Happy Birthday Linda Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:30

Happy Birthday Linda Handicap

Date 2023-07-09

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (11)	Captain Wentworth Grey J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	131	—	-73042	62	75	57	31d	—	—	-11	17.8	0.47/1	15/8 35%
0-10 but some good runs for this yard, including latest C&D 2nd (franked); one to consider
9 (12)	Ben Hamrash Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	133	p	6-043	64	70	56	20d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unexposed 3yo who ran well over an inadequate 6f latest; yard flying; of obvious interest
7 (8)	Monaadhil Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Ruth Carr	134	p	-13265	57	71	64	16d	—	—	-2	10.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Return to this C&D in his favour and his 2nd here in May looks solid; major player
13 (9)	Fayasel Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	131	—	124346	62	74	67	24d	—	—	+1	7.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Ready winner of a 7f handicap at Wolverhampton in March; held form since; not discounted
NR (14)	Araifjan Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Herrington	139	—	458326	62	73	64	45d	—	—	+3	10	3.75/1	16 6%
String of good efforts for this yard; drawn widest; first run over 7f for nearly 3 years
8 (3)	Ferensby Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Hannon	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Hannon	133	t	-45756	64	73	64	11d	—	—	-1	5.2	2.75/1	12 8%
No progress for handicaps this year but this represents a drop in class; still early days
6 (6)	Hezahunk Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	138	—	4/58-7	61	67	34	26d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Not stood much racing and he needs to leave last month's return to action well behind him
4 (2)	Bond Boy Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	139	v	670900	62	68	54	13d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Thrown in on this winter's form but badly off the boil more recently; visor returns
14 (10)	My Mate Mike Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Dean Ivory	J:Charlie Bennett T:Dean Ivory	130	h	66203	61	70	43	52d	—	—	+4	9.9	4.25/1	18 6%
A couple of promising runs, including 7f on AW, but a career best will be needed to win
1 (1)	Media Guest b/br J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:George Margarson	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:George Margarson	141	—	6-8958	64	67	41	51d	—	—	0	4.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Infrequent winner who's been well short of his best this year; down in class & up in trip
3 (4)	The Nail Gunner Bay J:George Rooke T:Denis Quinn	J:George Rooke T:Denis Quinn	140	ht	272660	63	74	55	26d	—	—	+1	6.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Ran poorly over 1m on stable debut but the returning tongue-tie should help matters
12 (13)	Poweredbylove Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Robert Cowell	J:Hollie Doyle T:Robert Cowell	131	p	00-169	62	72	41	11d	—	—	0	4.1	6.00/1	25 4%
6f maiden winner here on her reappearance; less good in h'caps twice since; headgear added
NR (7)	Baccarat Baby Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	132	—	5-4090	63	71	40	11d	—	—	0	4.4	12.25/1	50 2%
Yet to match 2yo form in handicaps for new yard in 2023; down in class but risky
2 (5)	One Hart Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Denis Quinn	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Denis Quinn	141	—	426892	64	70	58	69d	—	—	+7	10.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Ran well on final run for G Tuer (turf); sold £3,500 last month; not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Captain Wentworth	2	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Ben Hamrash	9/2	4	4	4	4
Monaadhil	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Fayasel	10	11	11	11	11
Araifjan	16	12	12	12	11
Ferensby	12	11	12	12	12
Hezahunk	12	11	10	11	11
Bond Boy	16	16	14	16	16
My Mate Mike	14	18	16	12	18
Media Guest	16	18	16	18	18
The Nail Gunner	22	16	14	16	20
Poweredbylove	25	22	20	20	25
Baccarat Baby	50	50	50	50	50
One Hart	25	33	28	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Captain Wentworth

17.8

OR: 3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Monaadhil

10.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

One Hart

10.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 6 Odds: 0.8

Araifjan

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 2

My Mate Mike

9.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

Ben Hamrash

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Fayasel

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

The Nail Gunner

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Ferensby

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Hezahunk

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Media Guest

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Bond Boy

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Baccarat Baby

4.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Poweredbylove

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ben Hamrash	64	70	56
Ferensby	64	73	64
Media Guest	64	67	41
One Hart	64	70	58
The Nail Gunner	63	74	55
Baccarat Baby	63	71	40
Captain Wentworth	62	75	57
Fayasel	62	74	67
Araifjan	62	73	64
Bond Boy	62	68	54
Poweredbylove	62	72	41
Hezahunk	61	67	34
My Mate Mike	61	70	43
Monaadhil	57	71	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ferensby	11d ago	Quick return
Poweredbylove	11d ago	Quick return
Baccarat Baby	11d ago	Quick return
Bond Boy	13d ago	Quick return
Monaadhil	16d ago	Fit
Ben Hamrash	20d ago	Fit
Fayasel	24d ago	Fit
Hezahunk	26d ago	Fit
The Nail Gunner	26d ago	Fit
Captain Wentworth	31d ago	Fit
Araifjan	45d ago	Fit
Media Guest	51d ago	Fresh
My Mate Mike	52d ago	Fresh
One Hart	69d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Fayasel	Prominent
Ben Hamrash	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.