Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Fillies' Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Qualifier) (GBB)

Nottingham

15:10

Date 2023-06-15

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 45.66s (slow by 4.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bernadine (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · James Fanshawe	7/1	Won
2nd	Cariad (GB) Callum Rodriguez · George Scott	12/1	2.75
3rd	Coloane (IRE) Jason Watson · William Jarvis	3/1F	1.75
4th	Honeymooner (IRE) Stefano Cherchi · William Muir & Chris Grassick	9/1	0.3
5th	Top Of The Class (GB) Jack Mitchell · Mark Loughnane	15/2	1.25
6th	Forever Proud (GB) P J McDonald · James Horton	7/1	4.5
7th	Hildegard (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Archie Watson	7/1	2
8th	Heartbreaking (IRE) Kevin Stott · Clive Cox	20/1	.75
9th	Twilight Jazz (GB) Andrew Mullen · Michael Appleby	33/1	.5
10th	Eva Rosie (GB) Shane Gray · Stella Barclay	22/1	9
11th	Menalippe (IRE) Harry Davies · James Ferguson	6/1	21

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Coloane Bay J:Jason Watson T:William Jarvis	J:Jason Watson T:William Jarvis	128	p	-44224	61	79	62	17d	—	—	-7	15.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Has shown enough to think a small handicap could fall her way; headgear now added
4 (11)	Hildegard Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	131	—	574	64	78	56	20d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promise in novice company and should have more to come now handicapping
3 (7)	Bernadine Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(7) T:James Fanshawe	J:Kaiya Fraser(7) T:James Fanshawe	134	—	72-119	67	77	44	17d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two 1m wins on AW this year; race didn't set up for her back on turf latest; more to come
1 (6)	Menalippe Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:James Ferguson	J:Harry Davies(3) T:James Ferguson	136	b	10-326	69	80	57	16d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two 7f wins last year; good run at Brighton last month but less good latest; stamina a ?
2 (9)	Forever Proud Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	134	—	87-38	67	74	42	17d	—	—	-3	7.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not seen to best effect on handicap debut; still has time to do better
5 (8)	Honeymooner Grey J:Stefano Cherchi T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Stefano Cherchi T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	b	548-57	63	80	45	17d	—	—	-3	5.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Struggled since handicapping; down in weights but needs new blinkers to turn things around
6 (2)	Top Of The Class Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Loughnane	J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	465-43	63	72	37	111d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran okay twice on AW in February; needs more if she's to break her duck here
7 (10)	Cariad Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	130	p	-41437	63	76	40	27d	—	—	+3	10.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Three AW wins but yet to run to the same level on turf; now tried in headgear
9 (4)	Heartbreaking Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Clive Cox	J:Kevin Stott T:Clive Cox	127	b	870	60	71	44	20d	—	—	-1	3.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Peak RPR of 58 in three maiden/novice runs; this more suitable and now tried in blinkers
10 (5)	Eva Rosie Bay J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	124	—	6647	57	73	40	20d	—	—	-1	2.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Modest form thus far but positives can be gleaned from her handicap debut
11 (3)	Twilight Jazz Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	116	—	-24267	49	77	37	16d	—	—	+1	4.3	8.00/1	33 3%
This looks more suitable than last time but still not easily recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Coloane	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Hildegard	5	5	5	5	9/2
Bernadine	15/2	15/2	7	7	7
Menalippe	9	17/2	15/2	8	8
Forever Proud	7	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Honeymooner	9	9	8	8	8
Top Of The Class	13/2	8	13/2	7	10
Cariad	10	11	9	9	11
Heartbreaking	16	16	14	16	16
Eva Rosie	20	22	18	20	22
Twilight Jazz	33	33	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Coloane

15.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Cariad

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Hildegard

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Menalippe

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Forever Proud

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Bernadine

6.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Top Of The Class

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Honeymooner

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Twilight Jazz

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

Heartbreaking

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Eva Rosie

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Menalippe	69	80	57
Bernadine	67	77	44
Forever Proud	67	74	42
Hildegard	64	78	56
Honeymooner	63	80	45
Top Of The Class	63	72	37
Cariad	63	76	40
Coloane	61	79	62
Heartbreaking	60	71	44
Eva Rosie	57	73	40
Twilight Jazz	49	77	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Menalippe	16d ago	Fit
Twilight Jazz	16d ago	Fit
Coloane	17d ago	Fit
Bernadine	17d ago	Fit
Forever Proud	17d ago	Fit
Honeymooner	17d ago	Fit
Hildegard	20d ago	Fit
Heartbreaking	20d ago	Fit
Eva Rosie	20d ago	Fit
Cariad	27d ago	Fit
Top Of The Class	111d ago	Long break