Hope - Sponsored By Nucleus Hr Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

20:15

Hope - Sponsored By Nucleus Hr Handicap

Date 2023-06-29

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 2m 11.30s (slow by 7.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kamanika (IRE) James Doyle · Joseph Parr	5/2	Won
2nd	I Still Have Faith (GB) Dougie Costello · B F Brookhouse	11/1	0.3
3rd	Expert Witness (GB) Aidan Keeley · Sir Mark Todd	16/1	0.1
4th	Alhambra Palace (GB) Hollie Doyle · William Haggas	7/4F	0.05
5th	Obama Army (GB) George Bass · Jack Channon	8/1	0.2
6th	Queensland Boy (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Ian Williams	25/1	0.2
7th	Leading Company (IRE) Tom Eaves · John Quinn	25/1	3
8th	Papal Music (IRE) William Cox · Clive Cox	40/1	2
9th	Going To The Moon (IRE) Jefferson Smith · Ismail Mohammed	14/1	1
10th	Fougere (GB) Jimmy Quinn · Dean Ivory	10/1	0.1
11th	Crosstitch (GB) Ross Coakley · Jennie Candlish	33/1	.5
12th	Jackie Diamond (GB) Isobel Francis · Dominic Ffrench Davis	66/1	3.5
13th	Ravigill (FR) Callum Hutchinson · Alan King	50/1	3.25

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (10)	Alhambra Palace Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:William Haggas	J:Hollie Doyle T:William Haggas	135	—	07-6	65	76	45	28d	—	—	-17	13.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Handicaps should see him in a better light, especially now upped to middle distances
9 (6)	Kamanika Grey J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	133	—	-61435	63	78	68	14d	—	—	-9	15.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Luckless in defeat at Haydock last time and has to be of interest off the same mark
7 (2)	Obama Army Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	134	p	221222	64	74	68	8d	—	—	+12	21	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Consistent but the winner beat him fairly easily last time at Hamilton
4 (11)	I Still Have Faith Bay J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	135	h	4-4762	65	74	58	14d	—	—	-1	5.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Unlike fifth-placed Kamanika, had no excuses when runner-up in first-time hood at Haydock
1 (7)	Expert Witness Bay J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Sir Mark Todd	J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Sir Mark Todd	136	t	7505	66	71	49	31d	—	—	-1	5.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Aidan Keeley takes off 5lb with his claim and there have been hints of winning potential
13 (5)	Fougere Chestnut J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Dean Ivory	128	—	08-62	58	74	61	48d	—	—	-2	3.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Stayed on for second (clear) when sent handicapping at Nottingham (1m2f, heavy)
8 (12)	Going To The Moon Bay J:Jefferson Smith T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Jefferson Smith T:Ismail Mohammed	133	—	67-405	63	75	62	21d	—	—	-1	4.9	3.75/1	16 6%
0-6 and hasn't progressed from a promising first run last season
2 (8)	Leading Company Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:John Quinn	J:Tom Eaves T:John Quinn	136	v	12-446	66	73	67	23d	—	—	+2	4.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Wasn't at his best with a visor (retained) replacing blinkers at Wetherby
11 (13)	Queensland Boy Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ian Williams	132	—	703	62	71	44	17d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Ran better in a Windsor novice but was still some 14l off the winner
6 (4)	Papal Music Grey J:William Cox T:Clive Cox	J:William Cox T:Clive Cox	134	t	09235	64	72	-	36d	—	—	+6	8.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Kempton last month (1m; first-time tongue-tie) didn't pan out too well for those held up
5 (9)	Crosstitch Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Jennie Candlish	J:Ross Coakley T:Jennie Candlish	134	p	-64424	64	74	61	45d	—	—	+5	7.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Struggled in a novice last time but not far away in two handicaps prior to that
10 (1)	Jackie Diamond Bay J:Isobel Francis(5) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Isobel Francis(5) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	132	—	296-	62	71	50	294d	—	—	+4	6	12.25/1	50 2%
Not badly treated on her debut second and the dam won over this far
12 (3)	Ravigill Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Alan King	128	—	03-580	58	77	37	31d	—	—	+1	2.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Returned to action with three heavy defeats and needs to turn things around

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Alhambra Palace	15/8	13/8	13/8	7/4	7/4
Kamanika	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Obama Army	9	17/2	8	9	9
I Still Have Faith	10	10	10	10	11
Expert Witness	12	12	12	12	12
Fougere	14	14	14	14	14
Going To The Moon	14	16	12	14	14
Leading Company	22	25	22	25	22
Queensland Boy	20	20	20	20	20
Papal Music	33	28	28	33	28
Crosstitch	33	33	33	33	33
Jackie Diamond	50	40	40	40	40
Ravigill	66	50	50	66	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Obama Army

OR: 3.5 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Kamanika

15.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Alhambra Palace

13.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

Papal Music

8.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0.7

Crosstitch

7.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

Queensland Boy

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Jackie Diamond

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.5

Expert Witness

5.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

I Still Have Faith

5.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Going To The Moon

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Leading Company

4.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Fougere

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ravigill

2.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Expert Witness	66	71	49
Leading Company	66	73	67
Alhambra Palace	65	76	45
I Still Have Faith	65	74	58
Obama Army	64	74	68
Papal Music	64	72	—
Crosstitch	64	74	61
Kamanika	63	78	68
Going To The Moon	63	75	62
Queensland Boy	62	71	44
Jackie Diamond	62	71	50
Fougere	58	74	61
Ravigill	58	77	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Obama Army	8d ago	Quick return
Kamanika	14d ago	Fit
I Still Have Faith	14d ago	Fit
Queensland Boy	17d ago	Fit
Going To The Moon	21d ago	Fit
Leading Company	23d ago	Fit
Alhambra Palace	28d ago	Fit
Expert Witness	31d ago	Fit
Ravigill	31d ago	Fit
Papal Music	36d ago	Fit
Crosstitch	45d ago	Fit
Fougere	48d ago	Fresh
Jackie Diamond	294d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Going To The Moon	Mid-Pack
Papal Music	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.