CCR Welcomes The Japan Racing Association Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

15:20

CCR Welcomes The Japan Racing Association Handicap

Date 2023-07-09

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Owl Island Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	127	—	117	88	100	68	22d	—	—	+8	27.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2 AW wins before looking all at sea on fast turf latest; still has considerable potential
7 (2)	Secret Moment Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Saeed Bin Suroor	129	tp	2455-1	82	100	59	34d	—	—	+8	22	1.00/1	5 20%
Kept on well to win a 6f h'cap at Wolverhampton latest; not fully exposed in cheekpieces
3 (8)	War In Heaven Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	139	—	116861	92	100	87	17d	—	—	+14	25.8	1.25/1	6 17%
Five wins for this yard, including 1m here latest (front two clear); drops back in trip
12 (4)	Distinguished Lady Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	J:Rowan Scott T:Alice Haynes	120	ht	901-35	81	95	71	23d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Course winner (6f); return to 7f could help, as could the new hood; not ruled out
2 (1)	Open Mind Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Saeed Bin Suroor	143	p	1-1284	96	90	-	17d	—	—	+9	22.5	1.25/1	6 17%
Good record at this track over 6f; stays 7f and the return to AW a plus; yard run two here
10 (9)	Onight Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	127	t	3110	88	99	83	53d	—	—	+16	24.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Two front-running 7f AW wins this year; well held on turf/h'cap debut latest; been gelded
1 (10)	Toimy Son Bay J:Tom Marquand T:David Menuisier	J:Tom Marquand T:David Menuisier	143	b	8-5700	96	103	-	17d	—	—	+7	13.1	3.25/1	14 7%
7f Listed winner in France; bit of promise at Royal Ascot latest; should come good soon
5 (3)	New Definition Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	134	p	1-2068	95	101	78	22d	—	—	+14	20	3.25/1	14 7%
No impact in handicaps after his improved Listed 2nd in March; others better treated
9 (11)	Wyvern Brown J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	127	tv	132407	80	102	89	17d	—	—	+5	11.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Chance on this winter's form but he's gone quiet more recently; visor now tried
6 (7)	Sir Oliver Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Chris Dwyer	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Chris Dwyer	132	—	-32307	85	102	72	31d	—	—	+10	13.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Return to AW will help but suspicion he's vulnerable to less-exposed rivals
4 (6)	Kings Knight Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel Steele	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel Steele	137	—	03512-	90	99	-	436d	—	—	+21	23.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Absent for 436 days and sold cheaply in March; risky, but conditions won't faze him
NR (12)	Chola Empire Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	124	—	232443	77	101	65	10d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.50/1	11 9%
C&D winner; in good form this year but not sure he's ahead of his mark

Horse	bet365	Coral
Owl Island	7/2	3
Secret Moment	5	5
War In Heaven	6	6
Distinguished Lady	11/2	11/2
Open Mind	6	5
Onight	8	10
Toimy Son	14	14
New Definition	14	12
Wyvern	14	12
Sir Oliver	25	28
Kings Knight	33	33
Chola Empire	11	9

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Owl Island

27.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

War In Heaven

25.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

3rd

Onight

24.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 2.4

Kings Knight

23.6

OR: 10 Form: 12.9 Odds: 0.7

Open Mind

22.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4

Secret Moment

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 4

New Definition

OR: 11.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Chola Empire

14.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.3

Sir Oliver

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.9

Toimy Son

13.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Wyvern

11.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

Distinguished Lady

11.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Open Mind	96	90	—
Toimy Son	96	103	—
New Definition	95	101	78
War In Heaven	92	100	87
Kings Knight	90	99	—
Owl Island	88	100	68
Onight	88	99	83
Sir Oliver	85	102	72
Secret Moment	82	100	59
Distinguished Lady	81	95	71
Wyvern	80	102	89
Chola Empire	77	101	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chola Empire	10d ago	Quick return
War In Heaven	17d ago	Fit
Open Mind	17d ago	Fit
Toimy Son	17d ago	Fit
Wyvern	17d ago	Fit
Owl Island	22d ago	Fit
New Definition	22d ago	Fit
Distinguished Lady	23d ago	Fit
Sir Oliver	31d ago	Fit
Secret Moment	34d ago	Fit
Onight	53d ago	Fresh
Kings Knight	436d ago	Long break