Guinness Handicap – Ayr · The Final Fence

Ayr

16:30

Guinness Handicap

Date 2023-05-24

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 58.79s (slow by 1.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Muker (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	4/1	Won
2nd	Mr Beaufort (GB) Jason Watson · David O'Meara	11/1	.5
3rd	Be Proud (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	5/2F	1.5
4th	Jojo Rabbit (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	7/1	0.3
5th	Lockdown (GB) Ben Coen · Anthony McCann	16/1	0.2
6th	Modular Magic (GB) Jason Hart · David & Nicola Barron	4/1	4
7th	Shabaaby (GB) Cam Hardie · Ewan Whillans	11/1	0.3
8th	Sixcor (GB) Joe Fanning · Linda Perratt	9/1	7

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Be Proud Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	133	p	0047-4	73	90	90	16d	—	—	-13	13.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Possibilities off a handy mark back over 5f; all wins at this distance
2 (8)	Modular Magic Bay J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	135	—	80-428	75	85	79	124d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Nicely treated; goes well fresh; interesting on return from four-month layoff
6 (4)	Muker Chestnut J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	128	—	090-06	68	89	61	21d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has become very well handicapped on peak form; third start for new yard
1 (2)	Jojo Rabbit Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	6-8077	75	83	53	11d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
This drop in grade may prompt some sort of revival; won off 10lb higher last June
8 (1)	Sixcor Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	J:Joe Fanning T:Linda Perratt	120	p	2904-6	60	89	81	20d	—	—	-5	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
All wins over C&D but they came off lower marks in Class 6
7 (7)	Shabaaby Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Ewan Whillans	J:Cam Hardie T:Ewan Whillans	123	b	099039	63	88	78	9d	—	—	-1	7.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran well over C&D two starts ago but inconsistency has become a trait
3 (5)	Mr Beaufort Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	133	t	91-904	73	83	46	19d	—	—	0	7.9	2.25/1	10 10%
May prove resurgent with tongue-tie fitted and dropped back in class
5 (6)	Lockdown Bay J:Ben Coen T:Anthony Mccann	J:Ben Coen T:Anthony Mccann	128	t	/578-3	68	87	-	101d	—	—	+3	9.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Sold for just £1,000 since last run; heed market signals on debut for Irish stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Be Proud	5/2	9/4	2	2	9/4
Modular Magic	4	5	4	4	9/2
Muker	5	5/1	9/2	9/2	5
Jojo Rabbit	13/2	7	7	6	7
Sixcor	8	15/2	8	8	15/2
Shabaaby	10	9	9	8	9
Mr Beaufort	9	10	9	9	9
Lockdown	16	16	16	16	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Be Proud

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Modular Magic

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Jojo Rabbit

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Lockdown

9.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Muker

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Mr Beaufort

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Shabaaby

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Sixcor

5.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Modular Magic	75	85	79
Jojo Rabbit	75	83	53
Be Proud	73	90	90
Mr Beaufort	73	83	46
Muker	68	89	61
Lockdown	68	87	—
Shabaaby	63	88	78
Sixcor	60	89	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shabaaby	9d ago	Quick return
Jojo Rabbit	11d ago	Quick return
Be Proud	16d ago	Fit
Mr Beaufort	19d ago	Fit
Sixcor	20d ago	Fit
Muker	21d ago	Fit
Lockdown	101d ago	Long break
Modular Magic	124d ago	Long break