Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Naas

16:55

Date 2023-06-28

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €8,850

Winning Time 59.44s (slow by 1.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kairyu (IRE) Colin Keane · M D O'Callaghan	9/4	Won
2nd	Back Down Under (IRE) Leigh Roche · Padraig Roche	18/1	3.25
3rd	Asean (IRE) Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	6/1	1.25
4th	Nikki Swango (IRE) Wayne Lordan · Miss Natalia Lupini	40/1	0.2
5th	Moral Turpitude (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Kieran P Cotter	6/1	0.3
6th	Milliethemollie (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	66/1	2.25
7th	Scorchio (IRE) Gary Carroll · Jack W Davison	2/1F	0.3
8th	Coulstar (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	18/1	.5
9th	Staysound Susie (IRE) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	16/1	0.05
10th	Tiscommonknowledge (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · Padraig Roche	100/1	2
11th	Ascendent (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	18/1	1
12th	Glor Alainn (IRE) Luke McAteer · J S Bolger	100/1	0.3
13th	Autumn Rose (IRE) Paddy Harnett · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	16/1	3.25
14th	Excilla (IRE) Nathan Crosse · Mrs John Harrington	33/1	.75
15th	Rose Ellen (IRE) J M Sheridan · Jack W Davison	66/1	4.25
16th	Oak Allye (IRE) Mpumelelo Mjoka · Kevin Thomas Coleman	125/1	13

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (3)	Scorchio Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Jack W Davison	J:Gary Carroll T:Jack W Davison	128	—	2	-	89	74	25d	—	—	-13	13	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Showed inexperience at Listowel but finished second despite losing a shoe, good chance
8 (5)	Kairyu Bay J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
First foal out of a mare who was placed over 1m for John Gosden, sire is a source of speed
2 (6)	Asean Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	128	—	03	-	83	74	17d	—	—	-7	7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Third behind the subsequent Chesham runner-up at Navan on second start, should go close
10 (14)	Moral Turpitude Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	128	—	534	-	81	61	12d	—	—	-6	5.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Has three runs her belt and shaped quite well when fourth at Cork on latest, more needed
1 (13)	Ascendent Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	128	—	7	-	49	17	19d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Did not show much when second-favourite on debut at Fairyhouse but unwise to rule out
16 (7)	Staysound Susie Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	45	-	79	69	17d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Showed that her 100-1 fourth at Cork was not a fluke when fifth in a strong Navan maiden
6 (1)	Excilla Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Dam an unraced half-sister to a Group-placed 5f winner and to two winners in Australia
3 (4)	Autumn Rose Bay J:Paddy Harnett(7) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Paddy Harnett(7) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Dermot Weld-trained dam won her first two starts, trainer also runs the twice-raced Asean
NR (2)	Sakakawea Bay J:TBC T:T M Walsh	J: T:T M Walsh	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Home-bred filly out of a 1m Dundalk winner who is a sister to the useful Buckstay
5 (12)	Coulstar Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.25/1	22 5%
Interesting as a sister to US 5f/6f winner Coulthard, Group-3 placed at two in Ireland
4 (8)	Back Down Under Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	128	—	36	-	78	46	31d	—	—	-2	3.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Two respectable runs over 6f, not certain to improve at 5f, others preferred
11 (15)	Nikki Swango Chestnut J:Wayne Lordan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Wayne Lordan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	128	—	9	-	61	35	54d	—	—	-6	2.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Made some late progress first time out at Cork, likely to need more experience
9 (9)	Milliethemollie Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	128	—	8	-	63	38	12d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Some merit in her initial run at Cork but has almost 6l to find with Moral Turpitude
13 (11)	Rose Ellen b/br J:J M Sheridan T:Jack W Davison	J:J M Sheridan T:Jack W Davison	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Half-sister to winners for Ger Lyons and Charlie Hills, trainer also runs Scorchio
7 (16)	Glor Alainn Bay J:Luke McAteer T:J S Bolger	J:Luke McAteer T:J S Bolger	128	—	978	-	63	41	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Has run three times without showing any sign of winning potential at this stage
17 (10)	Tiscommonknowledge Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Padraig Roche	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Padraig Roche	128	—	9	-	62	26	31d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
66-1 when always at the back in a 6f Curragh maiden won by the talented Matrika
12 (17)	Oak Allye Bay J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	128	—	—	-	50	22	12d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Big price when finishing down the field over 6f at Cork 12 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Scorchio	2	9/4	17/8	2	2
Kairyu	9/2	7/2	7/2	4	7/2
Asean	11/2	5	5	5	5
Moral Turpitude	8	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Ascendent	8	8	17/2	7	8
Staysound Susie	16	18	18	16	18
Excilla	20	16	16	16	18
Autumn Rose	20	16	16	16	18
Sakakawea	16	28	25	20	25
Coulstar	22	20	16	22	22
Back Down Under	12	20	18	18	18
Nikki Swango	11	14	20	8	16
Milliethemollie	33	28	33	25	33
Rose Ellen	66	66	40	50	66
Glor Alainn	80	80	66	80	100
Tiscommonknowledge	66	100	80	100	100
Oak Allye	125	150	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scorchio

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Asean

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Kairyu

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

9/2

Moral Turpitude

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

Back Down Under

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Sakakawea

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Ascendent

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Nikki Swango

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Staysound Susie

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Excilla

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Autumn Rose

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Coulstar

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Milliethemollie

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Rose Ellen

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Glor Alainn

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Tiscommonknowledge

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Oak Allye

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Scorchio	—	89	74
Kairyu	—	—	—
Asean	—	83	74
Moral Turpitude	—	81	61
Ascendent	—	49	17
Staysound Susie	—	79	69
Excilla	—	—	—
Autumn Rose	—	—	—
Sakakawea	—	—	—
Coulstar	—	—	—
Back Down Under	—	78	46
Nikki Swango	—	61	35
Milliethemollie	—	63	38
Rose Ellen	—	—	—
Glor Alainn	—	63	41
Tiscommonknowledge	—	62	26
Oak Allye	—	50	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moral Turpitude	12d ago	Quick return
Milliethemollie	12d ago	Quick return
Oak Allye	12d ago	Quick return
Asean	17d ago	Fit
Staysound Susie	17d ago	Fit
Ascendent	19d ago	Fit
Glor Alainn	21d ago	Fit
Scorchio	25d ago	Fit
Back Down Under	31d ago	Fit
Tiscommonknowledge	31d ago	Fit
Nikki Swango	54d ago	Fresh
Kairyu	—	—
Excilla	—	—
Autumn Rose	—	—
Sakakawea	—	—
Coulstar	—	—
Rose Ellen	—	—