Royal Ascot Tips On attheraces.com EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands C/D) (GBB)

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

Date 2023-06-19

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (12)	Rogue Rosie Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-27	12.8	—	—
Out of half-sister to Leger winner Sixties Icon; yard has good strike-rate with newcomers
3 (5)	Elegant Madame Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kevin Stott T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Half-sister to a Listed 2yo winner; team has done well with juveniles this year
12 (1)	Ventura Empress Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Archie Watson	J:Hector Crouch T:Archie Watson	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-25	11.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Out of a well-connected mare and represents a stable with very good 2yo strike-rate
NR (6)	Lady Of Africa Bay J:George Rooke T:Amy Murphy	J:George Rooke T:Amy Murphy	126	tb	695	-	64	45	17d	—	—	-4	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Not beaten far on any of three starts but probably needs a boost from the added blinkers
4 (2)	She Is A Keeper Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Out of a fair 1m winner; with a top stable; no surprise if she features
1 (8)	Aljadel Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Marco Botti	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Half-sister to a 5.5f US stakes winner; bought for 35,000gns last month; market may guide
5 (7)	Tokyo Dreamer Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Williams	J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Williams	128	—	78	-	64	-	13d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Showed only minor promise when midfield on her two 6f starts last month
2 (11)	Alnoory Bay J:David Egan T:Richard Hughes	J:David Egan T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
£30,000 yearling; dam placed over 9.4f; others newcomers look more interesting
7 (3)	Another Gift Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	126	—	97	-	65	31	26d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Unable to land a significant blow on first two starts (5f/6f); up in trip again here
8 (9)	Edergoles Gift Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Conrad Allen	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Conrad Allen	126	—	5	-	45	-	28d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
From a good family and some positives can be drawn from her Windsor debut
6 (4)	Tronido Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Half-sister to connections' 1m2f winner Arenas Del Tiempo; probably best watched on debut
11 (10)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Adam West	J:Charlie Bennett T:Adam West	126	—	66	-	50	-	37d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Soundly beaten on her first two starts (5.2f/5f); tries a new trip today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rogue Rosie	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Elegant Madame	4	4	4	4	4
Ventura Empress	6/5	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Lady Of Africa	14	16	16	16	16
She Is A Keeper	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	9
Aljadel	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tokyo Dreamer	9	17/2	17/2	9	8
Alnoory	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Another Gift	18	14	14	16	16
Edergoles Gift	22	18	18	18	20
Tronido	66	50	50	50	50
Run Joy Run	100	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Rosie

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 12.8

—

2nd

Ventura Empress

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Elegant Madame

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Aljadel

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Alnoory

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

She Is A Keeper

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Tokyo Dreamer

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Lady Of Africa

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Another Gift

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Edergoles Gift

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Tronido

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Run Joy Run

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Rosie	—	—	—
Elegant Madame	—	—	—
Ventura Empress	—	—	—
Lady Of Africa	—	64	45
She Is A Keeper	—	—	—
Aljadel	—	—	—
Tokyo Dreamer	—	64	—
Alnoory	—	—	—
Another Gift	—	65	31
Edergoles Gift	—	45	—
Tronido	—	—	—
Run Joy Run	—	50	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tokyo Dreamer	13d ago	Quick return
Lady Of Africa	17d ago	Fit
Another Gift	26d ago	Fit
Edergoles Gift	28d ago	Fit
Run Joy Run	37d ago	Fit
Rogue Rosie	—	—
Elegant Madame	—	—
Ventura Empress	—	—
She Is A Keeper	—	—
Aljadel	—	—
Alnoory	—	—
Tronido	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.