Jenningsbet In Kippax Seaton Delaval Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:20

Jenningsbet In Kippax Seaton Delaval Handicap

Date 2023-06-29

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £18,039

Winning Time 1m 41.95s (slow by 5.15s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lattam (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas	9/4F	Won
2nd	Spirit Catcher (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	5/1	0.05
3rd	Alrehb (USA) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	7/1	0.1
4th	Symbol Of Light (GB) Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	10/1	0.2
5th	Al Agaila (IRE) Luke Morris · Simon & Ed Crisford	14/1	.5
6th	Brunch (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	10/1	0.3
7th	The Turpinator (IRE) Shane Gray · Grant Tuer	14/1	0.3
8th	Isla Kai (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	12/1	.5
9th	Empirestateofmind (IRE) Jason Hart · John Quinn	10/1	.75
10th	What's The Story (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Keith Dalgleish	12/1	2.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Lattam Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	126	—	150-12	94	117	-	68d	—	—	-12	21.7	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Lightly raced 4yo (3-6 on turf) and respected on AW debut; half-brother to a Tapeta winner
NR (11)	Eilean Dubh Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	124	—	-90603	92	113	82	12d	—	—	+5	17	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner who returned to form when third at Sandown last time; up 2lb but considered
10 (9)	Spirit Catcher Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	119	h	3832-2	87	115	-	6d	—	—	+5	17.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Already due a 1lb rise after finishing second at Redcar six days earlier; shortlisted
1 (5)	Brunch Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	—	250-28	103	118	-	68d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Listed winner/smart handicapper who was 2-2 here earlier in career; worth a second look
3 (7)	Alrehb Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	—	-11007	100	114	95	27d	—	—	+11	19.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Record on the AW reads 212511211; very interesting back on Tapeta
11 (10)	Whats The Story Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Keith Dalgleish	119	p	305213	87	116	79	12d	—	—	+17	23.7	2.50/1	11 9%
C&D winner who has been running well on turf lately but takes on several unexposed types
2 (3)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	133	b	22-720	101	115	-	54d	—	—	+7	14.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Handicapped to the hilt, being 14lb higher than when second of 13 over C&D last summer
4 (8)	Symbol Of Light Brown J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	129	—	311/1-	97	114	-	518d	—	—	+17	23.5	3.25/1	14 7%
3-3 on Tapeta for Charlie Appleby; market informative on stable debut after 518 days off
8 (4)	Al Agaila Bay J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	124	—	311-17	92	114	102	25d	—	—	+6	12.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Completed a Polytrack hat-trick in the winter but well held on Nottingham return
9 (6)	The Turpinator Bay J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	J:Shane Gray T:Grant Tuer	119	—	9063-9	87	114	90	54d	—	—	+5	11	3.25/1	14 7%
May have needed last month's return and ran well here in December but has stamina to prove
5 (2)	Isla Kai Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	126	—	3-0100	94	117	-	8d	—	—	+10	14.3	4.25/1	18 6%
Has become inconsistent; well held in a novice here in his only AW start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lattam	11/8	13/8	6/4	6/4	11/8
Eilean Dubh	8	15/2	15/2	7	7
Spirit Catcher	13/2	6	5	6	6
Brunch	9	17/2	9	9	10
Alrehb	17/2	8	8	17/2	10
Whats The Story	11	10	10	10	10
Empirestateofmind	10	10	9	10	11
Symbol Of Light	12	12	11	14	14
Al Agaila	10	11	11	12	14
The Turpinator	14	14	11	14	12
Isla Kai	18	18	16	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Whats The Story

23.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Symbol Of Light

23.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Lattam

21.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

13/8

Alrehb

19.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

Spirit Catcher

17.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Eilean Dubh

OR: 10.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.5

15/2

Brunch

15.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Empirestateofmind

14.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Isla Kai

14.3

OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Al Agaila

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

The Turpinator

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brunch	103	118	—
Empirestateofmind	101	115	—
Alrehb	100	114	95
Symbol Of Light	97	114	—
Lattam	94	117	—
Isla Kai	94	117	—
Eilean Dubh	92	113	82
Al Agaila	92	114	102
Spirit Catcher	87	115	—
Whats The Story	87	116	79
The Turpinator	87	114	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spirit Catcher	6d ago	Quick return
Isla Kai	8d ago	Quick return
Eilean Dubh	12d ago	Quick return
Whats The Story	12d ago	Quick return
Al Agaila	25d ago	Fit
Alrehb	27d ago	Fit
Empirestateofmind	54d ago	Fresh
The Turpinator	54d ago	Fresh
Lattam	68d ago	Fresh
Brunch	68d ago	Fresh
Symbol Of Light	518d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.