Jenningsbet In Goole Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:05

Jenningsbet In Goole Handicap

Date 2023-06-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 29.61s (slow by 5.81s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Powerful Response (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell	11/2	Won
2nd	Original Thinker (GB) Cam Hardie · Harriet Bethell	15/2	.5
3rd	Fortuitous Star (IRE) Joe Fanning · Grant Tuer	10/1	.75
4th	Highfield Viking (GB) Jason Hart · John Quinn	2/1F	.75
5th	Malinheadsearovers (IRE) Graham Lee · John Wainwright	10/1	2.5
6th	Dresden Green (GB) Luke Morris · Ruth Carr	16/1	1.75
7th	Run Cmc (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	9/2	.75
8th	Techno Lady (IRE) Andrew Breslin · Richard Fahey	28/1	1
9th	Starshot (IRE) Connor Beasley · Jessica Bedi	33/1	4
10th	Bowland Prince (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	12/1	2
11th	Balmaha (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Jim Goldie	20/1	32

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Highfield Viking Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	134	—	778-16	64	78	-	39d	—	—	-16	11.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Half-brother to stable star Highfield Princess; stepping back up a furlong may suit
2 (10)	Run Cmc Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	135	b	0-7626	65	74	-	5d	—	—	-7	8.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Held when hampered at Ayr on Saturday; this stiff 7f may be too stiff a test; blinkers on
5 (11)	Original Thinker Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	132	—	39-564	62	75	49	17d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
5lb lower than when running creditably over C&D on stable debut last month
7 (3)	Powerful Response Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Edward Bethell	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Edward Bethell	128	—	96-99	58	69	55	44d	—	—	-7	5.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Our of the frame in all four starts; needs something extra
6 (1)	Malinheadsearovers Bay J:Graham Lee T:John Wainwright	J:Graham Lee T:John Wainwright	132	—	79-3	62	77	-	49d	—	—	-1	8.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Creditable third on his Thirsk return last month; worth a second look on handicap debut
9 (6)	Fortuitous Star Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Grant Tuer	J:Joe Fanning T:Grant Tuer	124	—	22334-	54	73	53	251d	—	—	+2	9	2.75/1	12 8%
Proved consistent from last summer onwards; should stay 7f but she may need the run
3 (2)	Bowland Prince Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	134	p	649-99	64	77	-	38d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Has gone badly the wrong way since finishing second over C&D last summer; cheekpieces on
10 (7)	Techno Lady Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Richard Fahey	118	—	40030-	48	72	-	248d	—	—	-1	3.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Mixed bag in six starts last year but the stable has won two of the last three runnings
11 (8)	Dresden Green Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	116	—	-06834	46	69	42	28d	—	—	-1	3.3	5.25/1	22 5%
Ten-race maiden who has run with some credit the last twice, but more is still needed
8 (5)	Balmaha Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jim Goldie	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jim Goldie	127	p	58-055	57	70	47	35d	—	—	-1	2.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Better last time and she wouldn't need to improve much to make an impact; cheekpieces on
1 (4)	Starshot Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jessica Bedi	J:Connor Beasley T:Jessica Bedi	137	—	54755-	67	71	27	273d	0W/1P 2 runs	0W/1P 2 runs	+2	5	9.75/1	40 3%
Makes his stable debut after nine months off; may well come on for it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Highfield Viking	9/4	2	2	2	2
Run Cmc	4	4	4	4	4
Original Thinker	8	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Powerful Response	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Malinheadsearovers	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	8
Fortuitous Star	12	11	11	11	10
Bowland Prince	14	16	11	16	16
Techno Lady	20	20	16	20	20
Dresden Green	22	18	16	18	18
Balmaha	20	20	18	20	20
Starshot	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Highfield Viking

11.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Fortuitous Star

OR: 1 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Malinheadsearovers

8.7

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Run Cmc

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Original Thinker

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Powerful Response

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Bowland Prince

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Starshot

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Techno Lady

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Dresden Green

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Balmaha

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Starshot	67	71	27
Run Cmc	65	74	—
Highfield Viking	64	78	—
Bowland Prince	64	77	—
Original Thinker	62	75	49
Malinheadsearovers	62	77	—
Powerful Response	58	69	55
Balmaha	57	70	47
Fortuitous Star	54	73	53
Techno Lady	48	72	—
Dresden Green	46	69	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Run Cmc	5d ago	Quick return
Original Thinker	17d ago	Fit
Dresden Green	28d ago	Fit
Balmaha	35d ago	Fit
Bowland Prince	38d ago	Fit
Highfield Viking	39d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	44d ago	Fit
Malinheadsearovers	49d ago	Fresh
Techno Lady	248d ago	Long break
Fortuitous Star	251d ago	Long break
Starshot	273d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.