Follow @attheraces On Twitter Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

Follow @attheraces On Twitter Handicap

Date 2023-07-12

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 37.92s (slow by 3.02s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Flying Panther (GB) Trevor Whelan · Tom Ward	16/1	Won
2nd	Athene's Kiss (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	17/2	.5
3rd	Angel Of Antrim (IRE) Ben Curtis · Ali Stronge	7/2J	1.75
4th	Regal Glory (IRE) William Carson · Laura Mongan	18/1	0.3
5th	Billaki Mou (FR) Neil Callan · George Baker	7/2J	1.25
6th	Ticket To Alaska (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Clive Cox	4/1	2.5
7th	Stintino Sunset (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	14/1	1
8th	Intoxicata (FR) Hayley Turner · Ed Dunlop	4/1	1.25
9th	Grand Central (GB) Charles Bishop · Phil McEntee	20/1	1
10th	Ceilidh King (GB) Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison	22/1	1.25
11th	Stamford Blue (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	50/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Billaki Mou Bay J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	133	v	698523	53	66	50	15d	—	—	-5	12.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Maiden but promise in this headgear the last twice; each-way claims again back on AW
9 (12)	Intoxicata Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	8-6715	50	69	57	18d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Winning h'cap debut here (7f, AW) last month; less good on turf next time; drawn widest
1 (4)	Ticket To Alaska Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Clive Cox	J:Pat Dobbs T:Clive Cox	136	—	-23244	56	67	58	13d	—	—	-5	10.3	0.75/1	4 25%
11-race maiden but several h'cap runs that give him solid claims; below par the last twice
2 (7)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Ali Stronge	J:Ben Curtis T:Ali Stronge	134	—	53-845	54	66	41	25d	—	—	-8	4.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Patchy record overall but his two best runs have come on Polytrack (7f); risky
12 (11)	Athenes Kiss Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	126	b	804833	46	61	-	16d	—	—	-1	7.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No improvement for headgear/handicapping this summer; others look safer
8 (8)	Stintino Sunset Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	130	b	546633	50	65	43	25d	—	—	+1	6.7	3.25/1	14 7%
12-race maiden; best efforts give her a squeak if the new headgear works
11 (1)	Regal Glory Bay J:William Carson T:Laura Mongan	J:William Carson T:Laura Mongan	128	—	448046	48	64	50	36d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Course winner (7f); not at her best of late though and stamina still not assured
NR (5)	Saratoga Spirit Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	129	b	-78709	49	70	-	29d	—	—	-51	20	4.75/1	20 5%
Promise on AW; minor form on turf this summer but down in weights and headgear now added
4 (3)	Grand Central Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Phil Mcentee	J:Charles Bishop T:Phil Mcentee	133	eb	682577	53	66	40	11d	—	—	-1	3.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
19-race maiden who has been well held since a good 2nd at Wolverhampton in May
5 (6)	Flying Panther Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	J:Trevor Whelan T:Tom Ward	133	htp	08-707	53	63	37	20d	—	—	-3	2.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Didn't see out 1m2f here last time but there was some promise; tongue-tie added this time
3 (9)	Ceilidh King Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	134	h	660-80	54	62	42	34d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Yet to shine in two handicaps this summer; new trip needs to give him a lift
7 (2)	Stamford Blue Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	131	—	9-6948	51	63	32	16d	—	—	-2	1	9.75/1	40 3%
Unplaced in all 8 runs but some promise over 7f last month; not sure what best trip is

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Billaki Mou	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Intoxicata	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2
Ticket To Alaska	4	4	4	4	4
Angel Of Antrim	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Athenes Kiss	9	8	15/2	8/1	17/2
Stintino Sunset	14	12	12/1	12	12
Regal Glory	14	12	14/1	14	14
Saratoga Spirit	20	SP	SP	SP	SP
Grand Central	14	16	20/1	16/1	16
Flying Panther	16	16	18	16	16
Ceilidh King	20	12	14/1	16	16
Stamford Blue	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saratoga Spirit

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Billaki Mou

12.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Ticket To Alaska

10.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4.4

Athenes Kiss

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Stintino Sunset

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.6

Intoxicata

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Angel Of Antrim

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Grand Central

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ceilidh King

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Flying Panther

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Regal Glory

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Stamford Blue

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ticket To Alaska	56	67	58
Angel Of Antrim	54	66	41
Ceilidh King	54	62	42
Billaki Mou	53	66	50
Grand Central	53	66	40
Flying Panther	53	63	37
Stamford Blue	51	63	32
Intoxicata	50	69	57
Stintino Sunset	50	65	43
Saratoga Spirit	49	70	—
Regal Glory	48	64	50
Athenes Kiss	46	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Grand Central	11d ago	Quick return
Ticket To Alaska	13d ago	Quick return
Billaki Mou	15d ago	Fit
Athenes Kiss	16d ago	Fit
Stamford Blue	16d ago	Fit
Intoxicata	18d ago	Fit
Flying Panther	20d ago	Fit
Angel Of Antrim	25d ago	Fit
Stintino Sunset	25d ago	Fit
Saratoga Spirit	29d ago	Fit
Ceilidh King	34d ago	Fit
Regal Glory	36d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.