EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Ayr

Ayr

14:20

EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-07-10

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 32.87s (slow by 6.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cerulean Bay (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	9/2	Won
2nd	Individualism (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	11/4	.75
3rd	Elemental Eye (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Iain Jardine	66/1	2.5
4th	Land Lover (GB) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	5/1	1.25
5th	Catena (IRE) Jason Hart · Craig Lidster	18/1	1.75
6th	Dark Encounter (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	11/8F	1.75

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Dark Encounter Brown J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	130	—	2	-	82	61	16d	—	—	-19	16.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Promising second on Redcar debut and extra furlong should suit
4 (3)	Individualism Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Beautifully bred and a Group 1 entry suggests he is held in some regard; market revealing
5 (4)	Land Lover Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	130	—	4532	78	88	81	12d	—	—	+3	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has shown ability in his four starts, but looks vulnerable to less exposed rivals
1 (1)	Cerulean Bay Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	137	—	1	-	79	44	19d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Just got up to win on Hamilton debut, but this won't be easy under his penalty
6 (6)	Catena Bay J:Jason Hart T:Craig Lidster	J:Jason Hart T:Craig Lidster	129	—	51	70	78	49	20d	—	—	+11	16.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Off the mark on her second start at Beverley; proven over the trip and in soft ground
3 (2)	Elemental Eye Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	130	—	7	-	71	53	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held on his debut over 6f here; improvement possible but it will be needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dark Encounter	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Individualism	3	3	11/4	3	11/4
Land Lover	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cerulean Bay	5	9/2	5	5	5
Catena	16	16	16	16	16
Elemental Eye	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Land Lover

18.5

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Dark Encounter

16.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Catena

16.4

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

Cerulean Bay

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Individualism

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Elemental Eye

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Land Lover	78	88	81
Catena	70	78	49
Dark Encounter	—	82	61
Individualism	—	—	—
Cerulean Bay	—	79	44
Elemental Eye	—	71	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Land Lover	12d ago	Quick return
Dark Encounter	16d ago	Fit
Elemental Eye	16d ago	Fit
Cerulean Bay	19d ago	Fit
Catena	20d ago	Fit
Individualism	—	—