13/8 7/4 7/4 13/8 7/4
Sweetest Rose
8 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2
Rival Queen
25 25/1 25 25 25
Kellys Out
18 20 20 18 20
Muhaarars Girl
28 25/1 25 25 25
Lan Mara
40 40 40 40 40
Pascalia
40 40 40 25 33
Hotaugustnight
18 18 16 16 16
Velvet And Vine
14 18 18/1 16 18
Anaelle
66 50 50 50 50
Lolyta
100 100 100 100 100
O Merisi
200 200 150 200 200
Lady Kai
100 100 100 100 100
Dance The Flame
100 100 100 100 100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Unless
18.6
OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9
15/8
2nd Lan Cinnte
17.4
OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
13/2
3rd Sweetest Rose
14.9
OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9
15/2
4 Persian Jewel
12.4
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4
7/4
5 Lan Mara
8.3
OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40
6 Kellys Out
4.1
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1
20
7 Hotaugustnight
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
8 Velvet And Vine
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18/1
9 Rival Queen
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25/1
10 Muhaarars Girl
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
28
11 Pascalia
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
40
12 Anaelle
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
13 Lolyta
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
100
14 O Merisi
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
200
15 Lady Kai
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
100
16 Dance The Flame
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
100

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Unless
89
108
84
Lan Cinnte
85
94
82
Lan Mara
81
93
67
Sweetest Rose
78
90
86
Persian Jewel
75
65
Rival Queen
Kellys Out
82
46
Muhaarars Girl
81
Pascalia
61
Hotaugustnight
Velvet And Vine
Anaelle
Lolyta
76
47
O Merisi
54
45
Lady Kai
64
Dance The Flame
71
52

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Dance The Flame 11d ago Quick return
Unless 15d ago Fit
Muhaarars Girl 15d ago Fit
Pascalia 15d ago Fit
Lady Kai 15d ago Fit
Sweetest Rose 29d ago Fit
O Merisi 29d ago Fit
Kellys Out 32d ago Fit
Lan Mara 33d ago Fit
Lolyta 43d ago Fit
Persian Jewel 49d ago Fresh
Lan Cinnte 228d ago Long break
Rival Queen
Hotaugustnight
Velvet And Vine
Anaelle

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 3 draws with historical results at this course and distance.