Happy Valley

12:15 ✓ Result

Sweet Orange Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Date 2023-07-12
Distance 1m3f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £49,169
Winning Time 2m 16.66s (fast by 0.84s)

Result

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Fortune Winner
Bay
J:TBC
T:Richard Gibson
J:
T:Richard Gibson
115 tp -96763
20
53
-
49d
3
Improved for Richard Gibson and stays well enough; place hopes at least if he gets a run
R14 (14)
Flash Famous
Bay
J:TBC
T:C H Yip
J:
T:C H Yip
129 tb 269000
34
63
-
42d
0
Knows how to win 7f/8.25f but not in great form at present and others appeal more
1 (7)
Dazzling Fellow
b/br
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
135 b 2620U7
40
64
-
14d
0.5
Runner-up twice in three runs at this level (7f/1m1f); support means guessing on stamina
2 (4)
Helene Allibor
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:David A Hayes
J:Hugh Bowman
T:David A Hayes
134 tv 970453
39
71
-
17d
3
Group 2 win (1m) in Australia; no win in 20 Hong Kong runs; C&D fifth showed lack of gears
3 (11)
Singapore Spirit
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:A S Cruz
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:A S Cruz
134 tb 007700
39
67
-
11d
0
Class 4 7f winner may be the pace angle; stamina a concern as is dismal run of 2023 form
4 (3)
Vincy
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:C H Yip
J:Zac Purton
T:C H Yip
134 t 544482
39
68
-
49d
5
C&D winner who ran well last time; on lengthy losing run despite consistency; contender
5 (2)
Classic Archi
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:Douglas Whyte
J:L Hewitson
T:Douglas Whyte
131 tb 408422
36
64
-
14d
8.5
Running well over 1m1f but needs first Hong Kong win; C&D fourth didn't prove his stamina
6 (10)
Loyal Ambition
Brown
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
131 t 033146
36
62
-
49d
6.5
C&D win; 5lb up on that mark and poor run last time puts him in has-it-to-prove category
7 (5)
Fortune Triple
Chestnut
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Y S Tsui
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Y S Tsui
121 956641
26
63
-
49d
10
Dual C&D winner whose stamina is a big plus; 6lb rise for recent win leaves him vulnerable
8 (9)
Cable Speed
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:C W Chang
J:Karis Teetan
T:C W Chang
119 t 215405
24
61
-
35d
2
1m1f winner here and placed twice in three C&D runs; nice run last time makes him a player
9 (8)
Baron Zee
Grey
J:Alexis Badel
T:Richard Gibson
J:Alexis Badel
T:Richard Gibson
115 tb 005430
20
66
-
14d
2.1
Look back two runs to 1m1f third, he has claims; overall record shows far more big losses
10 (6)
Jolly Forever
Bay
J:M L Yeung
T:W Y So
J:M L Yeung
T:W Y So
115 tb 06-077
20
66
-
49d
0
C&D winner in December 202; well weighted but so badly out of form, he's one to pass over
11 (1)
Yee Cheong Brave
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
117 b 0-0059
20
66
-
14d
0
No earnings from 13 starts; there have been hints he may show a little more at this trip
12 (12)
Shiny Two
Bay
J:H T Mo(2)
T:P F Yiu
J:H T Mo(2)
T:P F Yiu
115 b -09000
20
70
-
24d
0
Plenty of chances but nothing to show for them; leap of faith required to support him

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Fortune Triple
10
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0
2nd Classic Archi
8.5
OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0
3rd Loyal Ambition
6.5
OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0
4 Vincy
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
5 Fortune Winner
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
6 Helene Allibor
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
7 Baron Zee
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
8 Cable Speed
2
OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0
9 Dazzling Fellow
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0.5 Odds: 0
10 Flash Famous
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Singapore Spirit
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Jolly Forever
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Yee Cheong Brave
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Shiny Two
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Dazzling Fellow
40
64
Helene Allibor
39
71
Singapore Spirit
39
67
Vincy
39
68
Classic Archi
36
64
Loyal Ambition
36
62
Flash Famous
34
63
Fortune Triple
26
63
Cable Speed
24
61
Fortune Winner
20
53
Baron Zee
20
66
Jolly Forever
20
66
Yee Cheong Brave
20
66
Shiny Two
20
70

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Singapore Spirit 11d ago Quick return
Dazzling Fellow 14d ago Fit
Classic Archi 14d ago Fit
Baron Zee 14d ago Fit
Yee Cheong Brave 14d ago Fit
Helene Allibor 17d ago Fit
Shiny Two 24d ago Fit
Cable Speed 35d ago Fit
Flash Famous 42d ago Fit
Fortune Winner 49d ago Fresh
Vincy 49d ago Fresh
Loyal Ambition 49d ago Fresh
Fortune Triple 49d ago Fresh
Jolly Forever 49d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m3f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.