ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

14:40

ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 2m1f165y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Gaye Winnie Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	66-	-	102	83	180d	—	—	-19	8.4	2/1 33%
Not disgraced in better maidens last winter; off 6 months but Elliott pick so respected
1	Bayonetta Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	161	—	3P3-34	97	105	83	41d	—	—	-2	17.5	10/3 23%
Jumped badly left at Down Royal latest; cheekpieces now left off
4	Mote Park Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	161	t	40-	-	-	-	219d	—	—	-13	5.4	4/1 20%
Bumper runs disappointing; tongue-tied for hurdles debut and can't be ruled out
10	Me Wee Bonnie Lass Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	157	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	17/2 11%
Newcomer from respected source, market strength likely significant
6	Spice Diva Bay J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	161	—	/4B31-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	14.6	17/2 11%
Won Moira mares' maiden point-to-point in April (yielding), fifth attempt
5	Sea Aster Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	7	-	91	61	33d	—	—	-6	2.1	11 9%
All the better for last month's debut run; market likely significant
2	Dina Leen Bay J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	161	—	56-	-	102	63	252d	—	—	-3	1.2	18/1 5%
Underwhelming efforts on both starts for Willie Mullins last year; likely best watched
8	Sunshine Theatre Chestnut J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	P-9	-	82	70	38d	—	—	-2	0.9	33 3%
Ran okay on last month's hurdles debut; loads more required here though
9	All Ways And Ever Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:T G Mccourt	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:T G Mccourt	157	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	66 2%
Poor Flat maiden, can only be watched on hurdling debut
7	Struell Duchess Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:S Wilson	J:Donagh Meyler T:S Wilson	161	—	0PU/P	-	-	-	41d	—	—	0	0.2	400 0%
Pulled up after some moderate jumping on belated rules debut at Down Royal last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gaye Winnie	2/1	15/8	2	2	15/8
Bayonetta	10/3	10/3	3	16/5	3
Mote Park	4/1	7/2	4	4	4
Me Wee Bonnie Lass	8	15/2	17/2	8	8/1
Spice Diva	8	15/2	15/2	8	17/2
Sea Aster	10	10	9	10	11
Dina Leen	18/1	16	16	16	18
Sunshine Theatre	33	25	22	25	25
All Ways And Ever	50	66	50	66	66
Struell Duchess	400	200/1	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bayonetta

17.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Spice Diva

14.6

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Gaye Winnie

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Mote Park

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Me Wee Bonnie Lass

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Sea Aster

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Dina Leen

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Sunshine Theatre

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

All Ways And Ever

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Struell Duchess

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bayonetta	97	105	83
Gaye Winnie	—	102	83
Mote Park	—	—	—
Me Wee Bonnie Lass	—	—	—
Spice Diva	—	—	—
Sea Aster	—	91	61
Dina Leen	—	102	63
Sunshine Theatre	—	82	70
All Ways And Ever	—	—	—
Struell Duchess	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sea Aster	33d ago	Fit
Sunshine Theatre	38d ago	Fit
Bayonetta	41d ago	Fit
Struell Duchess	41d ago	Fit
Gaye Winnie	180d ago	Long break
Mote Park	219d ago	Long break
Dina Leen	252d ago	Long break
Me Wee Bonnie Lass	—	—
Spice Diva	—	—
All Ways And Ever	—	—