Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker, Crockafotha (Q.R.) Race – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

20:15

Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker, Crockafotha (Q.R.) Race

Date 2023-07-06

Distance 1m4f52y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,850

Winning Time 2m 46.10s (slow by 10.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Party Central (IRE) Mr H C Swan · Gordon Elliott	4/6F	Won
2nd	Jesse Evans (IRE) Mr D G Lavery · Noel Meade	7/5	3.5
3rd	Michigan State (FR) Miss N C Hennessy · J A Stack	12/1	1.5
4th	Baltic Bird (GB) Mr N McParlan · William Durkan	11/1	2.75
5th	You Make Me Smile (IRE) Ms C A Walsh · P A Fahy	250/1	5.5
6th	Fireworks (FR) Mr R L McCrory · John Joseph Hanlon	28/1	1.25
7th	Patrick Joseph (GB) Miss R Hogan · D Broad	250/1	1.75
8th	Department Of War (IRE) Mr Alan O'Sullivan · John J Maguire	80/1	13

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Party Central Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	154	t	1	-	71	27	—	—	—	-24	27.9	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Smart bumper and hurdle mare; won maiden on Flat debut and is a strong contender
5 (1)	Jesse Evans Bay J:Mr D G Lavery T:Noel Meade	J:Mr D G Lavery T:Noel Meade	154	—	/2430-	90	77	56	—	—	—	-11	25	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Grade 3 hurdle winner is a smart Flat sort; will be a major player if ready on return
2 (4)	Baltic Bird Bay J:Mr N McParlan T:William Durkan	J:Mr N McParlan T:William Durkan	154	—	21000-	89	65	66	—	—	—	+9	15.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Two solid hurdle runs lately; Flat maiden winner for the Gosdens in 2022; player at best
6 (7)	Michigan State Bay J:Miss N C Hennessy(7) T:J A Stack	J:Miss N C Hennessy(7) T:J A Stack	154	—	1/	-	61	-	605d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Won 1m1.5f AW maiden on sole start in UK in 2021; check market for clues on comeback
NR (6)	Final Endeavour Bay J:TBC T:H Rogers	J: T:H Rogers	154	—	0071D0-	66	61	44	253d	—	—	+4	10.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Three-time Flat winner is coming off an absence and has plenty to find with some of these
1 (2)	Fireworks Bay J:Mr R L McCrory(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Mr R L McCrory(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	159	—	9/017-	85	78	41	—	—	—	+6	9.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Modest under NH rules lately; formerly useful on the Flat and needs to recapture that form
3 (5)	Department Of War Chestnut J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:John J Maguire	J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:John J Maguire	154	t	3/4/6/	76	65	-	—	—	—	+7	8.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Useful at his best but can only be watched coming back from a 2-year absence
8 (8)	Patrick Joseph Bay J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	154	p	/65-08	48	55	21	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Maiden after 41 starts under rules; look elsewhere
9 (3)	You Make Me Smile Bay J:Ms C A Walsh(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Ms C A Walsh(7) T:P A Fahy	149	—	00	-	35	20	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Modest sort in bumpers and in two Flat starts; look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	Coral
Party Central	8/13	4/6
Jesse Evans	13/8	6/4
Baltic Bird	12	12
Michigan State	14	12
Final Endeavour	40	50
Fireworks	33	28
Department Of War	100	80
Patrick Joseph	250	250
You Make Me Smile	250	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Party Central

27.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

Jesse Evans

OR: 10 Form: 3.6 Odds: 11.4

13/8

3rd

Baltic Bird

15.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

Michigan State

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

Final Endeavour

10.9

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Fireworks

9.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Department Of War

8.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

100

Patrick Joseph

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

You Make Me Smile

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jesse Evans	90	77	56
Baltic Bird	89	65	66
Fireworks	85	78	41
Department Of War	76	65	—
Final Endeavour	66	61	44
Patrick Joseph	48	55	21
Party Central	—	71	27
Michigan State	—	61	—
You Make Me Smile	—	35	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Patrick Joseph	14d ago	Fit
You Make Me Smile	14d ago	Fit
Final Endeavour	253d ago	Long break
Michigan State	605d ago	Long break
Party Central	—	—
Jesse Evans	—	—
Baltic Bird	—	—
Fireworks	—	—
Department Of War	—	—